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TSEMTower Semiconductor Ltd.Buy Wait5.7·$232.50-2.28%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Tower Semiconductor has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters with an average 10.9% positive surprise and shows strong revenue and earnings growth scores of 8.2 out of 10, but a forward P/E of 50x with a PEG of 8.26 reflects expensive growth expectations that leave little margin for error.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Growth Semiconductor Profile
  • Expensive Valuation High PeStable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak GrowthStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Wait for pullback to $222.30. At $232.50 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $222.30 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Expensive valuation; Negative momentum.

Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, provides technology, development, and process platforms for integrated circuits in the United States, Japan, rest of Asia, and Europe. The company provides customizable process technologies, including SiGe, SiPho,... Read more

$232.50+16.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#27 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.49%
Entry $222.30(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $178.15Target $273.04(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$313.83+35.0%6 analysts
$273.04our TP
$232.50price
$313.83mean
$335

Wait for pullback to $222.30. At $232.50 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $222.30 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Expensive valuation; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 16d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-20
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202616d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.80)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Expensive valuation
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)108.9
P/E (Fwd)40.1
Mkt Cap$26.5B
EV/EBITDA46.5
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth15.5%
Beta0.87
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.36bearish
IV123%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Ps
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Peg Ratio
1.5
Forward Pe
2.8
Analyst Target
7.5
Forward P/E: 40.1xPEG: 6.74Expensive valuation

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
3.8
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
5.1
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 16d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $199.63Resistance $319.94

Price Targets

$178
$222
$273
A.Upside+16.6%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (16d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TSEM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $222.30. At $232.50 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $222.30 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Expensive valuation; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $273.04 (+17.4%), stop $178.15 (−30.5%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TSEM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $273.04 (+16.6% upside). Target $273.04 (+17.4%), stop $178.15 (−30.5%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $178.15.

What are the risks of investing in TSEM?

Expensive valuation; Negative momentum.

Is TSEM overvalued or undervalued?

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. trades at a P/E of 108.9 (forward 40.1). TrendMatrix value score: 2.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TSEM?

11 analysts cover TSEM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $314.

What does Tower Semiconductor Ltd. do?Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, provides technology, development, and process platforms...

Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, provides technology, development, and process platforms for integrated circuits in the United States, Japan, rest of Asia, and Europe. The company provides customizable process technologies, including SiGe, SiPho, mixed signal CMOS, RF CMOS, CMOS image sensor, non-imaging sensors, wafers, and integrated power management. It also offers a design enablement platform for a design cycle, as well as transfer optimization and development process services to integrated device manufacturers and fabless companies. The company serves consumer applications, personal computers, communications, handsets and smartphones, automotive, industrial, aerospace, and medical devices. Tower Semiconductor Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Migdal Haemek, Israel

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