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AIPArteris, Inc.Sell5.6·$20.50-6.31%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Arteris shows elite Rule-of-40 growth economics, but a failed momentum gate, negative risk-reward asymmetry, extreme insider selling of 2.09% of market cap, and elevated implied volatility argue for caution even as the growth story remains intact.

Thesis pillars

  • Elite Rule Of 40 GrowthStable
  • Failed Momentum Negative AsymmetryStable
  • Extreme Insider SellingImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Arteris, Inc. (AIP) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $20.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Expensive valuation.

Arteris develops semiconductor system IP — network-on-chip interconnect technology and SoC Integration Automation software — that manages on-chip data movement for aerospace/defense, automotive, communications, consumer electronics, and industrial customers. The company licenses... Read more

$20.50+72.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#37 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.04%
Stop $19.84Target $35.67(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.3:1
Analyst target$41.00+100.0%6 analysts
$35.67our TP
$20.50price
$41.00mean
$50

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $20.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Arteris, Inc.

About Arteris, Inc.

Arteris, Inc. generated $70.6 million in revenue in 2025, up from $57.7 million in 2024, licensing network-on-chip interconnect and SoC Integration Automation software that has been incorporated into more than four billion production semiconductors since the company's 2003 founding. The company maintains roughly 90% average customer retention and employed 170 development engineers as of December 31, 2025, serving aerospace and defense, automotive, communications, consumer electronics, enterprise computing, and industrial markets.

Arteris earns revenue primarily through technology license fees plus ongoing royalties, layered with support and maintenance fees, and licenses its interconnect IP directly to semiconductor and system companies rather than end-users — a model where Annual Contract Value reached $77.0 million and ACV plus royalties reached $83.6 million as of December 31, 2025. Design wins typically take six to nine months to close and carry a long tail before royalty revenue materializes, since customers must first embed the IP at the design stage and then reach volume production. The company competes against in-house development teams at larger semiconductor firms as well as third-party IP providers such as Arm and Cadence, and names automotive customers including Mobileye, Renesas, Socionext, NXP, BMW, and Bosch. Growth has also come through acquisition: Magillem (2020), Semifore (2022), and Cycuity (2026) added SoC integration automation and hardware chip-level security verification to the core interconnect business.

Show full overview

Arteris's Item 1A risk factors disclose that a significant portion of revenue in any given period may depend on a single product design win with a large customer, meaning the loss of one design win or a delay in a customer's volume-production ramp could materially affect results — a customer-concentration risk distinct from the platform-scale story in the filing's business overview. The company also flags competitive pressure from Arm and Cadence, both of which possess substantially greater financial and engineering resources, and cites the Israel-Gaza conflict as a source of continuing uncertainty for customers operating in the affected region.

See also: Technology · Semiconductors

From Arteris, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202662d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 72%
Risks
Expensive valuation
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)168.2
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA-27.4
Profit Mgn-46.7%
ROE-131.4%
Rev Growth46.2%
Beta1.96
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.50bearish
IV93%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomersingle design win with a large customer
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our revenue in any period may depend on a single product design win with a large customer'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-12Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Nick Hawkins notified the company on May 8, 2026 that he will retire effective August 31, 2026, due to a family illness. He will continue as an advisor post-retirement to facilitate an orderly transition. No disagreement with the company or its independent auditors cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.7
Capitulation risk (RSI 18, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+9.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Forward Pe
1.0
Ps
2.0
Peg Ratio
5.1
Analyst Target
9.0
Forward P/E: 168.2xPEG: 1.46
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5INSIDER 0.00%=MODERATEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 5.2 ≥ 1.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
18 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.45Resistance $33.57

Price Targets

$20
$36
A.Upside+72.0%
A.R:R5.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AIP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $20.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $19.84. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AIP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.67 (+72.0% upside). Prior stop was $19.84. Stop-loss: $19.84.

What are the risks of investing in AIP?

Expensive valuation; Negative momentum.

Is AIP overvalued or undervalued?

Arteris, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 168.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AIP?

10 analysts cover AIP with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Arteris, Inc. do?Arteris develops semiconductor system IP — network-on-chip interconnect technology and SoC Integration Automation...

Arteris develops semiconductor system IP — network-on-chip interconnect technology and SoC Integration Automation software — that manages on-chip data movement for aerospace/defense, automotive, communications, consumer electronics, and industrial customers. The company licenses this technology under a license-fee-plus-royalty model, generating $70.6 million in revenue in 2025 versus $57.7 million in 2024, while posting a $34.7 million net loss. Acquisitions of Magillem, Semifore, and Cycuity added integration-automation and hardware-security capabilities to its interconnect IP core.

Related stocks: SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.) · ALGM (Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.) · NVEC (NVE Corporation) · DIOD (Diodes Incorporated)
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