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FULH. B. Fuller CompanySell5.8·$49.91
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

H.B. Fuller has beaten earnings estimates in four consecutive quarters with estimates trending upward and a forward valuation that screens attractively at 12.5 times forward earnings with a PEG of 0.21, but revenue is declining at roughly 2% year-over-year, the stock has reached its near-term technical resistance target, and earnings due in 8 days introduce immediate event risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Beats Near Term Catalyst↓Deteriorating
  • Screens Attractively On Valuation→Stable
  • Revenue Decline Headwind→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

H. B. Fuller Company (FUL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $49.91: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

H.B. Fuller formulates, manufactures, and sells adhesives, sealants, and specialty chemical products across 34 countries through three segments: Hygiene Health and Consumable Adhesives, Engineering Adhesives, and Building Adhesive Solutions. The company generated approximately... Read more

$49.91+19.0% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#19 of 44 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.54%
IncomeYield1.94%(5y avg 1.19%)Payout26.74%sustainable
Stop $46.42Target $59.41(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$68.29+36.8%7 analysts
$59.41our TP
$49.91price
$68.29mean
$80

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $49.91: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 98d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 13, 202798d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.1
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA7.9
Profit Mgn5.6%
ROE9.6%
Rev Growth5.2%
Beta0.99
Dividend1.94%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C3.33bearish
IV68%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicoutside United States net revenue56%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 56 percent, or $2.0 billion, of our net revenue was generated outside the United States in 2025'
  • MEDIUMCommoditypetroleum/natural gas-based raw materials
    10-K Item 1: 'The majority of our raw materials are petroleum/natural gas-based derivatives'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.1>=4.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 98d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $46.70Resistance $53.55

Price Targets

$46
$59
A.Upside+19.0%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts12
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$68

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-13 (98d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FUL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $49.91: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. Prior stop was $46.42. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FUL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $59.41 (+19.0% upside). Prior stop was $46.42. Stop-loss: $46.42.

What are the risks of investing in FUL?

Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is FUL overvalued or undervalued?

H. B. Fuller Company trades at a P/E of 14.1 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FUL?

12 analysts cover FUL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $68.

What does H. B. Fuller Company do?H.B. Fuller formulates, manufactures, and sells adhesives, sealants, and specialty chemical products across 34...

H.B. Fuller formulates, manufactures, and sells adhesives, sealants, and specialty chemical products across 34 countries through three segments: Hygiene Health and Consumable Adhesives, Engineering Adhesives, and Building Adhesive Solutions. The company generated approximately $2.0 billion of net revenue internationally in fiscal 2025 (56% of consolidated total), with approximately 7,100 employees in 44 countries; no single customer accounts for more than 10% of consolidated net revenue.

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