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Boeing Company (The) (BA) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $225.56: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.36; Below-average business quality.

Boeing operates Commercial Airplanes, Defense Space and Security, and Global Services segments serving commercial airlines and government customers worldwide with approximately 182,000 employees. Revenue comes from aircraft sales (46% from non-U.S. customers in 2025) and... Read more

$225.56+7.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#29 of 46 Aerospace & Defense
Stop $212.03Target $241.88(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$268.76+19.2%25 analysts
$241.88our TP
$225.56price
$268.76mean
$300

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $225.56: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.36; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val4.1Qual3.7Grw6.0Mom5.1Sent7.4Ins5.0Peer3.7Tech5.0Risk5.95.1OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government
Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)88.6
P/E (Fwd)51.2
Mkt Cap$176.7B
EV/EBITDA-63.2
Profit Mgn2.5%
ROE169.9%
Rev Growth14.0%
Beta1.13
DividendNone
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.36bearish
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. government
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a substantial portion of our revenue from the U.S. government, primarily from defense related programs with the United States Department of War'
  • MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of commercial airlines
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a significant portion of our revenues from a limited number of commercial airlines'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle source of supply
    10-K Item 1A: 'In some instances, we depend upon a single source of supply'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'China is a significant market for commercial aircraft'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.7
Net Margin
1.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.5
Moat
5.0
Fcf Quality
7.6
Roe
10.0
Excellent ROE: 170%No competitive moat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
4.2
Value Rank
4.2
Quality Rank
6.3
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $202.30Resistance $236.45

Price Targets

$212
$242
A.Upside+7.2%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-10.2% YoY), High leverage (D/E 4.0)
! Reward/Risk 0.7:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $225.56: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.36; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $212.03. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $241.88 (+7.2% upside). Prior stop was $212.03. Stop-loss: $212.03.

What are the risks of investing in BA?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government; Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply; Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is BA overvalued or undervalued?

Boeing Company (The) trades at a P/E of 88.6 (forward 51.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BA?

37 analysts cover BA with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $269.

What does Boeing Company (The) do?Boeing operates Commercial Airplanes, Defense Space and Security, and Global Services segments serving commercial...

Boeing operates Commercial Airplanes, Defense Space and Security, and Global Services segments serving commercial airlines and government customers worldwide with approximately 182,000 employees. Revenue comes from aircraft sales (46% from non-U.S. customers in 2025) and defense/services contracts primarily with the U.S. government. Boeing recently acquired Spirit AeroSystems and continues 737 production rate ramp-up.

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