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BlackRock, Inc. (BLK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Wait for pullback to $998.73. At $1033.00 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $998.73 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 8.6%; Below 200-day MA.

BlackRock is the largest publicly traded investment manager with $14.0T in AUM as of December 31, 2025, offering index, active, private markets, and cash management strategies to institutional and retail clients in over 100 countries through approximately 24,900 employees. It... Read more

$1033.00+11.4% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#22 of 109 Asset Management
Entry $998.73(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $945.72Target $1128.71(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.8:1Setup A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$1254.13+21.4%16 analysts
$1128.71our TP
$1033.00price
$1254.13mean
$1393

Wait for pullback to $998.73. At $1033.00 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $998.73 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 8.6%; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 1.32, quality 8.1/10, growth 9.6/10). Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.6%
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.2
P/E (Fwd)17.1
Mkt Cap$161.5B
EV/EBITDA16.4
Profit Mgn24.4%
ROE
Rev Growth27.0%
Beta1.49
Dividend2.21%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.35bearish
IV50%normal
Max Pain$600-41.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-27Item 5.02LOW
    Gregg R. Lemkau elected as an independent director of the Board on January 27, 2026. Lemkau is Co-CEO of BDT & MSD Partners and former Co-Head of Investment Banking at Goldman Sachs. Committee assignments pending.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $929.25Resistance $1074.00

Price Targets

$946
$999
$1129
A.Upside+9.3%
A.R:R0.8:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.3%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-15 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLK stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $998.73. At $1033.00 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $998.73 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 8.6%; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 1.32, quality 8.1/10, growth 9.6/10). Target $1128.71 (+9.3%), stop $945.72 (−9.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.2:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BLK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1128.71 (+11.4% upside). Target $1128.71 (+9.3%), stop $945.72 (−9.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.2:1. Stop-loss: $945.72.

What are the risks of investing in BLK?

Thin upside margin: 8.6%; Below 200-day MA.

Is BLK overvalued or undervalued?

BlackRock, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.2 (forward 17.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BLK?

23 analysts cover BLK with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $1254.

What does BlackRock, Inc. do?BlackRock is the largest publicly traded investment manager with $14.0T in AUM as of December 31, 2025, offering index,...

BlackRock is the largest publicly traded investment manager with $14.0T in AUM as of December 31, 2025, offering index, active, private markets, and cash management strategies to institutional and retail clients in over 100 countries through approximately 24,900 employees. It also provides investment technology (Aladdin, eFront, Preqin) and earns investment management fees plus performance fees ($1.4B, 6% of 2025 revenue).

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