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TSEMTower Semiconductor Ltd.Sell5.0·$232.38-3.99%
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Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. At $232.38, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, provides technology, development, and process platforms for integrated circuits in the United States, Japan, rest of Asia, and Europe. The company provides customizable process technologies, including SiGe, SiPho,... Read more

$232.38+17.4% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#27 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.45%
Stop $216.32Target $273.04(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$313.83+35.1%6 analysts
$273.04our TP
$232.38price
$313.83mean
$335

Sell if holding. At $232.38, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.2): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)108.5
P/E (Fwd)42.2
Mkt Cap$28.8B
EV/EBITDA48.2
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth15.5%
Beta0.87
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.31bearish
IV109%elevated
Max Pain$120-48.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Ps
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Peg Ratio
1.4
Forward Pe
2.7
Analyst Target
7.5
Forward P/E: 42.2xPEG: 6.78Expensive valuation

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $209.76Resistance $302.86

Price Targets

$216
$273
A.Upside+17.5%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TSEM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $232.38, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $216.32. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the TSEM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $273.04 (+17.4% upside). Prior stop was $216.32. Stop-loss: $216.32.

What are the risks of investing in TSEM?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.2): -1.5.

Is TSEM overvalued or undervalued?

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. trades at a P/E of 108.5 (forward 42.2). TrendMatrix value score: 2.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TSEM?

11 analysts cover TSEM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $314.

What does Tower Semiconductor Ltd. do?Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, provides technology, development, and process platforms...

Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, provides technology, development, and process platforms for integrated circuits in the United States, Japan, rest of Asia, and Europe. The company provides customizable process technologies, including SiGe, SiPho, mixed signal CMOS, RF CMOS, CMOS image sensor, non-imaging sensors, wafers, and integrated power management. It also offers a design enablement platform for a design cycle, as well as transfer optimization and development process services to integrated device manufacturers and fabless companies. The company serves consumer applications, personal computers, communications, handsets and smartphones, automotive, industrial, aerospace, and medical devices. Tower Semiconductor Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Migdal Haemek, Israel

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