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Hamilton Lane Incorporated (HLNE) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-21). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $81.94. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $82.78. Engine's entry $81.94 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Hamilton Lane is a private markets investment solutions provider with approximately $138 billion of discretionary AUM and $819 billion of AUA as of March 31, 2025, offering customized separate accounts, specialized funds, and advisory services to institutional and high-net-worth... Read more

$82.78+47.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#23 of 109 Asset Management
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.86%
IncomeYield2.57%(5y avg 1.67%)Payout37.61%sustainable
Entry $81.94(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $75.38Target $117.95(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.3:1Setup A.R:R 6.8:1
Analyst target$135.57+63.8%7 analysts
$117.95our TP
$82.78price
$135.57mean
$171

Wait for pullback to $81.94. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $82.78. Engine's entry $81.94 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Val6.6Qual8.9Grw4.9Mom1.0Sent7.6Ins6.5Peer5.1Tech6.2Risk4.16.0OVERALL

Recent Developments — Hamilton Lane Incorporated

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.9 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.0
P/E (Fwd)14.0
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA12.4
Profit Mgn30.6%
ROE31.7%
Rev Growth18.0%
Beta1.19
Dividend2.57%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C5.60bearish
IV72%elevated
Max Pain$60-27.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dA.R:R 5.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
25 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $82.79Resistance $106.60

Price Targets

$75
$82
$118
A.Upside+42.5%
A.R:R5.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)6.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Momentum score 1.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-21 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HLNE stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $81.94. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $82.78. Engine's entry $81.94 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $117.95 (+42.5%), stop $75.38 (−9.8%), Setup A.R:R 6.8:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HLNE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $117.95 (+47.8% upside). Target $117.95 (+42.5%), stop $75.38 (−9.8%), Setup A.R:R 6.8:1. Stop-loss: $75.38.

Is HLNE overvalued or undervalued?

Hamilton Lane Incorporated trades at a P/E of 15.0 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about HLNE?

13 analysts cover HLNE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $136.

What does Hamilton Lane Incorporated do?Hamilton Lane is a private markets investment solutions provider with approximately $138 billion of discretionary AUM...

Hamilton Lane is a private markets investment solutions provider with approximately $138 billion of discretionary AUM and $819 billion of AUA as of March 31, 2025, offering customized separate accounts, specialized funds, and advisory services to institutional and high-net-worth clients globally. Revenue comes from management and advisory fees, with no single client representing more than 2% of fee revenues. Top 10 clients generated approximately 12% of management and advisory fee revenues.

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