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AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.Buy Wait5.9·$485.15
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A franchise with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, 67% return on equity, 20% operating margins, a wide economic moat, and four consecutive earnings beats is priced attractively at roughly 9.7 times forward earnings—but the stock sits in a confirmed near-term downtrend with the slope of the 200-day average declining, an elevated put/call ratio, and just 2.3% headroom to the current price target, arguing for patience near the $442 noted entry level rather than adding at today's price.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Forward Valuation↑Improving
  • High Quality Wide Moat Franchise→Stable
  • Four Quarter Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ameriprise Financial, Inc. (AMP) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup · Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Wait for pullback to $455.43. At $485.15 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $455.43 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 3.9%; Negative momentum.

Ameriprise Financial manages $1.7 trillion in assets under management, administration, and advisement across four segments: Advice & Wealth Management, Asset Management (Columbia Threadneedle, $721 billion), Retirement & Protection Solutions, and Corporate & Other. More than... Read more

$485.15+3.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#65 of 240 Asset Management
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.54%
IncomeYield1.33%(5y avg 1.41%)Payout15.70%sustainable
Entry $455.43(Rr Min Solve Sticky)Stop $424.09Target $504.13(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$579.45+19.4%11 analysts
$504.13our TP
$485.15price
$579.45mean
$645

Wait for pullback to $455.43. At $485.15 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $455.43 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 3.9%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 12, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Ameriprise Financial, Inc.

About Ameriprise Financial, Inc.

Ameriprise Financial managed $1.7 trillion in assets under management, administration, and advisement at December 31, 2025—up from $1.5 trillion a year earlier—across four operating segments: Advice & Wealth Management, Asset Management (Columbia Threadneedle, $721 billion), Retirement & Protection Solutions, and Corporate & Other. More than 10,000 financial advisors anchor the U.S. wealth management franchise, and the company's investment management business holds a presence in 16 key global markets.

Ameriprise earns revenue across three primary business lines. Advice & Wealth Management collects fee-based revenues tied to client asset levels, financial planning fees, transaction fees, and distribution fees for affiliated and third-party products sold through four advisor channels—the Ameriprise Franchise Group, Advisor Group, Personal Wealth Group, and Financial Institutions Group. Asset Management earns management fees on $721 billion through the Columbia Threadneedle platform globally, with performance fees available on certain strategies. The Retirement & Protection Solutions segment earns fees on variable annuity contract and benefit-base values plus net investment income on general account assets; RiverSource annuities and insurance are distributed exclusively through the Ameriprise advisor network. A significant portion of Asset Management revenue derives from Columbia Management mutual fund management agreements terminable on 60 days' notice. The company reinsures portions of term life, disability income, universal life, long-term care, and annuity blocks through coinsurance and renewable-term arrangements with unaffiliated reinsurers.

Show full overview

Ameriprise's insurance, annuity, and banking products carry material sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations. The 10-K discloses that prolonged low rates could compress or invert spreads on long-term care and universal life with secondary guarantees, while rising rates could accelerate policy surrenders and annuity withdrawals as policyholders shift to higher-yielding alternatives—both scenarios partially hedged through derivatives. Structured variable annuity contracts carry index-linked account-value adjustments requiring derivative hedging; the 10-K notes that collateral requirements for the hedging program are market-sensitive and that certain environments, such as rising interest rates, may require access to more costly liquidity sources, weighing on profitability.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Ameriprise Financial, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-24
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.9%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.7
P/E (Fwd)9.7
Mkt Cap$44.4B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn19.9%
ROE63.4%
Rev Growth11.6%
Beta1.13
Dividend1.33%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.71bearish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$430-11.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductColumbia Management mutual funds
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our revenue is derived from investment management agreements with the Columbia Management family of mutual funds'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    William Davies, EVP and Global Chief Investment Officer of Ameriprise Financial, announced retirement effective June 30, 2026. No successor named in the filing.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
7.7
Capitulation risk (RSI 12, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Moderate
RSI
12 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $477.91Resistance $567.33

Price Targets

$424
$455
$504
A.Upside+3.9%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMP stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $455.43. At $485.15 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $455.43 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 3.9%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 12, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Target $504.13 (+3.9%), stop $424.09 (−14.4%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $504.13 (+3.9% upside). Target $504.13 (+3.9%), stop $424.09 (−14.4%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $424.09.

What are the risks of investing in AMP?

Thin upside margin: 3.9%; Negative momentum.

Is AMP overvalued or undervalued?

Ameriprise Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.7 (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AMP?

20 analysts cover AMP with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $579.

What does Ameriprise Financial, Inc. do?Ameriprise Financial manages $1.7 trillion in assets under management, administration, and advisement across four...

Ameriprise Financial manages $1.7 trillion in assets under management, administration, and advisement across four segments: Advice & Wealth Management, Asset Management (Columbia Threadneedle, $721 billion), Retirement & Protection Solutions, and Corporate & Other. More than 10,000 financial advisors distribute proprietary and third-party products to U.S. retail clients. Ameriprise Bank, FSB, converted in 2019, subjects the holding company to Federal Reserve supervision.

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