Transdigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Stock Analysis
Temp Headwind edge
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $1157.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Weak growth.
TransDigm designs, produces, and supplies highly engineered proprietary aircraft components critical to commercial and military aircraft, with ~90% of fiscal 2025 net sales from proprietary products. Approximately 55% of net sales came from the aftermarket, which has... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $1157.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers40%10-K Item 1A: 'our top ten customers for fiscal year 2025 accounted for approximately 40% of our net sales'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $1157.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $1094.36. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $1383.43 (+20.0% upside). Prior stop was $1094.36. Stop-loss: $1094.36.
Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Weak growth; Negative momentum.
Transdigm Group Incorporated trades at a P/E of 36.8 (forward 25.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
28 analysts cover TDG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $1537.
What does Transdigm Group Incorporated do?TransDigm designs, produces, and supplies highly engineered proprietary aircraft components critical to commercial and...
TransDigm designs, produces, and supplies highly engineered proprietary aircraft components critical to commercial and military aircraft, with ~90% of fiscal 2025 net sales from proprietary products. Approximately 55% of net sales came from the aftermarket, which has historically produced higher gross profit. Three segments: Power & Control, Airframe, and Non-aviation.