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Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

Sell if holding. At $165.91, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 6.6%.

Avery Dennison is a global materials science company with two segments: Materials Group (~69% of net sales, pressure-sensitive label and graphics materials) and Solutions Group (~31%, RFID inlays, apparel branding). In 2025, approximately 69% of net sales were international; no... Read more

$165.91+6.6% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#11 of 16 Packaging & Containers
Stop $156.70Target $175.57(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$201.80+21.6%10 analysts
$175.57our TP
$165.91price
$201.80mean
$221

Sell if holding. At $165.91, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 6.6%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.6%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.4
P/E (Fwd)14.5
Mkt Cap$12.5B
EV/EBITDA11.1
Profit Mgn7.7%
ROE30.9%
Rev Growth7.0%
Beta1.00
Dividend2.31%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.70bearish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$145-12.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicemerging markets40%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 40% of our net sales in 2025 originated in emerging markets.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.9
Revenue Growth
4.2
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $161.55Resistance $175.98

Price Targets

$157
$176
A.Upside+5.8%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $165.91, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 6.6%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $156.70. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AVY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $175.57 (+6.6% upside). Prior stop was $156.70. Stop-loss: $156.70.

What are the risks of investing in AVY?

Thin upside margin: 6.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Weak growth.

Is AVY overvalued or undervalued?

Avery Dennison Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.4 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AVY?

17 analysts cover AVY with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $202.

What does Avery Dennison Corporation do?Avery Dennison is a global materials science company with two segments: Materials Group (~69% of net sales,...

Avery Dennison is a global materials science company with two segments: Materials Group (~69% of net sales, pressure-sensitive label and graphics materials) and Solutions Group (~31%, RFID inlays, apparel branding). In 2025, approximately 69% of net sales were international; no single customer represented 10% or more of net sales.

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