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TPG Inc. (TPG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-01). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $42.17 but below 200-day MA (death cross); weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW.

TPG is a global alternative asset manager with $303.0 billion in AUM as of December 31, 2025, organized across six platforms: Capital, Growth, Impact, Credit, Real Estate, and Market Solutions. Revenue comes primarily from management fees (based on AUM) and performance... Read more

$42.08+17.8% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#23 of 109 Asset Management
Entry $42.17(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $38.47Target $49.44(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$54.94+30.6%16 analysts
$49.44our TP
$42.08price
$54.94mean
$75

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $42.17 but below 200-day MA (death cross); weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Val6.9Qual5.9Grw10.0Mom4.6Sent7.1Ins5.0Peer4.1Tech3.8Risk6.06.2OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)93.5
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$16.2B
EV/EBITDA13.2
Profit Mgn4.0%
ROE15.5%
Rev Growth38.5%
Beta1.53
Dividend4.90%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV69%elevated
Max Pain$95+125.8% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02LOW
    Admiral William H. McRaven appointed as independent director to the Board, effective May 1, 2026. Board increased from 13 to 14 members. Appointed to Compensation and Conflicts Committees. No arrangement with any other person.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.1
Bollinger
4.6
Support Resistance
4.7
GatesA.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $36.95Resistance $46.60

Price Targets

$38
$42
$49
A.Upside+17.5%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-01 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TPG stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $42.17 but below 200-day MA (death cross); weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $49.44 (+17.5%), stop $38.47 (−9.4%), Setup A.R:R 2.5:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TPG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.44 (+17.8% upside). Target $49.44 (+17.5%), stop $38.47 (−9.4%), Setup A.R:R 2.5:1. Stop-loss: $38.47.

Is TPG overvalued or undervalued?

TPG Inc. trades at a P/E of 93.5 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TPG?

19 analysts cover TPG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $55.

What does TPG Inc. do?TPG is a global alternative asset manager with $303.0 billion in AUM as of December 31, 2025, organized across six...

TPG is a global alternative asset manager with $303.0 billion in AUM as of December 31, 2025, organized across six platforms: Capital, Growth, Impact, Credit, Real Estate, and Market Solutions. Revenue comes primarily from management fees (based on AUM) and performance allocations (based on fund returns), serving institutional investors globally with 1,900+ employees in 16 countries.

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