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BALYBally's CorporationSell4.9·$14.70+3.09%
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Bally's Corporation (BALY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.70: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Bally's Corporation is a fast-growing global entertainment brand with 19 casinos across 11 US states and one casino in Newcastle, UK, along with a golf course in New York and a horse racetrack in Colorado. Bally's also owns Bally Bet, a first-in-class sports betting and igaming... Read more

$14.70+4.3% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#12 of 13 Resorts & Casinos
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-58.96%
Stop $13.67Target $15.33(resistance)A.R:R -2.2:1
Analyst target$11.75-20.1%4 analysts
$15.33our TP
$14.70price
$11.75mean
$8

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.70: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-32.1% upside)
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-6.7
Mkt Cap$720M
EV/EBITDA23.6
Profit Mgn-30.0%
ROE-54.6%
Rev Growth28.3%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 7.3% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Debt Equity
2.1
Short Interest
5.8

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.1
Operating Margin
0.1
Current Ratio
4.3
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.8
Gross Margin
7.9
Cash-burning: FCF -15% of revenueQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
3.1
Bollinger
3.3
52w Position
4.2

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
10.0
GatesA.R:R -2.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.58Resistance $15.64

Price Targets

$14
$15
A.Upside+4.3%
A.R:R-2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-32.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BALY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.70: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $13.67. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BALY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.33 (+4.3% upside). Prior stop was $13.67. Stop-loss: $13.67.

What are the risks of investing in BALY?

Target reached (-32.1% upside); Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is BALY overvalued or undervalued?

Bally's Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -6.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BALY?

10 analysts cover BALY with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Bally's Corporation do?Bally's Corporation is a fast-growing global entertainment brand with 19 casinos across 11 US states and one casino in...

Bally's Corporation is a fast-growing global entertainment brand with 19 casinos across 11 US states and one casino in Newcastle, UK, along with a golf course in New York and a horse racetrack in Colorado. Bally's also owns Bally Bet, a first-in-class sports betting and igaming platform, licensed in 13 jurisdictions in North America. Bally's holds a majority interest in Bally's Intralot S.A. a leading lottery solutions supplier and igaming operator. Bally's casino operations include approximately 17,700 slot machines, 630 table games, and 3,950 hotel rooms. Bally's also has rights to developable land in Las Vegas at the site of the former Tropicana Las Vegas, has been awarded a license to build a full-scale casino and resort in The Bronx, New York and is developing an integrated destination resort in Chicago, Illinois. Bally's has approximately 10,800 employees across the world, recognized for their innovation, energy, and dedication to creating thrilling gaming experiences. Bally's Corporation was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Providence, United States.

Related stocks: MLCO (Melco Resorts & Entertainment L) · MCRI (Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.) · RRR (Red Rock Resorts, Inc.) · HGV (Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.) · PENN (PENN Entertainment, Inc.)
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