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Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $266.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, provides technology, development, and process platforms for integrated circuits in the United States, Japan, rest of Asia, and Europe. The company provides customizable process technologies, including SiGe, SiPho,... Read more

$266.89+2.1% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#27 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.43%
Stop $248.82Target $273.04(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$313.83+17.6%6 analysts
$273.04our TP
$266.89price
$313.83mean
$335

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $266.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst cluster(4), earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Tower Semiconductor Ltd.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.60)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)116.3
P/E (Fwd)43.8
Mkt Cap$29.9B
EV/EBITDA50.1
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth15.5%
Beta0.85
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV105%elevated
Max Pain$130-51.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Ps
0.0
Peg Ratio
1.0
Forward Pe
2.6
Analyst Target
5.0
Forward P/E: 43.8xPEG: 7.89Expensive valuation

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.3
Growth Rank
3.5
Quality Rank
5.3
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(4)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $184.14Resistance $283.46

Price Targets

$249
$273
A.Upside+2.3%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TSEM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $266.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $273.04 (+2.3%), stop $248.82 (−7.3%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the TSEM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $273.04 (+2.1% upside). Target $273.04 (+2.3%), stop $248.82 (−7.3%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $248.82.

What are the risks of investing in TSEM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is TSEM overvalued or undervalued?

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. trades at a P/E of 116.3 (forward 43.8). TrendMatrix value score: 1.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TSEM?

11 analysts cover TSEM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $314.

What does Tower Semiconductor Ltd. do?Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, provides technology, development, and process platforms...

Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, provides technology, development, and process platforms for integrated circuits in the United States, Japan, rest of Asia, and Europe. The company provides customizable process technologies, including SiGe, SiPho, mixed signal CMOS, RF CMOS, CMOS image sensor, non-imaging sensors, wafers, and integrated power management. It also offers a design enablement platform for a design cycle, as well as transfer optimization and development process services to integrated device manufacturers and fabless companies. The company serves consumer applications, personal computers, communications, handsets and smartphones, automotive, industrial, aerospace, and medical devices. Tower Semiconductor Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Migdal Haemek, Israel

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