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FULH. B. Fuller CompanyHold5.9·$49.55
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

H.B. Fuller has beaten earnings estimates in four consecutive quarters with estimates trending upward and a forward valuation that screens attractively at 12.5 times forward earnings with a PEG of 0.21, but revenue is declining at roughly 2% year-over-year, the stock has reached its near-term technical resistance target, and earnings due in 8 days introduce immediate event risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Beats Near Term Catalyst↑Improving
  • Screens Attractively On Valuation→Stable
  • Revenue Decline Headwind→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Jan 22, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

H. B. Fuller Company (FUL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Sector Rotation edge

HoldValueModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

H.B. Fuller formulates, manufactures, and sells adhesives, sealants, and specialty chemical products across 34 countries through three segments: Hygiene Health and Consumable Adhesives, Engineering Adhesives, and Building Adhesive Solutions. The company generated approximately... Read more

$49.55+16.4% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#10 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.66%
IncomeYield1.98%(5y avg 1.20%)Payout26.74%sustainable
Stop $46.99Analyst target $57.67(−13% haircut)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst consensus$66.29+33.8%7 analysts
$57.67Analyst target
$49.55price
$66.29mean
$80

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Under M&A bid. Hold for deal completion or sell if spread < 3%. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 13, 202777d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.8
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA7.8
Profit Mgn5.6%
ROE9.6%
Rev Growth5.2%
Beta0.99
Dividend1.98%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C5.20bearish
IV41%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicoutside United States net revenue56%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 56 percent, or $2.0 billion, of our net revenue was generated outside the United States in 2025'
  • MEDIUMCommoditypetroleum/natural gas-based raw materials
    10-K Item 1: 'The majority of our raw materials are petroleum/natural gas-based derivatives'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.5>=4.5A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $48.30Resistance $52.68

Price Targets

$47
$58
A.Upside+16.4%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! M&A event: 'cash offer' detected

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-13 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FUL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Under M&A bid. Hold for deal completion or sell if spread < 3%. Analyst target $57.67 (+16.4%), stop $46.99 (−5.4%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FUL stock price target?

Analyst target: $57.67 (+16.4% upside). Analyst target $57.67 (+16.4%), stop $46.99 (−5.4%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Stop-loss: $46.99.

What are the risks of investing in FUL?

Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is FUL overvalued or undervalued?

H. B. Fuller Company trades at a P/E of 13.8 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FUL?

12 analysts cover FUL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $66.

What does H. B. Fuller Company do?H.B. Fuller formulates, manufactures, and sells adhesives, sealants, and specialty chemical products across 34...

H.B. Fuller formulates, manufactures, and sells adhesives, sealants, and specialty chemical products across 34 countries through three segments: Hygiene Health and Consumable Adhesives, Engineering Adhesives, and Building Adhesive Solutions. The company generated approximately $2.0 billion of net revenue internationally in fiscal 2025 (56% of consolidated total), with approximately 7,100 employees in 44 countries; no single customer accounts for more than 10% of consolidated net revenue.

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