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RJFRaymond James Financial, Inc.Hold6.1·$158.31+2.33%
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Raymond James Financial, Inc. (RJF) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $158.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 76).

Raymond James Financial delivers wealth management, capital markets, asset management, and banking across five segments, predominantly in the U.S. with operations in Canada and the UK. The PCG segment generated $10.18 billion in net revenues in fiscal 2025 on $1.67 trillion in... Read more

$158.31-1.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#28 of 112 Asset Management
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.40%(5y avg 1.32%)Payout19.64%sustainable
Stop $151.21Target $155.30(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$174.00+9.9%12 analysts
$155.30our TP
$158.31price
$174.00mean
$147
$198

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $158.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 76). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Raymond James Financial, Inc.

About Raymond James Financial, Inc.

Raymond James Financial generated $10.18 billion in Private Client Group net revenues and $1.77 billion in Capital Markets net revenues for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025, serving 8,943 affiliated financial advisors. The company operates five segments — PCG, Capital Markets, Asset Management, Bank, and Other — primarily in the U.S. with smaller presences in Canada, the UK, and Europe. The Federal Reserve serves as primary regulator given Raymond James' status as a bank holding company.

The PCG segment earns asset management fees on $1.01 trillion in fee-based accounts within a total $1.67 trillion in client AUA, plus brokerage commissions and RJBDP servicing fees from third-party banks on client cash swept into the multi-bank deposit program. The Bank segment funds itself primarily through RJBDP sweep deposits from PCG clients — a funding source the 10-K identifies as one the company "relies heavily" upon for Bank segment asset growth. As of September 30, 2025, securities-based loans and residential mortgage loans represented 46% of Bank segment assets, while corporate and tax-exempt loans represented 33%, with 66% of that corporate portfolio in U.S. or Canadian syndicated facilities. The Capital Markets segment provides M&A advisory, equity and debt underwriting, and fixed-income and equity brokerage to institutional clients across the U.S., Canada, and Europe, while the Asset Management segment collects management fees as a percentage of fee-billable AUM through its AMS and Raymond James Investment Management divisions.

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Interest rate levels materially influence the RJBDP fee income Raymond James collects from third-party banks, which is variable and fluctuates with short-term rates and the spread between those rates and what participating banks pay depositors. Elevated interest rates incentivize PCG clients to reallocate cash into money market funds and fixed-income securities, reducing RJBDP balances and the attached fee income. The 10-K notes that RJBDP cash balance declines could impair the Bank segment's ability to grow interest-earning assets or force substitution with higher-cost funding sources, exposing the company to simultaneous NII compression and deposit-flow pressure.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Raymond James Financial, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Overbought (RSI 76)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.6
P/E (Fwd)11.6
Mkt Cap$30.2B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn14.6%
ROE17.3%
Rev Growth13.1%
Beta0.95
Dividend1.40%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.28bullish
IV38%normal
Max Pain$120-24.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
8.0
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
76 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $141.06Resistance $158.47

Price Targets

$151
$155
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RJF stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $158.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 76). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $155.30 (-1.9%), stop $151.21 (−4.7%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RJF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $155.30 (-1.9% upside). Target $155.30 (-1.9%), stop $151.21 (−4.7%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $151.21.

What are the risks of investing in RJF?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 76).

Is RJF overvalued or undervalued?

Raymond James Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.6 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RJF?

18 analysts cover RJF with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $174.

What does Raymond James Financial, Inc. do?Raymond James Financial delivers wealth management, capital markets, asset management, and banking across five...

Raymond James Financial delivers wealth management, capital markets, asset management, and banking across five segments, predominantly in the U.S. with operations in Canada and the UK. The PCG segment generated $10.18 billion in net revenues in fiscal 2025 on $1.67 trillion in client assets under administration, while the Bank segment held $65.26 billion in total assets as of September 30, 2025, primarily funded by client deposits swept from PCG.

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