Innospec Inc. (IOSP) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the IOSP stock price target?

Take-profit $84.43 (+11.8% upside). Prior stop was $71.88.

Q: Is IOSP overvalued or undervalued?

Innospec Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.2 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about IOSP?

9 analysts cover IOSP with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $99.

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $75.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.0): -1.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Innospec develops, manufactures, and supplies specialty chemicals via three segments: Performance Chemicals (personal care, home care, agrochemical), Fuel Specialties (fuel additives for diesel, jet, marine), and Oilfield Services (drilling, completion, production chemicals).... Read more

$75.51+11.8% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#10 of 36 Specialty Chemicals

Stop $71.88Target $84.43(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.1:1

Analyst target$99.33+31.5%3 analysts

$84.43our TP

$75.51price

$99.33mean

$105

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)

Attractive valuation

Risks

Leverage penalty (D/E 4.0): -1.5

Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.2

P/E (Fwd)12.1

Mkt Cap$1.9B

EV/EBITDA8.2

Profit Mgn6.6%

ROE9.1%

Rev Growth-2.4%

Beta0.88

Dividend2.30%

Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

IV57%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.215%1.23

Quality4.215%0.63

Growth5.415%0.81

Momentum3.810%0.38

Sentiment6.910%0.69

Insider Activity3.810%0.38

Peer Rank4.010%0.40

Technical Setup4.85%0.24

Risk Profile6.25%0.31

Catalyst6.55%0.33

Overall (Σ contributions)5.40

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Rsi

4.5

Ma Position

6.0

Macd

7.4

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

49 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $71.19Resistance $78.02

Price Targets

$72

$84

A.Upside+11.8%

A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is IOSP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $75.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.0): -1.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Prior stop was $71.88. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the IOSP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $84.43 (+11.8% upside). Prior stop was $71.88. Stop-loss: $71.88.

What are the risks of investing in IOSP?

Leverage penalty (D/E 4.0): -1.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is IOSP overvalued or undervalued?

Innospec Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.2 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IOSP?

9 analysts cover IOSP with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $99.

What does Innospec Inc. do?Innospec develops, manufactures, and supplies specialty chemicals via three segments: Performance Chemicals (personal...