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Boeing Company (The) (BA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $216.70: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Boeing is a major aerospace company with three segments: Commercial Airplanes (737, 777, 787, 777X development), Defense Space & Security (military aircraft, missiles, satellites), and Global Services (MRO, parts, training). Non-U.S. customers accounted for 46% of total 2025... Read more

$216.70+13.0% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#34 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield1.51%
Stop $207.58Target $243.00(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$270.00+24.6%25 analysts
$243.00our TP
$216.70price
$270.00mean
$300

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $216.70: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Boeing Company (The)

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government
Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. customers (BCA) (60.0%)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)84.6
P/E (Fwd)50.5
Mkt Cap$169.5B
EV/EBITDA-61.0
Profit Mgn2.5%
ROE169.9%
Rev Growth14.0%
Beta1.21
DividendNone
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.96neutral
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. government
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a substantial portion of our revenue from the U.S. government, primarily from defense related programs with the United States Department of War (DoW) and contracts with other government agencies, including NASA.'
  • HIGHGeographicnon-U.S. customers (BCA)60%
    10-K Item 1A: 'non-U.S. customers...accounted for 46% of our total revenues and 60% of Commercial Airplanes revenue from customer contracts.'
  • HIGHSuppliersole-source suppliers
    10-K Item 1: 'Many major components and product equipment items are procured or subcontracted on a sole-source basis.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.6
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
4.3
Growth Rank
4.4
Quality Rank
6.2
Superior ROE vs peers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.7
Net Margin
1.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.5
Moat
6.0
Fcf Quality
7.6
Roe
10.0
Excellent ROE: 170%
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 68d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $214.00Resistance $244.07

Price Targets

$208
$243
A.Upside+12.1%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (68d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $216.70: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $207.58. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $243.00 (+13.0% upside). Prior stop was $207.58. Stop-loss: $207.58.

What are the risks of investing in BA?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government; Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. customers (BCA) (60.0%); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is BA overvalued or undervalued?

Boeing Company (The) trades at a P/E of 84.6 (forward 50.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BA?

37 analysts cover BA with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $270.

What does Boeing Company (The) do?Boeing is a major aerospace company with three segments: Commercial Airplanes (737, 777, 787, 777X development),...

Boeing is a major aerospace company with three segments: Commercial Airplanes (737, 777, 787, 777X development), Defense Space & Security (military aircraft, missiles, satellites), and Global Services (MRO, parts, training). Non-U.S. customers accounted for 46% of total 2025 revenues and 60% of Commercial Airplanes revenue. The company is recovering from IAM District 751 and 837 union strikes and ongoing FAA-overseen production and certification challenges.

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