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VCTRVictory Capital Holdings, Inc. Buy Wait6.5·$87.32+1.57%
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Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Wait for pullback to $82.48. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $87.32. Engine's entry $82.48 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: mutual funds and other pooled investment vehicles (80.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Victory Capital Holdings manages $313.8 billion in AUM across eight Investment Franchises and a Solutions Platform, offering mutual funds, ETFs, separate accounts, and alternatives to institutions, retirement plans, and intermediaries in more than 60 countries. The company earns... Read more

$87.32+7.2% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#6 of 112 Asset Management
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield8.38%
IncomeYield2.33%(5y avg 2.74%)Payout44.04%sustainable
Entry $82.48(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $77.00Target $88.39(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1Setup A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$86.50-0.9%6 analysts
$88.39our TP
$87.32price
$86.50mean
$76
$95

Wait for pullback to $82.48. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $87.32. Engine's entry $82.48 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: mutual funds and other pooled investment vehicles (80.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.29, quality 8.3/10, growth 9.8/10). Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Victory Capital Holdings, Inc.

About Victory Capital Holdings, Inc.

Victory Capital Holdings managed $313.8 billion in AUM at December 31, 2025, across 187 investment strategies spanning equity, fixed income, alternatives, and model portfolios, with $316.6 billion in total client assets. Pioneer Investments — added via the Amundi US transaction that closed in 2025 — managed $132.3 billion, the largest of the firm's eight Investment Franchises. Seventeen percent of AUM was from clients outside the United States, and 54 mutual funds and ETFs earned four or five Morningstar stars overall at year-end.

Approximately 80% of Victory Capital's total revenues in 2025 came from mutual funds and other pooled investment vehicles the firm advises, with the remainder from institutional separate accounts, CITs, and other mandates; revenue is almost entirely asset-based management fees that decline proportionally if AUM falls. The eight Franchises — Victory Income Investors ($35.6 billion), Sycamore Capital ($28.4 billion), WestEnd Advisors ($26.9 billion AUA and AUM combined), RS Investments ($19.8 billion), Trivalent ($8.5 billion), Integrity ($6.0 billion), New Energy Capital (below $1 billion), and Pioneer Investments ($132.3 billion) — retain investment autonomy while sharing centralized distribution, marketing, and back-office support. A 15-year exclusive offshore distribution agreement with Amundi, effective 2025 and set to auto-renew in 2040, positions Victory Capital as the exclusive supplier of traditional U.S.-manufactured active strategies for distribution across Amundi's 35-country presence.

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Investment advisory agreements for registered mutual funds and ETFs are terminable by fund boards on not more than 60 days' written notice under the Investment Company Act of 1940, and separate account clients may reallocate assets with little or no notice. Two Sycamore Capital mutual funds with an aggregate $20.6 billion in AUM at December 31, 2025 are closed to new investors due to capacity constraints. Fund administration, accounting, and transfer agency agreements are subject to annual board renewal, meaning a substantial portion of the firm's revenue depends on recurring approval processes that may not be renewed.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. 's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: mutual funds and other pooled investment vehicles (80.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.2% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.3
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$5.4B
EV/EBITDA8.5
Profit Mgn25.8%
ROE21.7%
Rev Growth76.7%
Beta1.11
Dividend2.33%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.48bullish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$90+3.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductmutual funds and other pooled investment vehicles80%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we generated approximately 80% of our total revenues from mutual funds and other pooled investment vehicles that we advise'
  • MEDIUMProductPioneer Investments
    10-K Item 1: 'Pioneer Investments ... managed $132.3 billion in AUM as of December 31, 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    On March 13, 2026, the board approved a one-time performance-based restricted stock grant to CEO David C. Brown, President/CFO Michael D. Policarpo, EVP Tom Sipp, CLO Nina Gupta, and President of Franchises Mannik Dhillon under the 2018 Equity Plan to incentivize long-term stock outperformance.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $81.07Resistance $90.19

Price Targets

$77
$82
$88
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R-1.9:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.2%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.8% upside)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VCTR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $82.48. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $87.32. Engine's entry $82.48 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: mutual funds and other pooled investment vehicles (80.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.29, quality 8.3/10, growth 9.8/10). Target $88.39 (+1.2%), stop $77.00 (−13.4%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VCTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $88.39 (+7.2% upside). Target $88.39 (+1.2%), stop $77.00 (−13.4%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $77.00.

What are the risks of investing in VCTR?

Concentration risk — Product: mutual funds and other pooled investment vehicles (80.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.2% away).

Is VCTR overvalued or undervalued?

Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.3 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about VCTR?

13 analysts cover VCTR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $87.

What does Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. do?Victory Capital Holdings manages $313.8 billion in AUM across eight Investment Franchises and a Solutions Platform,...

Victory Capital Holdings manages $313.8 billion in AUM across eight Investment Franchises and a Solutions Platform, offering mutual funds, ETFs, separate accounts, and alternatives to institutions, retirement plans, and intermediaries in more than 60 countries. The company earns asset-based management fees, with approximately 80% of revenue from mutual funds and other pooled investment vehicles it advises.

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