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BlackBerry Limited (BB) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6.16 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: government organizations.

BlackBerry operates two divisions: QNX, which provides safe and reliable embedded operating systems for automotive and industrial applications embedded in over 275 million vehicles, and Secure Communications, which delivers certified secure mobile, crisis management, and... Read more

$6.16+4.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#57 of 78 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.21%
Stop $5.76Target $6.48(resistance)A.R:R -2.2:1
Analyst target$4.81-22.0%7 analysts
$6.48our TP
$6.16price
$4.81mean
$4
$6

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6.16 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: government organizations. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — BlackBerry Limited

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: government organizations
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)68.8
P/E (Fwd)30.7
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA41.8
Profit Mgn9.7%
ROE7.3%
Rev Growth10.1%
Beta1.47
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.06bullish
IV82%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomergovernment organizations
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company's Secure Communications business depends, to a significant degree, on sales to government organizations'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.0
Growth Rank
3.1
Quality Rank
4.6
GatesA.R:R -2.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.88Resistance $6.61

Price Targets

$6
$6
A.Upside+5.2%
A.R:R-2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-32.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-25 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6.16 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: government organizations. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $5.76. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.48 (+4.7% upside). Prior stop was $5.76. Stop-loss: $5.76.

What are the risks of investing in BB?

Concentration risk — Customer: government organizations; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is BB overvalued or undervalued?

BlackBerry Limited trades at a P/E of 68.8 (forward 30.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BB?

14 analysts cover BB with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $5.

What does BlackBerry Limited do?BlackBerry operates two divisions: QNX, which provides safe and reliable embedded operating systems for automotive and...

BlackBerry operates two divisions: QNX, which provides safe and reliable embedded operating systems for automotive and industrial applications embedded in over 275 million vehicles, and Secure Communications, which delivers certified secure mobile, crisis management, and endpoint management solutions for governments and regulated enterprises. Revenue is generated from software licenses, royalties, and services; approximately 20% of QNX revenue comes from non-automotive embedded systems. The Secure Communications business depends significantly on government procurement.

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