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Innospec Inc. (IOSP) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $78.10: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Innospec develops, manufactures, and supplies specialty chemicals via three segments: Performance Chemicals (personal care, home care, agrochemical), Fuel Specialties (fuel additives for diesel, jet, marine), and Oilfield Services (drilling, completion, production chemicals).... Read more

$78.10+2.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#5 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.62%
IncomeYield2.26%(5y avg 1.44%)Payout37.34%sustainable
Stop $73.85Target $80.02(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $78.10: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Innospec Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.3
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn6.4%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth2.8%
Beta0.88
Dividend2.26%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $73.77Resistance $81.65

Price Targets

$74
$80
A.Upside+2.5%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IOSP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $78.10: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $73.85. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.

What is the IOSP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $80.02 (+2.4% upside). Prior stop was $73.85. Stop-loss: $73.85.

What are the risks of investing in IOSP?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5.

Is IOSP overvalued or undervalued?

Innospec Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.3 (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IOSP?

9 analysts cover IOSP with a consensus score of 4.1/5.

What does Innospec Inc. do?Innospec develops, manufactures, and supplies specialty chemicals via three segments: Performance Chemicals (personal...

Innospec develops, manufactures, and supplies specialty chemicals via three segments: Performance Chemicals (personal care, home care, agrochemical), Fuel Specialties (fuel additives for diesel, jet, marine), and Oilfield Services (drilling, completion, production chemicals). Customers include multinational oil companies, fuel marketers, and E&P operators across Americas, EMEA, and APAC.

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