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Aptiv PLC (APTV) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $60.10 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Aptiv is a global automotive technology company focused on safety, electrification, and software, operating three segments: Advanced Safety and User Experience, Engineered Components Group, and Electrical Distribution Systems (being spun off as Versigent). Its customers are... Read more

$60.10+28.2% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#18 of 26 Auto Parts
Stop $56.53Target $77.08(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.7:1
Analyst target$85.65+42.5%19 analysts
$77.08our TP
$60.10price
$85.65mean
$106

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $60.10 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Risks
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Weak overall score: 4.9/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)77.8
P/E (Fwd)8.7
Mkt Cap$14.6B
EV/EBITDA5.9
Profit Mgn0.8%
ROE1.9%
Rev Growth5.0%
Beta1.51
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.37bearish
IV116%elevated
Max Pain$130+116.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerfive largest customers42%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our five largest customers accounted for approximately 42% of our total net sales for the year ended December 31, 2025.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.8

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.6
Value Rank
3.5
Growth Rank
4.4

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
5.2
Macd
7.9
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 4.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $56.56Resistance $62.59

Price Targets

$57
$77
A.Upside+28.3%
A.R:R4.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APTV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $60.10 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Prior stop was $56.53. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APTV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $77.08 (+28.2% upside). Prior stop was $56.53. Stop-loss: $56.53.

What are the risks of investing in APTV?

Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth.

Is APTV overvalued or undervalued?

Aptiv PLC trades at a P/E of 77.8 (forward 8.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about APTV?

30 analysts cover APTV with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $86.

What does Aptiv PLC do?Aptiv is a global automotive technology company focused on safety, electrification, and software, operating three...

Aptiv is a global automotive technology company focused on safety, electrification, and software, operating three segments: Advanced Safety and User Experience, Engineered Components Group, and Electrical Distribution Systems (being spun off as Versigent). Its customers are primarily global automotive OEMs. The company completed a corporate reorganization to a Swiss tax-resident holding structure in December 2024.

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