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Heico Corporation (HEI-A) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-27). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $217.96, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.2%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

HEICO manufactures FAA-approved aircraft component replacement parts (Flight Support Group, 70% of fiscal 2025 net sales of $4,485M) and electronic/electro-optical defense and aerospace equipment (Electronic Technologies Group, 30%). Approximately 31% of net sales come from... Read more

$217.96+9.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#25 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.27%
IncomeYield0.11%(5y avg 0.13%)Payout4.75%sustainable
Stop $204.60Target $238.00(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$280.00+28.5%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. At $217.96, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.2%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.2%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.1
P/E (Fwd)50.6
Mkt Cap$30.4B
EV/EBITDA26.2
Profit Mgn15.4%
ROE16.6%
Rev Growth14.4%
Beta0.95
Dividend0.11%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.36bullish
Max Pain$210-3.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerdefense, commercial and defense satellite and spacecraft components31%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In fiscal 2025, approximately 31% of our net sales were derived from the sale of defense, commercial and defense satellite and spacecraft components, and homeland security products.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Forward Pe
2.3
Pe
2.8
Peg Ratio
4.4
Ps
5.8
Forward P/E: 50.6xPEG: 2.07
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $199.35Resistance $227.54

Price Targets

$205
$238
A.Upside+9.2%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 1.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-27 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HEI-A stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $217.96, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.2%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Prior stop was $204.60. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HEI-A stock price target?

Take-profit target: $238.00 (+9.2% upside). Prior stop was $204.60. Stop-loss: $204.60.

What are the risks of investing in HEI-A?

Thin upside margin: 9.2%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Is HEI-A overvalued or undervalued?

Heico Corporation trades at a P/E of 43.1 (forward 50.6). TrendMatrix value score: 3.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HEI-A?

27 analysts cover HEI-A with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $280.

What does Heico Corporation do?HEICO manufactures FAA-approved aircraft component replacement parts (Flight Support Group, 70% of fiscal 2025 net...

HEICO manufactures FAA-approved aircraft component replacement parts (Flight Support Group, 70% of fiscal 2025 net sales of $4,485M) and electronic/electro-optical defense and aerospace equipment (Electronic Technologies Group, 30%). Approximately 31% of net sales come from defense/homeland security products and 38% from foreign customers; the company has completed ~107 acquisitions since 1990.

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