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Minerals Technologies Inc. (MTX) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.25: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Minerals Technologies is a specialty minerals company and the world's largest bentonite producer operating two segments: Consumer & Specialties (53% of revenue, including cat litter and personal care) and Engineered Solutions (47%, including high-temperature technologies and... Read more

$70.25+5.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#16 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
Stop $66.99Target $74.16(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$87.25+24.2%4 analysts
$74.16our TP
$70.25price
$87.25mean
$100

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.25: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: China magnesia suppliers (57.0%)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)10.1
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn-0.9%
ROE-0.8%
Rev Growth0.3%
Beta1.19
Dividend0.68%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.09bullish
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierChina magnesia suppliers57%
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company has purchased approximately 57% of its magnesia requirements from sources in China over the past five years'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02LOW
    Jonathan J. Hastings (SVP, M&A and Strategy) stepping down effective April 30, 2026; will continue as Corporate Strategy Advisor to the Chairman and CEO. No reason cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-24Item 5.02LOW
    Directors Alison A. Deans and Franklin L. Feder notified the Company on March 18, 2026 they will retire from the Board at the May 20, 2026 annual meeting. No reason cited beyond end of term.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.6
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.1
Growth Rank
3.8
Value Rank
7.4

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
1.0
Roa
3.5
Moat
5.0
Operating Margin
5.1
Current Ratio
7.2
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $66.95Resistance $74.55

Price Targets

$67
$74
A.Upside+5.6%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MTX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.25: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $66.99. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $74.16 (+5.6% upside). Prior stop was $66.99. Stop-loss: $66.99.

What are the risks of investing in MTX?

Concentration risk — Supplier: China magnesia suppliers (57.0%); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is MTX overvalued or undervalued?

Minerals Technologies Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MTX?

8 analysts cover MTX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $87.

What does Minerals Technologies Inc. do?Minerals Technologies is a specialty minerals company and the world's largest bentonite producer operating two...

Minerals Technologies is a specialty minerals company and the world's largest bentonite producer operating two segments: Consumer & Specialties (53% of revenue, including cat litter and personal care) and Engineered Solutions (47%, including high-temperature technologies and environmental/infrastructure products). Operations are global with ~48% of 2025 sales outside the U.S.

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