Knight-Swift Transportation Hol (KNX) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Trucking
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $69.50: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
Knight-Swift is one of North America's largest and most diversified freight transportation companies, generating $7.5B in total revenue in 2025 across four segments: Truckload, LTL, Logistics, and Intermodal. The company serves a diversified customer base; the largest customer... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $69.50: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Knight-Swift Transportation Hol
Latest news
- S&P 500 Hits Record 7,500, Dow Crosses 50,000 As Cisco, Nvidia Power AI Rally: Stock Market Today — benzinga May 14, 2026 positive
- Knight-Swift Raises $1.3B Via Upsized Convertible Senior Notes At 1.00% Rate And $80.11 Conversion Price To Repay Term L — benzinga May 6, 2026 positive
- Amazon's Next Gold Mine Is Worth $1.3 Trillion: Transport Stocks Begin Paying For It — benzinga May 5, 2026 neutral
- Knight-Swift Transportation Intends To Offer $1B Of Convertible Senior Notes Due 2031 In A Private Placement — benzinga May 5, 2026 neutral
- UBS Maintains Buy on Knight-Swift, Raises Price Target to $79 — benzinga Apr 23, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerlargest customer13%10-K Item 1: 'Services provided to our largest customer generated 13.1% and 12.6% of total revenue in 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
- MEDIUMCustomertop 5 customers26%10-K Item 1: 'our top 25, top 10, and top 5 customers accounted for 49.3%, 34.8%, and 25.6% of our total revenue, respectively' in 2025
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-13Item 5.02LOWDirector Amy Boerger advised she will not stand for reelection at the 2026 Annual Meeting. No disagreement cited; routine board departure.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
5 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $69.50: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $64.64. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $68.59 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $64.64. Stop-loss: $64.64.
Target reached (-8.4% upside); Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.1), Negative free cash flow.
Knight-Swift Transportation Hol trades at a P/E of 328.9 (forward 21.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
24 analysts cover KNX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $71.
What does Knight-Swift Transportation Hol do?Knight-Swift is one of North America's largest and most diversified freight transportation companies, generating $7.5B...
Knight-Swift is one of North America's largest and most diversified freight transportation companies, generating $7.5B in total revenue in 2025 across four segments: Truckload, LTL, Logistics, and Intermodal. The company serves a diversified customer base; the largest customer accounted for 13.1% of total revenue in 2025, with no other single customer exceeding 10%.