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BlackBerry Limited (BB) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $5.46 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Overbought (RSI 77).

BlackBerry develops safety-certified embedded operating system software through its QNX division (deployed in 275+ million vehicles worldwide) and secure government-grade communications solutions through its Secure Communications division. Revenue is driven by software licensing... Read more

$5.46+3.8% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#60 of 80 Software - Infrastructure
Stop $5.08Target $5.67(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$4.81-12.0%7 analysts
$5.67our TP
$5.46price
$4.81mean
$4
$6

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $5.46 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Overbought (RSI 77). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 77. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Overbought (RSI 77)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)59.8
P/E (Fwd)26.7
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA36.1
Profit Mgn9.7%
ROE7.3%
Rev Growth10.1%
Beta1.26
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV80%elevated
Max Pain$1-90.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomergovernment organizations
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company's Secure Communications business depends, to a significant degree, on sales to government organizations.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.5
Growth Rank
3.4
Quality Rank
4.9
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
77 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.27Resistance $5.79

Price Targets

$5
$6
A.Upside+3.8%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-23.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-25 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $5.46 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Overbought (RSI 77). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 77. Prior stop was $5.08. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.67 (+3.8% upside). Prior stop was $5.08. Stop-loss: $5.08.

What are the risks of investing in BB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 77).

Is BB overvalued or undervalued?

BlackBerry Limited trades at a P/E of 59.8 (forward 26.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BB?

13 analysts cover BB with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $5.

What does BlackBerry Limited do?BlackBerry develops safety-certified embedded operating system software through its QNX division (deployed in 275+...

BlackBerry develops safety-certified embedded operating system software through its QNX division (deployed in 275+ million vehicles worldwide) and secure government-grade communications solutions through its Secure Communications division. Revenue is driven by software licensing and subscription fees from automotive OEMs, Tier 1 suppliers, and government/regulated enterprise customers.

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