APA Corporation (APA) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $39.76 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs.
APA Corporation is an independent E&P company with oil and gas operations in the U.S. (Permian Basin), Egypt (Western Desert), and the North Sea (offshore U.K.), plus development activities in Suriname. Revenue comes from crude oil, natural gas, and NGL sales to domestic and... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $39.76 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCommoditycrude oil, natural gas, and NGLs10-K Item 1A: 'The Company's revenues, operating results, future rate of growth, and carrying value of its oil and gas properties depend highly upon the prices it receives for its sales of crude oil, natural gas, and NGL products'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -28.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $39.76 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $36.93. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $43.11 (+8.5% upside). Prior stop was $36.93. Stop-loss: $36.93.
Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).
APA Corporation trades at a P/E of 10.1 (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
34 analysts cover APA with a consensus score of 3.2/5. Average price target: $41.
What does APA Corporation do?APA Corporation is an independent E&P company with oil and gas operations in the U.S. (Permian Basin), Egypt (Western...
APA Corporation is an independent E&P company with oil and gas operations in the U.S. (Permian Basin), Egypt (Western Desert), and the North Sea (offshore U.K.), plus development activities in Suriname. Revenue comes from crude oil, natural gas, and NGL sales to domestic and international markets. The company has a substantial reserve base and is focused on financial discipline, debt reduction, and shareholder returns.