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Aptiv PLC (APTV) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.92, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Aptiv is a global automotive technology company with three segments—Advanced Safety and User Experience, Engineered Components Group, and Electrical Distribution Systems (spin-off as Versigent targeted April 2026)—supplying the 25 largest automotive OEMs worldwide from 139... Read more

$52.92+34.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#19 of 27 Auto Parts
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield9.73%
Stop $50.81Target $71.35(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.8:1
Analyst target$79.28+49.8%19 analysts
$71.35our TP
$52.92price
$79.28mean
$106

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.92, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Aptiv PLC

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.6
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$11.2B
EV/EBITDA5.7
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE4.1%
Rev Growth5.4%
Beta1.31
DividendNone
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.79bearish
IV54%elevated
Max Pain$40-24.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
2.1
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.9
Growth Rank
3.6
Value Rank
4.4

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.8
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $52.38Resistance $62.43

Price Targets

$51
$71
A.Upside+34.8%
A.R:R3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 1.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APTV stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.92, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $71.35 (+34.8%), stop $50.81 (−4.2%), A.R:R 3.8:1. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the APTV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $71.35 (+34.6% upside). Target $71.35 (+34.8%), stop $50.81 (−4.2%), A.R:R 3.8:1. Stop-loss: $50.81.

What are the risks of investing in APTV?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Is APTV overvalued or undervalued?

Aptiv PLC trades at a P/E of 31.6 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about APTV?

31 analysts cover APTV with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $79.

What does Aptiv PLC do?Aptiv is a global automotive technology company with three segments—Advanced Safety and User Experience, Engineered...

Aptiv is a global automotive technology company with three segments—Advanced Safety and User Experience, Engineered Components Group, and Electrical Distribution Systems (spin-off as Versigent targeted April 2026)—supplying the 25 largest automotive OEMs worldwide from 139 manufacturing facilities in 50 countries. Top-10 customers represented ~56% of 2025 net sales including ~10% to a single Global OEM.

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