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TSEMTower Semiconductor Ltd.Hold6.0·$253.50+12.82%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Tower Semiconductor has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters with an average 10.9% positive surprise and shows strong revenue and earnings growth scores of 8.2 out of 10, but a forward P/E of 50x with a PEG of 8.26 reflects expensive growth expectations that leave little margin for error.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Growth Semiconductor Profile
  • Expensive Valuation High PeDeteriorating
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak GrowthImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $253.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Expensive valuation.

Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, provides technology, development, and process platforms for integrated circuits in the United States, Japan, rest of Asia, and Europe. The company provides customizable process technologies, including SiGe, SiPho,... Read more

$253.50+9.6% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#26 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.58%
Stop $234.82Target $276.80(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$318.17+25.5%6 analysts
$276.80our TP
$253.50price
$318.17mean
$355

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $253.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(4), earnings proximity 93d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202693d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.6%
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)88.6
P/E (Fwd)38.8
Mkt Cap$28.5B
EV/EBITDA45.5
Profit Mgn16.9%
ROE10.0%
Rev Growth23.7%
Beta0.90
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.08bearish
IV95%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
0.6
Peg Ratio
1.4
Forward Pe
2.8
Analyst Target
6.0
Forward P/E: 38.8xPEG: 6.91Expensive valuation

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.3
Support Resistance
2.4
Gap
5.0
52w Position
5.8
GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(4)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 93d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $185.07Resistance $274.00

Price Targets

$235
$277
A.Upside+9.6%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (93d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TSEM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $253.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $276.80 (+9.2%), stop $234.82 (−8.0%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TSEM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $276.80 (+9.6% upside). Target $276.80 (+9.2%), stop $234.82 (−8.0%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $234.82.

What are the risks of investing in TSEM?

Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Expensive valuation.

Is TSEM overvalued or undervalued?

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. trades at a P/E of 88.6 (forward 38.8). TrendMatrix value score: 2.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TSEM?

11 analysts cover TSEM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $318.

What does Tower Semiconductor Ltd. do?Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, provides technology, development, and process platforms...

Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an independent semiconductor foundry, provides technology, development, and process platforms for integrated circuits in the United States, Japan, rest of Asia, and Europe. The company provides customizable process technologies, including SiGe, SiPho, mixed signal CMOS, RF CMOS, CMOS image sensor, non-imaging sensors, wafers, and integrated power management. It also offers a design enablement platform for a design cycle, as well as transfer optimization and development process services to integrated device manufacturers and fabless companies. The company serves consumer applications, personal computers, communications, handsets and smartphones, automotive, industrial, aerospace, and medical devices. Tower Semiconductor Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Migdal Haemek, Israel

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