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TAL Education Group (TAL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

TAL Education Group provides K-12 after-school tutoring services in the People's Republic of China. It provides learning services primarily through small classes services; personalized premium services and online course offerings; and learning content solutions, such as print... Read more

$10.98+27.9% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#1 of 15 Education & Training Services
Stop $10.22Target $14.05(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$15.61+42.1%18 analysts
$14.05our TP
$10.98price
$15.61mean
$19

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 98d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.8
P/E (Fwd)10.5
Mkt Cap$6.6B
EV/EBITDA-2.6
Profit Mgn17.6%
ROE14.1%
Rev Growth31.5%
Beta0.14
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$3-72.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
1.4
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Obv
6.6
Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 98d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.47Resistance $12.84

Price Targets

$10
$14
A.Upside+28.0%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (98d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TAL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $14.05 (+28.0%), stop $10.22 (−7.4%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TAL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.05 (+27.9% upside). Target $14.05 (+28.0%), stop $10.22 (−7.4%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Stop-loss: $10.22.

What are the risks of investing in TAL?

Negative momentum.

Is TAL overvalued or undervalued?

TAL Education Group trades at a P/E of 11.8 (forward 10.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TAL?

26 analysts cover TAL with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $16.

What does TAL Education Group do?TAL Education Group provides K-12 after-school tutoring services in the People's Republic of China. It provides...

TAL Education Group provides K-12 after-school tutoring services in the People's Republic of China. It provides learning services primarily through small classes services; personalized premium services and online course offerings; and learning content solutions, such as print books, smart books, mobile apps, and AI-driven learning devices. The company also operates www.xueersi.com, an online education platform; provides investment management and consulting services; develops and sells software and networks, as well as related consulting services; and sells educational materials and products. It offers its services under the Haoweilai and Think Academy brands. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Related stocks: LAUR (Laureate Education, Inc.) · PRDO (Perdoceo Education Corporation) · STRA (Strategic Education, Inc.) · EDU (New Oriental Education & Techno) · COUR (Coursera, Inc.)