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HEI-AHeico CorporationSell5.7·$249.70
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Heico's Class A shares offer exposure to a high-quality, high-growth industrial franchise with favorable technical momentum and a 1.3-to-1 reward-to-risk in your favor — meaningful but short of the 1.5-to-1 preferred threshold — while the nearly 58-times forward earnings multiple and heavy product concentration in the Flight Support Group (approximately 70% of revenue) keep the asymmetry below the bar for a compelling new entry.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Industrial Franchise→Stable
  • Constructive Technical Momentum↑Improving
  • Expensive Valuation Asymmetry Gap→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Dec 22, 2025· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Heico Corporation (HEI-A) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $249.70 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%).

HEICO Corporation manufactures FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts through its Flight Support Group (FSG, 70% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and designs electronic, electro-optical, and defense equipment through its Electronic Technologies Group (ETG,... Read more

$249.70+2.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#39 of 66 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.42%
IncomeYield0.10%(5y avg 0.12%)Payout4.17%sustainable
Stop $233.80Analyst target $255.00(−15% haircut)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst consensus$300.00+20.1%1 analysts with price targets
Range unavailable (1 analysts with price targets)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $249.70 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Aug 26, 2026

Recent Developments — Heico Corporation

Latest item Aug 26, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:08Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Dec 17, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.6
P/E (Fwd)57.9
Mkt Cap$34.9B
EV/EBITDA25.7
Profit Mgn16.4%
ROE17.7%
Rev Growth23.1%
Beta1.09
Dividend0.10%
Analysts with ratings29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
Max Pain$220-11.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductFlight Support Group70%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our Flight Support Group ("FSG")...accounted for 70%, 68% and 60% of our net sales in fiscal 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMProductdefense and homeland security products31%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In fiscal 2025, approximately 31% of our net sales were derived from the sale of defense, commercial and defense satellite and spacecraft components, and homeland security products.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicforeign customers38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 38% of our consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025 derived from sales to foreign customers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Forward Pe
2.0
Pe
2.9
Peg Ratio
4.8
Ps
5.7
Forward P/E: 57.9xPEG: 1.72

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.7
Support Resistance
1.7
Gap
5.0
52w Position
7.9
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $218.00Resistance $256.23

Price Targets

$234
$255
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.1% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-17 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HEI-A stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $249.70 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $233.80. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HEI-A stock price target?

Analyst target: $255.00 (+2.1% upside). Prior stop was $233.80. Stop-loss: $233.80.

What are the risks of investing in HEI-A?

Concentration risk — Product: Flight Support Group (70.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is HEI-A overvalued or undervalued?

Heico Corporation trades at a P/E of 41.6 (forward 57.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HEI-A?

29 analysts rate HEI-A, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 1 analysts publish price targets averaging $300.

What does Heico Corporation do?HEICO Corporation manufactures FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts through its Flight...

HEICO Corporation manufactures FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts through its Flight Support Group (FSG, 70% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and designs electronic, electro-optical, and defense equipment through its Electronic Technologies Group (ETG, 30%). Net sales reached $4,485.0 million in fiscal 2025, serving commercial airlines, the U.S. Department of Defense, defense prime contractors, and foreign military organizations.

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