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Knight-Swift Transportation Hol (KNX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Trucking

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.81: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Knight-Swift Transportation is one of North America's largest freight carriers with four segments: Truckload, LTL, Logistics, and Intermodal. In 2025 it covered 1.8 billion loaded miles, generating $7.5B total revenue with 21,428 average tractors (truckload) and 4,164 tractors... Read more

$63.81+4.0% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#5 of 9 Trucking
Stop $59.35Target $66.39(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$70.39+10.3%18 analysts
$66.39our TP
$63.81price
$70.39mean
$50
$79

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.81: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.80, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val6.8Qual3.0Grw2.8Mom3.4Sent7.7Ins3.8Peer3.5Tech5.5Risk7.24.6OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-0.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.5), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)301.7
P/E (Fwd)19.7
Mkt Cap$10.3B
EV/EBITDA12.7
Profit Mgn0.5%
ROE0.5%
Rev Growth1.4%
Beta1.11
Dividend1.26%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerretail and discount retail customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Retail and discount retail customers account for a substantial portion of our freight.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-13Item 5.02LOW
    Director Amy Boerger advised she will not stand for reelection at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. No reason cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.8
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.2
Net Margin
0.2
Roa
0.7
Operating Margin
0.7
Gross Margin
0.8
Current Ratio
2.8
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.5
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.2
Quality Rank
2.2
Growth Rank
4.4
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.80EARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $56.38Resistance $67.75

Price Targets

$59
$66
A.Upside+4.0%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.5), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KNX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.81: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $59.35. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KNX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $66.39 (+4.0% upside). Prior stop was $59.35. Stop-loss: $59.35.

What are the risks of investing in KNX?

Target reached (-0.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.5), Negative free cash flow.

Is KNX overvalued or undervalued?

Knight-Swift Transportation Hol trades at a P/E of 301.7 (forward 19.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KNX?

25 analysts cover KNX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $70.

What does Knight-Swift Transportation Hol do?Knight-Swift Transportation is one of North America's largest freight carriers with four segments: Truckload, LTL,...

Knight-Swift Transportation is one of North America's largest freight carriers with four segments: Truckload, LTL, Logistics, and Intermodal. In 2025 it covered 1.8 billion loaded miles, generating $7.5B total revenue with 21,428 average tractors (truckload) and 4,164 tractors (LTL) across the US and Mexico.

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