Ares Management ranks among the fastest-growing firms in its industry with 28% revenue growth and converts earnings to free cash flow at 2.8 times net income, yet three earnings misses in the past four quarters, elevated leverage, and an unfavorable risk/reward at the current price argue for patience over adding exposure.
Thesis pillars
- Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
- Three Of Four Quarters Missed↓Deteriorating
- Leverage Penalty And High Short Interest↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Ares Management Corporation (ARES) Stock Analysis
Financial Services · Asset Management
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $114.03 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Ares Management Corporation manages $622.5 billion in AUM across Credit, Real Assets, Secondaries, and Private Equity strategies from over 55 offices in 25-plus countries. The firm earns management fees and performance-based income from over 2,850 direct institutional... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $114.03 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-16Recent Developments — Ares Management Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Ares Management Gears Up for Q2 Earnings: Here's What to Expect - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Ares Management Gears Up for Q2 Earnings: Here's What to Expect - finance.yahoo.com — finance.yahoo.com positive
- NEWS Ares Management Gears Up for Q2 Earnings: Here's What to Expect - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Ares Management Gears Up for Q2 Earnings: Here's What to Expect - tradingview.com — tradingview.com neutral
- NEWS Ares Capital: Q2 Earnings Snapshot - KTVB — KTVB neutral
Generated 2026-10-16T11:42:16Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerARCC10-K Item 1A: 'we derive a significant portion of our management fees from ARCC'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $114.03 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $106.99. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $131.13 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $106.99. Stop-loss: $106.99.
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.
Ares Management Corporation trades at a P/E of 52.5 (forward 16.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
25 analysts cover ARES with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $146.
What does Ares Management Corporation do?Ares Management Corporation manages $622.5 billion in AUM across Credit, Real Assets, Secondaries, and Private Equity...
Ares Management Corporation manages $622.5 billion in AUM across Credit, Real Assets, Secondaries, and Private Equity strategies from over 55 offices in 25-plus countries. The firm earns management fees and performance-based income from over 2,850 direct institutional relationships and a growing retail investor base across publicly-traded funds and perpetual vehicles.