Skip to main content
APTVAptiv PLCSell5.0·$64.60-3.03%
Open full analysis

Aptiv PLC (APTV) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. At $64.60, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.2%; Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (56.0%).

Aptiv PLC is a global automotive technology supplier operating across three segments: Advanced Safety and User Experience, Engineered Components Group, and Electrical Distribution Systems (subject to spin-off as Versigent). Revenue comes from OEM purchase orders tied to vehicle... Read more

$64.60+7.2% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#22 of 27 Auto Parts
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.74%
Stop $61.08Target $70.39(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$78.21+21.1%19 analysts
$70.39our TP
$64.60price
$78.21mean
$94

Sell if holding. At $64.60, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.2%; Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (56.0%). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (56.0%)
Thin upside margin: 7.2%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.7
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$14.1B
EV/EBITDA6.6
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE4.1%
Rev Growth5.4%
Beta1.33
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.79bearish
IV69%elevated
Max Pain$90+39.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop 10 customers56%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our ten largest customers accounted for approximately 56% of our total net sales for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • LOWCustomerindividual Global OEM10%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 10% to an individual Global OEM'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop 5 customers42%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our five largest customers accounted for approximately 42% of our total net sales for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicAsia Pacific29%
    10-K Item 1: '29% of our net sales came from the Asia Pacific region, which we have identified as a key market likely to experience substantial long-term growth'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.9
Growth Rank
3.6
Value Rank
4.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.8
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $51.68Resistance $78.49

Price Targets

$61
$70
A.Upside+9.0%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APTV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $64.60, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.2%; Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (56.0%). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $61.08. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APTV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $70.39 (+7.2% upside). Prior stop was $61.08. Stop-loss: $61.08.

What are the risks of investing in APTV?

Concentration risk — Customer: top 10 customers (56.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Is APTV overvalued or undervalued?

Aptiv PLC trades at a P/E of 39.7 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about APTV?

30 analysts cover APTV with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $78.

What does Aptiv PLC do?Aptiv PLC is a global automotive technology supplier operating across three segments: Advanced Safety and User...

Aptiv PLC is a global automotive technology supplier operating across three segments: Advanced Safety and User Experience, Engineered Components Group, and Electrical Distribution Systems (subject to spin-off as Versigent). Revenue comes from OEM purchase orders tied to vehicle production, with the top 10 customers representing approximately 56% of 2025 net sales across 139 manufacturing facilities in 50 countries.

Related stocks: HSAI (Hesai Group) · DCH (Dauch Corporation) · PHIN (PHINIA Inc.) · GNTX (Gentex Corporation) · GTX (Garrett Motion Inc.)
Home Stocks APTV

Latest news

Latest News

MarketWatch49d ago
MSN49d ago
GuruFocus63d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance49d ago
MarketWatch50d ago
Yahoo Finance50d ago
MarketBeat64d ago
MarketWatch43d ago
Seeking Alpha43d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha43d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance43d ago
Marketscreener.com43d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com43d agoEarnings
GuruFocus47d ago
Stock Titan48d ago
MarketWatch62d ago
Insider Monkey62d agoProduct
GuruFocus62d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance66d ago
MarketBeat45d ago
Loading more...