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Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. (AMG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Wait for pullback to $289.77. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $296.54. Engine's entry $289.77 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Negative momentum.

AMG is a strategic partner to independent investment management firms (Affiliates), holding equity stakes generating structured revenue shares from firms managing ~$813B in AUM across alternatives, liquid alternatives, and differentiated long-only strategies globally. AMG does... Read more

$296.54+16.6% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#18 of 109 Asset Management
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.05%
IncomeYield0.01%(5y avg 0.02%)Payout0.16%sustainable
Entry $289.77(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $269.00Target $335.57(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1Setup A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$385.71+30.1%7 analysts
$335.57our TP
$296.54price
$385.71mean
$454

Wait for pullback to $289.77. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $296.54. Engine's entry $289.77 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Val6.8Qual6.5Grw7.5Mom3.1Sent8.1Ins4.3Peer5.1Tech5.7Risk6.06.0OVERALL

Recent Developments — Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.1
P/E (Fwd)7.5
Mkt Cap$7.8B
EV/EBITDA21.3
Profit Mgn35.5%
ROE21.8%
Rev Growth9.7%
Beta1.14
Dividend0.01%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.28bearish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$125-57.8% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-26Item 5.02LOW
    G. Staley Cates (former Vice Chairman of Southeastern Asset Management) appointed as independent director effective April 1, 2026. Routine board appointment.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-12Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Thomas M. Wojcik (President & Chief Operating Officer) stepping down effective March 6, 2026. Responsibilities distributed to other members of the senior leadership team. No named successor for the President/COO role.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $270.34Resistance $317.80

Price Targets

$269
$290
$336
A.Upside+13.2%
A.R:R1.5:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.5%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $289.77. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $296.54. Engine's entry $289.77 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $335.57 (+13.2%), stop $269.00 (−10.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.4:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $335.57 (+16.6% upside). Target $335.57 (+13.2%), stop $269.00 (−10.2%), Setup A.R:R 2.4:1. Stop-loss: $269.00.

What are the risks of investing in AMG?

Negative momentum.

Is AMG overvalued or undervalued?

Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.1 (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AMG?

10 analysts cover AMG with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $386.

What does Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. do?AMG is a strategic partner to independent investment management firms (Affiliates), holding equity stakes generating...

AMG is a strategic partner to independent investment management firms (Affiliates), holding equity stakes generating structured revenue shares from firms managing ~$813B in AUM across alternatives, liquid alternatives, and differentiated long-only strategies globally. AMG does not directly manage assets; its earnings depend on Affiliate performance and fee levels.

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