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The Andersons, Inc. (ANDE) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.85: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

The Andersons is a North American agriculture and renewable fuels company operating two segments: Agribusiness (grain merchandising, fertilizers, nutrients) and Renewables (four ethanol plants with 405 million gallon combined capacity). Revenue is driven by commodity handling... Read more

$70.85+13.6% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#4 of 5 Food Distribution
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-9.58%
IncomeYield1.13%(5y avg 1.73%)Payout21.07%sustainable
Stop $65.89Target $80.47(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$80.00+12.9%3 analysts
$80.47our TP
$70.85price
$80.00mean
$90

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.85: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — The Andersons, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: corn
Target reached (-4.0% upside)
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.9
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA13.3
Profit Mgn1.2%
ROE9.9%
Rev Growth-1.2%
Beta0.69
Dividend1.13%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish
IV46%normal
Max Pain$25-64.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditycorn
    10-K Item 1A: 'The principal raw material used to produce ethanol and co-products is corn. As a result, an increase in the price of corn, particularly corn basis, in the absence of a corresponding increase in petroleum-based fuel prices will typically decrease ethanol margins'
  • MEDIUMSupplierlimited number of suppliers for raw materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on a limited number of suppliers for certain of our raw materials and other products and the loss of one or several of these suppliers could increase our costs and have a material adverse effect on any one of our business segments.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.2
Net Margin
0.6
Roa
1.5
Moat
3.1
Roe
3.3
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.1
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -180% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns

Revenue shrinking — -1.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -1%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $65.36Resistance $82.11

Price Targets

$66
$80
A.Upside+13.6%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANDE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.85: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $65.89. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ANDE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $80.47 (+13.6% upside). Prior stop was $65.89. Stop-loss: $65.89.

What are the risks of investing in ANDE?

Concentration risk — Commodity: corn; Target reached (-4.0% upside); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is ANDE overvalued or undervalued?

The Andersons, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.9 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ANDE?

9 analysts cover ANDE with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $80.

What does The Andersons, Inc. do?The Andersons is a North American agriculture and renewable fuels company operating two segments: Agribusiness (grain...

The Andersons is a North American agriculture and renewable fuels company operating two segments: Agribusiness (grain merchandising, fertilizers, nutrients) and Renewables (four ethanol plants with 405 million gallon combined capacity). Revenue is driven by commodity handling margins, grain elevator operations, and ethanol production; the company operates across approximately 180 U.S. and international locations.

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