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The Andersons, Inc. (ANDE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $78.56: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.60; Below-average business quality.

The Andersons is a North American agriculture and renewable fuels company with two segments: Agribusiness (commodity merchandising, grain elevators, agricultural nutrients) and Renewables (four ethanol plants with combined 405M gallon capacity after acquiring full ownership of... Read more

$78.56-1.9% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#4 of 5 Food Distribution
Stop $74.94Target $77.04(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$75.00-4.5%3 analysts
Range unavailable (3 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $78.56: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.60; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: corn
Target reached (-18.8% upside)
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.8
P/E (Fwd)13.6
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA13.2
Profit Mgn0.9%
ROE8.3%
Rev Growth-18.8%
Beta0.69
Dividend1.03%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.60bearish
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$40-49.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditycorn
    10-K Item 1A: 'The principal raw material used to produce ethanol and co-products is corn. As a result, an increase in the price of corn, particularly corn basis, in the absence of a corresponding increase in petroleum-based fuel prices will typically decrease ethanol margins'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
0.4
Roa
1.4
Operating Margin
1.5
Roe
2.8
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.2
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -185% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
4.0
Value Rank
4.5

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.1
Bollinger
0.2
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.11Resistance $78.61

Price Targets

$75
$77
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANDE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $78.56: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.60; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $74.94. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ANDE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $77.04 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $74.94. Stop-loss: $74.94.

What are the risks of investing in ANDE?

Concentration risk — Commodity: corn; Target reached (-18.8% upside); Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is ANDE overvalued or undervalued?

The Andersons, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.8 (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ANDE?

9 analysts cover ANDE with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $75.

What does The Andersons, Inc. do?The Andersons is a North American agriculture and renewable fuels company with two segments: Agribusiness (commodity...

The Andersons is a North American agriculture and renewable fuels company with two segments: Agribusiness (commodity merchandising, grain elevators, agricultural nutrients) and Renewables (four ethanol plants with combined 405M gallon capacity after acquiring full ownership of The Andersons Renewables in July 2025). Revenue comes from commodity trading, storage, fertilizer sales, and ethanol production and co-product sales. The principal commodities handled are corn, wheat, and soybeans.

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