Ares Management has strong momentum and institutional accumulation, but price sits within 2.2% of the analyst target against 13.9% downside, revenue is declining 19%, and quality is weak, so it is not a compelling add.
Thesis pillars
- Declining Revenue Weak Quality↓Deteriorating
- Strong Breakout Momentum↑Improving
- Institutional Accumulation→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026
Ares Management Corporation (ARES) Stock Analysis
Financial Services · Asset Management
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $136.85 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5).
Ares Management Corporation manages $622.5 billion in AUM across Credit, Real Assets, Secondaries, and Private Equity strategies from over 55 offices in 25-plus countries. The firm earns management fees and performance-based income from over 2,850 direct institutional... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $136.85 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.1/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated Oct 28, 2026Recent Developments — Ares Management Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Ares Capital Buys Apollo’s MFIC - Markets Media — Markets Media Oct 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Ares Capital Agrees to Acquire MidCap Financial Investment - ABF Journal — ABF Journal Oct 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Ares Management (ARES) Could Be 16% Undervalued Following The €1.5b Logistics Venture - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS Ares and Apollo embrace new private-credit alchemy - Breakingviews — Breakingviews Oct 27, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Ares Capital seals $2.6 billion deal for Apollo's MFIC as consolidation continues - Reuters — Reuters Oct 27, 2026 neutral
Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T12:04:08Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerARCC10-K Item 1A: 'we derive a significant portion of our management fees from ARCC'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -18.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $136.85 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $127.91. Score 4.1/10, high confidence.
Analyst target $131.90 reached (−3.6% from $136.85); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $127.91. Stop-loss: $127.91.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.
Ares Management Corporation trades at a P/E of 112.2 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
27 analysts rate ARES, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 20 analysts publish price targets averaging $147.
What does Ares Management Corporation do?Ares Management Corporation manages $622.5 billion in AUM across Credit, Real Assets, Secondaries, and Private Equity...
Ares Management Corporation manages $622.5 billion in AUM across Credit, Real Assets, Secondaries, and Private Equity strategies from over 55 offices in 25-plus countries. The firm earns management fees and performance-based income from over 2,850 direct institutional relationships and a growing retail investor base across publicly-traded funds and perpetual vehicles.