Boeing has 24.6% upside to the analyst target at $171.55, but weak quality (2.6/10, Piotroski 3/9), a forward P/E of 68.4x, repeated earnings misses and a death-cross downtrend leave the turnaround unproven.
Thesis pillars
- Weak Quality No Moat↓Deteriorating
- Downtrend Death Cross↓Deteriorating
- Analyst Upside Vs Stretched Forward Pe↑Improving
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Jan 30, 2026
Boeing Company (The) (BA) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $173.31: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 3.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 17.07; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Boeing designs and markets commercial jets, military systems, and aerospace services through three segments — Commercial Airplanes, Defense Space & Security, and Global Services — to airlines, the U.S. Department of War, and global defense customers. With approximately 182,000... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $173.31: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 3.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 17.07; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
About Boeing Company (The)
About Boeing Company (The)
Boeing generates revenue across three segments — Commercial Airplanes (BCA), Defense Space & Security (BDS), and Global Services (BGS) — with non-U.S. customers accounting for 46% of total revenues in 2025, including 60% of BCA revenue from customer contracts. The total workforce stood at approximately 182,000 at December 31, 2025, with roughly 72,000 union-represented employees. The 777X wide-body program, launched in 2013, targets first delivery in 2027 and recognized $4.9 billion in additional reach-forward losses in 2025.
BCA sells commercial jetliners — the 737 narrow-body and the 767, 777, and 787 wide-bodies — to global airlines under firm fixed-price contracts with indexed price escalation clauses, tying realized revenue to labor and commodity price indices that can fluctuate significantly from period to period. Significant deterioration in airline profitability or consolidation among major airline customers may result in fewer new orders or postponement of deliveries. BDS serves the U.S. Department of War and other government agencies with manned and unmanned military aircraft, missile systems, and satellite solutions, competing primarily against General Dynamics, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, RTX Corporation, and SpaceX. BGS provides aftermarket support including supply chain management, maintenance, pilot training, and digital analytics across both commercial and defense platforms. The most critical raw materials are aluminum, titanium, and composites including carbon and boron; qualification of alternative sources typically takes a year or more. Many major components are procured on a sole-source basis, making supplier performance a direct constraint on production rates and program profitability.
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Boeing's labor arrangements include 32 independent agreements with nine U.S. unions as of December 31, 2025. IAM District 751, representing over 30,000 manufacturing employees primarily in Washington state, struck for 53 days in 2024, halting most commercial aircraft production; in 2025, IAM District 837 at St. Louis — covering approximately 3,200 employees — struck for 101 days, disrupting F/A-18, F-15, T-7A, MQ-25, and Weapons programs. Both strikes occurred despite tentative agreements supported by union leadership, illustrating that ratification outcomes remain unpredictable. Society of Professional Engineering Employees in Aerospace (SPEEA) holds contracts in Washington and Kansas expiring in October 2026, putting near-term negotiations back on the calendar.
See also: Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
From Boeing Company (The)'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated Nov 4, 2026Recent Developments — Boeing Company (The)
Latest news
- NEWS Boeing, Avolon Announce Finalized Purchase Of 140 737-10 Airplanes, Largest Single-Aisle Order By A Lessor — benzinga Nov 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS Boeing Releases Long-Term Aviation Forecast for the Middle East — fiscal.ai Nov 4, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Boeing Releases 2026 Commercial Market Outlook for China — fiscal.ai Nov 3, 2026 positive
- NEWS Boeing Announces Travel Demand Propels Middle East Fleet To Double By 2045; Passenger Traffic In Middle East Is Forecast — benzinga Nov 3, 2026 positive
- NEWS Beacon AI Tests MURDOCK Pilot-Assistance Software on Boeing KC-46 — fiscal.ai Nov 3, 2026 positive
Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T12:04:35Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. customers46%10-K Item 1A: 'non-U.S. customers...accounted for 46% of our total revenues and 60% of Commercial Airplanes revenue from customer contracts'
- HIGHGeographicnon-U.S. BCA revenue60%10-K Item 1A: 'non-U.S. customers...60% of Commercial Airplanes revenue from customer contracts'
- MEDIUMCustomercommercial airlines10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a significant portion of our revenues from a limited number of commercial airlines'
- HIGHSuppliersole-source components10-K Item 1: 'Many major components and product equipment items are procured or subcontracted on a sole-source basis'
- MEDIUMCustomerU.S. government10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a substantial portion of our revenue from the U.S. government, primarily from defense related programs with the United States Department of War (DoW)'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $173.31: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 3.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 17.07; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $161.51. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $210.01 (+21.2% upside). Prior stop was $161.51. Stop-loss: $161.51.
Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. BCA revenue (60.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source components; Cyclical trap - fwd PE 80x vs trail 18x (4.5x).
Boeing Company (The) trades at a P/E of 17.9 (forward 80.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
37 analysts rate BA, with a consensus score of 4.3/5. 26 analysts publish price targets averaging $233.
What does Boeing Company (The) do?Boeing designs and markets commercial jets, military systems, and aerospace services through three segments —...
Boeing designs and markets commercial jets, military systems, and aerospace services through three segments — Commercial Airplanes, Defense Space & Security, and Global Services — to airlines, the U.S. Department of War, and global defense customers. With approximately 182,000 employees at December 31, 2025, Boeing earns revenue from aircraft deliveries under firm fixed-price contracts with escalation clauses, and from long-cycle defense and services programs.