United Natural Foods, Inc. (UNFI) Stock Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.62: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
UNFI is a wholesale grocery distributor supplying 30,000+ customer locations across the U.S. and Canada with approximately 230,000 products through 52 distribution centers. Revenue from Natural and Conventional distribution segments; largest customer accounts for 25% of net... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.62: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerlargest customer25%10-K Item 1A: 'our largest customer accounted for approximately 25% of our Net sales in fiscal 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
5 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -2.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.62: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $46.80. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $48.89 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $46.80. Stop-loss: $46.80.
Target reached (-18.9% upside); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.6%), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.04% of cap).
United Natural Foods, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 15.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
17 analysts cover UNFI with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $46.
What does United Natural Foods, Inc. do?UNFI is a wholesale grocery distributor supplying 30,000+ customer locations across the U.S. and Canada with...
UNFI is a wholesale grocery distributor supplying 30,000+ customer locations across the U.S. and Canada with approximately 230,000 products through 52 distribution centers. Revenue from Natural and Conventional distribution segments; largest customer accounts for 25% of net sales.