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ALGMAllegro MicroSystems, Inc.Sell6.2·$31.25
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Allegro MicroSystems is a semiconductor company with 29% YoY revenue growth, steady small earnings beats and 36.1% analyst upside after a 58% drawdown, but 70.6% of revenue comes from automotive customers and momentum and options signals are negative.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth↑Improving
  • Automotive Customer Concentration↓Deteriorating
  • Steady Earnings Beats↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed May 21, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. (ALGM) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $31.25 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: automotive OEM supply chain customers (70.6%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Allegro MicroSystems designs and markets sensor ICs and power ICs for automotive and industrial markets, shipping roughly 2.1 billion units annually to more than 15,000 customers. Automotive customers—primarily suppliers to OEMs—accounted for 70.6% of FY2026 net sales. The... Read more

$31.25+36.0% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#21 of 52 Semiconductors
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.30%
Stop $29.10Analyst target $42.50(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst consensus$48.85+56.3%13 analysts with price targets
$42.50Analyst target
$31.25price
$48.85mean
$62

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $31.25 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: automotive OEM supply chain customers (70.6%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.

About Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.

Allegro MicroSystems designs magnetic sensor ICs and power ICs primarily for automotive and industrial end-markets, with customers supplying automotive OEMs accounting for 70.6% of fiscal year 2026 net sales — down from 73.8% in fiscal year 2025. The company ships roughly 2.1 billion units annually across a portfolio exceeding 1,500 products to more than 15,000 customers worldwide, operating a fabless manufacturing model that sources wafer fabrication from external foundries including TSMC, UMC, Tower Semiconductor, and Polar.

Allegro MicroSystems generates revenue from two product families: magnetic sensor ICs — including Hall-effect, GMR, and TMR current, position, angle, and speed sensors — and power ICs including motor drivers, voltage regulators, isolated gate drivers, and power management ICs. The automotive segment covers xEV powertrains and ADAS steering and braking systems, where the transition to electro-mechanical braking and steer-by-wire architectures is expected to increase semiconductor content per vehicle over time. Industrial revenue is growing in AI data center cooling and power supply applications, factory automation, and robotics. Products are sold through a direct salesforce, distributors, and independent sales representatives globally. Competitors include larger semiconductor companies with internal wafer fabrication capabilities and greater resources for AI-accelerated product development. ASPs face structural price erosion characteristic of the analog semiconductor market. Allegro plans to continue aligning R&D investment toward xEV, ADAS, data center, and robotics applications through disciplined return-on-investment evaluation.

Show full overview

Allegro MicroSystems sources wafer fabrication primarily from four foundry partners — UMC, Polar, Tower Semiconductor, and TSMC — with two of these facilities in Taiwan, a region exposed to earthquake risk and China-Taiwan geopolitical tensions that could disrupt supply. Internal assembly and testing is concentrated at AMPI in the Philippines, where disruption could materially impair the company's ability to test and deliver products. Chinese export restrictions on rare-earth elements including samarium, used in magnetic sensing applications, may restrict sourcing of materials critical to certain product lines if alternative suppliers cannot be qualified.

See also: Technology · Semiconductors

From Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 2, 2026

Recent Developments — Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.

Latest item Nov 2, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:06Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 28, 202784d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: automotive OEM supply chain customers (70.6%)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)195.3
P/E (Fwd)20.2
Mkt Cap$5.8B
EV/EBITDA36.1
Profit Mgn3.1%
ROE3.2%
Rev Growth29.2%
Beta2.05
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.21bearish
IV79%elevated
Max Pain$18-44.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerautomotive OEM supply chain customers71%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our customers that supply various systems and components to automotive OEMs accounted for 70.6%...of our total net sales in fiscal years 2026, 2025, and 2024, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierthird-party wafer fabrication facilities
    10-K Item 1A: 'We currently rely on a limited number of third-party wafer fabrication facilities for the fabrication of semiconductor wafers'
  • MEDIUMSupplierAMPI assembly and test facility
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely heavily on the manufacturing operations at AMPI, which operates as our primary internal assembly and testing facility.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-13Item 5.02LOW
    Directors Susan D. Lynch and Richard R. Lury notified the Board on May 11 and 13, 2026, respectively, of decisions not to stand for reelection at the 2026 Annual Meeting on August 5, 2026. Robert J. Willett elected to the Board as Class III Director, appointed to Audit and Compensation Committees. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
3.1
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.0
Value Rank
3.2
Growth Rank
4.6
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
47 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $30.00Resistance $37.01

Price Targets

$29
$43
A.Upside+36.0%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-28 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALGM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $31.25 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: automotive OEM supply chain customers (70.6%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $29.10. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALGM stock price target?

Analyst target: $42.50 (+36.0% upside). Prior stop was $29.10. Stop-loss: $29.10.

What are the risks of investing in ALGM?

Concentration risk — Customer: automotive OEM supply chain customers (70.6%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Is ALGM overvalued or undervalued?

Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 195.3 (forward 20.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ALGM?

19 analysts rate ALGM, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 13 analysts publish price targets averaging $49.

What does Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. do?Allegro MicroSystems designs and markets sensor ICs and power ICs for automotive and industrial markets, shipping...

Allegro MicroSystems designs and markets sensor ICs and power ICs for automotive and industrial markets, shipping roughly 2.1 billion units annually to more than 15,000 customers. Automotive customers—primarily suppliers to OEMs—accounted for 70.6% of FY2026 net sales. The company operates under a fabless model, sourcing wafer fabrication from UMC, Polar, Tower, and TSMC.

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