US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) Stock Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution
Sell if holding. At $92.61, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.
US Foods is a broadline foodservice distributor supplying approximately 250,000 customer locations nationwide with fresh, frozen, and dry food products from thousands of suppliers. Revenue from product distribution to independent restaurants, chain restaurants, healthcare,... Read more
Sell if holding. At $92.61, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomersingle GPO14%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 14% of our net sales in fiscal year 2025 that were made to customers that are members of a single GPO'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $92.61, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $88.33. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $98.40 (+6.2% upside). Prior stop was $88.33. Stop-loss: $88.33.
Thin upside margin: 6.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).
US Foods Holding Corp. trades at a P/E of 31.0 (forward 16.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover USFD with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $109.
What does US Foods Holding Corp. do?US Foods is a broadline foodservice distributor supplying approximately 250,000 customer locations nationwide with...
US Foods is a broadline foodservice distributor supplying approximately 250,000 customer locations nationwide with fresh, frozen, and dry food products from thousands of suppliers. Revenue from product distribution to independent restaurants, chain restaurants, healthcare, hospitality, and government customers; no single customer exceeds 2% of sales.