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UNFIUnited Natural Foods, Inc.Sell4.3·$46.10-10.73%
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United Natural Foods, Inc. (UNFI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution

Earnings in 0 days (2026-06-09). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $46.10: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality.

UNFI is a leading North American grocery and non-food distributor to 30,000+ customer locations via its Natural, Conventional, and Retail (75 Cub Foods/Shoppers stores) segments. The company operates 52 distribution centers with ~30M sq ft of warehouse space and offers ~230,000... Read more

$46.10+21.1% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#5 of 5 Food Distribution
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield17.23%
Stop $42.91Target $55.88(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$46.25+0.3%8 analysts
$55.88our TP
$46.10price
$46.25mean
$38
$56

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $46.10: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — United Natural Foods, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-09T22:21:41Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jun 9, 2026today· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-12.8% upside)
Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 0.2%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.08% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)16.2
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA11.4
Profit Mgn-0.2%
ROE-4.8%
Rev Growth-2.6%
Beta0.82
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.67bearish
IV59%elevated
Max Pain$48+4.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerlargest customer25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our largest customer accounted for approximately 25% of our Net sales in fiscal 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.4
Roa
1.4
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Revenue shrinking — -2.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.9
Declining revenue: -3%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
8.0
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $40.40Resistance $57.02

Price Targets

$43
$56
A.Upside+21.2%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 0.2%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.08% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-09 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UNFI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $46.10: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $42.91. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UNFI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $55.88 (+21.1% upside). Prior stop was $42.91. Stop-loss: $42.91.

What are the risks of investing in UNFI?

Target reached (-12.8% upside); Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 0.2%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.08% of cap).

Is UNFI overvalued or undervalued?

United Natural Foods, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 16.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UNFI?

17 analysts cover UNFI with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $46.

What does United Natural Foods, Inc. do?UNFI is a leading North American grocery and non-food distributor to 30,000+ customer locations via its Natural,...

UNFI is a leading North American grocery and non-food distributor to 30,000+ customer locations via its Natural, Conventional, and Retail (75 Cub Foods/Shoppers stores) segments. The company operates 52 distribution centers with ~30M sq ft of warehouse space and offers ~230,000 products. Its largest customer represents ~25% of net sales, served under a distribution agreement expiring May 2032.

Related stocks: PFGC (Performance Food Group Company) · USFD (US Foods Holding Corp.) · ANDE (The Andersons, Inc.) · TAL (TAL Education Group) · SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp.)
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