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ALTOAlto Ingredients, Inc.Sell6.2·$5.56-7.02%
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Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.56: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Alto Ingredients, Inc. produces, distributes, and markets specialty alcohols, renewable fuel, and essential ingredients in the United States. The company operates in three segments: Marketing and Distribution, Pekin Campus Production, and Western Production. It offers specialty... Read more

$5.56+37.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#3 of 40 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.58%
Stop $5.17Target $7.65(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$9.00+61.9%2 analysts
$7.65our TP
$5.56price
$9.00mean
$10

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.56: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Alto Ingredients, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-07-05T07:10:30Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.0
P/E (Fwd)9.1
Mkt Cap$431M
EV/EBITDA11.3
Profit Mgn3.2%
ROE12.6%
Rev Growth-0.8%
Beta0.14
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.06bullish
IV72%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.4
Net Margin
1.6
Fcf Quality
1.9
Roa
2.0
Roe
4.2
Moat
4.4
Piotroski F
7.8
Current Ratio
9.2
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 23% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.8
Quality Rank
4.8
Value Rank
9.1
Attractive P/E vs peers
GatesMomentum 6.9>=5.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.81Resistance $6.11

Price Targets

$5
$8
A.Upside+37.6%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALTO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.56: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $5.17. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALTO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.65 (+37.6% upside). Prior stop was $5.17. Stop-loss: $5.17.

What are the risks of investing in ALTO?

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is ALTO overvalued or undervalued?

Alto Ingredients, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.0 (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ALTO?

8 analysts cover ALTO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Alto Ingredients, Inc. do?Alto Ingredients, Inc. produces, distributes, and markets specialty alcohols, renewable fuel, and essential ingredients...

Alto Ingredients, Inc. produces, distributes, and markets specialty alcohols, renewable fuel, and essential ingredients in the United States. The company operates in three segments: Marketing and Distribution, Pekin Campus Production, and Western Production. It offers specialty alcohols used in mouthwash, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, hand sanitizers, disinfectants, and cleaners for health, home, and beauty markets; grain neutral spirits used in alcoholic beverages and vinegar, as well as corn germ used in corn oils in the food and beverage markets; alcohols and other products for paint applications and fertilizers in the industrial and agriculture markets; and essential ingredients, including dried yeast, corn protein meal, corn protein feed, corn germ, distillers grains, and liquid feed for commercial animal feed and pet food applications, as well as yeast and gas liquid CO2 for human consumption. The company also provides fuel-grade ethanol used as transportation fuel additives and distillers corn oil used as a renewable diesel and biodiesel feedstock, as well as fuel-grade ethanol produced by third parties. In addition, it offers transportation, storage, and delivery services through third-party service providers. Further, the company operates alcohol production facilities. It sells ethanol to integrated oil companies and gasoline marketers; essential ingredient feed products to dairies and feedlots; and corn oil to poultry, renewable diesel, and biodiesel customers. The company was formerly known as Pacific Ethanol, Inc. and changed its name to Alto Ingredients, Inc. in January 2021. Alto Ingredients, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Pekin, Illinois.

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