Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the PFGC stock price target?

Take-profit $103.89 (+9.5% upside). Prior stop was $88.85.

Q: Is PFGC overvalued or undervalued?

Performance Food Group Company trades at a P/E of 44.7 (forward 16.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about PFGC?

21 analysts cover PFGC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $119.

Q: What does Performance Food Group Company do?

Performance Food Group distributes food and food-related products to 300,000+ customer locations across North America via three segments: Foodservice, Convenience, and Specialty, operating 155 distribution centers. Revenue comes from markup-based pricing on over 250,000 SKUs sold to restaurants, convenience stores, theaters, healthcare, and other food-away-from-home customers; no single customer exceeded 10% of consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025.

Recovery setup

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 3 hr ago (May 20, 2026, 1:46 PM ET)

Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $94.84: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

$94.84+9.5% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#1 of 5 Food Distribution

QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.00%

Stop $88.85Target $103.89(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1

Analyst target$119.42+25.9%12 analysts

$103.89our TP

$94.84price

$119.42mean

$135

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Performance Food Group Company

Latest news

Citigroup Maintains Buy on Performance Food Group, Raises Price Target to $135 — benzinga May 7, 2026 positive
Barclays Maintains Overweight on Performance Food Group, Raises Price Target to $115 — benzinga May 7, 2026 positive
Earnings Scheduled For May 6, 2026 — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral
Performance Food Gr Reports Q3 2026 Results: Full Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral
Performance Food Group Narrows FY2026 Sales Guidance from $67.250B-$68.250B to $67.700B-$68.000B vs $67.615B Est — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)44.7

P/E (Fwd)16.3

Mkt Cap$14.7B

EV/EBITDA13.9

Profit Mgn0.5%

ROE7.3%

Rev Growth6.4%

Beta0.92

DividendNone

Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish

IV40%normal

Max Pain$120+26.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.915%1.03

Quality3.615%0.54

Growth7.015%1.05

Momentum4.410%0.44

Sentiment7.410%0.74

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.210%0.42

Technical Setup4.35%0.21

Risk Profile6.75%0.34

Catalyst2.55%0.13

Overall (Σ contributions)5.40

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History

0.0

Surprise Avg

0.0

Erm

5.0

Earnings Timing

5.0

Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.3

Operating Margin

0.4

Roa

2.0

Roe

2.4

Moat

4.2

Current Ratio

5.5

Piotroski F

7.8

Fcf Quality

10.0

Excellent cash conversion: 224% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate

RSI

62 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $86.31Resistance $98.12

Price Targets

$89

$104

A.Upside+9.5%

A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Reward/Risk 1.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-08-12 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is PFGC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $94.84: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Prior stop was $88.85. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PFGC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $103.89 (+9.5% upside). Prior stop was $88.85. Stop-loss: $88.85.

What are the risks of investing in PFGC?

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is PFGC overvalued or undervalued?

Performance Food Group Company trades at a P/E of 44.7 (forward 16.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PFGC?

21 analysts cover PFGC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $119.

What does Performance Food Group Company do?Performance Food Group distributes food and food-related products to 300,000+ customer locations across North America...

Performance Food Group distributes food and food-related products to 300,000+ customer locations across North America via three segments: Foodservice, Convenience, and Specialty, operating 155 distribution centers. Revenue comes from markup-based pricing on over 250,000 SKUs sold to restaurants, convenience stores, theaters, healthcare, and other food-away-from-home customers; no single customer exceeded 10% of consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025.