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FULH. B. Fuller CompanyHold5.9·$50.41-0.83%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

H.B. Fuller has beaten earnings estimates in four consecutive quarters with estimates trending upward and a forward valuation that screens attractively at 12.5 times forward earnings with a PEG of 0.21, but revenue is declining at roughly 2% year-over-year, the stock has reached its near-term technical resistance target, and earnings due in 8 days introduce immediate event risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Beats Near Term CatalystDeteriorating
  • Screens Attractively On ValuationImproving
  • Revenue Decline HeadwindStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

H. B. Fuller Company (FUL) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings in 6 days (2026-09-23). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).

H.B. Fuller formulates, manufactures, and sells adhesives, sealants, and specialty chemical products across 34 countries through three segments: Hygiene Health and Consumable Adhesives, Engineering Adhesives, and Building Adhesive Solutions. The company generated approximately... Read more

$50.41+26.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#13 of 44 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield8.03%
IncomeYield1.93%(5y avg 1.20%)Payout28.19%sustainable
Stop $48.80Target $63.76(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.7:1
Analyst target$73.29+45.4%7 analysts
$63.76our TP
$50.41price
$73.29mean
$80

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 4, MACD bearish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 23, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.1
P/E (Fwd)9.5
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA8.0
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE9.4%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta0.97
Dividend1.93%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.36bearish
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicoutside United States net revenue56%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 56 percent, or $2.0 billion, of our net revenue was generated outside the United States in 2025'
  • MEDIUMCommoditypetroleum/natural gas-based raw materials
    10-K Item 1: 'The majority of our raw materials are petroleum/natural gas-based derivatives'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
2.3
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 4, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 4.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
4 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $50.31Resistance $60.28

Price Targets

$49
$64
A.Upside+26.5%
A.R:R4.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 1.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-23 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FUL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 4, MACD bearish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $63.76 (+26.5%), stop $48.80 (−3.3%), A.R:R 4.7:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FUL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.76 (+26.5% upside). Target $63.76 (+26.5%), stop $48.80 (−3.3%), A.R:R 4.7:1. Stop-loss: $48.80.

What are the risks of investing in FUL?

Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is FUL overvalued or undervalued?

H. B. Fuller Company trades at a P/E of 15.1 (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FUL?

12 analysts cover FUL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $73.

What does H. B. Fuller Company do?H.B. Fuller formulates, manufactures, and sells adhesives, sealants, and specialty chemical products across 34...

H.B. Fuller formulates, manufactures, and sells adhesives, sealants, and specialty chemical products across 34 countries through three segments: Hygiene Health and Consumable Adhesives, Engineering Adhesives, and Building Adhesive Solutions. The company generated approximately $2.0 billion of net revenue internationally in fiscal 2025 (56% of consolidated total), with approximately 7,100 employees in 44 countries; no single customer accounts for more than 10% of consolidated net revenue.

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