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Minerals Technologies Inc. (MTX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. At $75.04, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Concentration risk — Supplier: China magnesia (57.0%).

Minerals Technologies is a global specialty minerals company producing bentonite, calcium carbonate, and mineral-based products through Consumer & Specialties (53% of revenues) and Engineered Solutions (47%) segments. Revenue comes from satellite PCC plants, cat litter, foundry... Read more

$75.04+6.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.62%
IncomeYield0.63%(5y avg 0.45%)Payout9.04%sustainable
Stop $69.79Target $80.11(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$94.25+25.6%4 analysts
$80.11our TP
$75.04price
$94.25mean
$105

Sell if holding. At $75.04, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Concentration risk — Supplier: China magnesia (57.0%). Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Minerals Technologies Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: China magnesia (57.0%)
Thin upside margin: 6.8%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.9
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA7.9
Profit Mgn7.6%
ROE9.8%
Rev Growth11.2%
Beta1.12
Dividend0.63%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C9.00bearish
IV39%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierChina magnesia57%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 57% of the Company’s magnesia requirements were purchased from sources in China over the past five years.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02LOW
    Jonathan J. Hastings, SVP M&A and Strategy, to step down from that role effective April 30, 2026. Will continue as Corporate Strategy Advisor to the Chairman and CEO.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-24Item 5.02LOW
    Directors Alison A. Deans and Franklin L. Feder notified Company they will retire from the Board at the end of their terms at the May 20, 2026 annual meeting.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.84Resistance $84.34

Price Targets

$70
$80
A.Upside+6.8%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MTX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $75.04, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Concentration risk — Supplier: China magnesia (57.0%). Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $69.79. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $80.11 (+6.8% upside). Prior stop was $69.79. Stop-loss: $69.79.

What are the risks of investing in MTX?

Concentration risk — Supplier: China magnesia (57.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

Is MTX overvalued or undervalued?

Minerals Technologies Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.9 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MTX?

8 analysts cover MTX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $94.

What does Minerals Technologies Inc. do?Minerals Technologies is a global specialty minerals company producing bentonite, calcium carbonate, and mineral-based...

Minerals Technologies is a global specialty minerals company producing bentonite, calcium carbonate, and mineral-based products through Consumer & Specialties (53% of revenues) and Engineered Solutions (47%) segments. Revenue comes from satellite PCC plants, cat litter, foundry binders, refractories, and environmental remediation products sold to paper, packaging, foundry, steel, and construction industries.

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