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AIPArteris, Inc.Sell5.0·$33.33-0.60%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Arteris shows elite Rule-of-40 growth economics, but a failed momentum gate, negative risk-reward asymmetry, extreme insider selling of 2.09% of market cap, and elevated implied volatility argue for caution even as the growth story remains intact.

Thesis pillars

  • Elite Rule Of 40 GrowthStable
  • Failed Momentum Negative AsymmetryStable
  • Extreme Insider SellingStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Arteris, Inc. (AIP) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.33: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.25; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Arteris develops semiconductor system IP — network-on-chip interconnect technology and SoC Integration Automation software — that manages on-chip data movement for aerospace/defense, automotive, communications, consumer electronics, and industrial customers. The company licenses... Read more

$33.33-0.3% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#44 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield1.32%
Stop $31.00Target $49.25(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$38.20+14.6%5 analysts
$49.25our TP
$33.33price
$38.20mean
$49

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.33: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.25; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/8 gates (news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Arteris, Inc.

About Arteris, Inc.

Arteris, Inc. generated $70.6 million in revenue in 2025, up from $57.7 million in 2024, licensing network-on-chip interconnect and SoC Integration Automation software that has been incorporated into more than four billion production semiconductors since the company's 2003 founding. The company maintains roughly 90% average customer retention and employed 170 development engineers as of December 31, 2025, serving aerospace and defense, automotive, communications, consumer electronics, enterprise computing, and industrial markets.

Arteris earns revenue primarily through technology license fees plus ongoing royalties, layered with support and maintenance fees, and licenses its interconnect IP directly to semiconductor and system companies rather than end-users — a model where Annual Contract Value reached $77.0 million and ACV plus royalties reached $83.6 million as of December 31, 2025. Design wins typically take six to nine months to close and carry a long tail before royalty revenue materializes, since customers must first embed the IP at the design stage and then reach volume production. The company competes against in-house development teams at larger semiconductor firms as well as third-party IP providers such as Arm and Cadence, and names automotive customers including Mobileye, Renesas, Socionext, NXP, BMW, and Bosch. Growth has also come through acquisition: Magillem (2020), Semifore (2022), and Cycuity (2026) added SoC integration automation and hardware chip-level security verification to the core interconnect business.

Show full overview

Arteris's Item 1A risk factors disclose that a significant portion of revenue in any given period may depend on a single product design win with a large customer, meaning the loss of one design win or a delay in a customer's volume-production ramp could materially affect results — a customer-concentration risk distinct from the platform-scale story in the filing's business overview. The company also flags competitive pressure from Arm and Cadence, both of which possess substantially greater financial and engineering resources, and cites the Israel-Gaza conflict as a source of continuing uncertainty for customers operating in the affected region.

See also: Technology · Semiconductors

From Arteris, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-23

Recent Developments — Arteris, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-25T09:22:35Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202614d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-0.3% upside)
Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)212.9
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA-50.1
Profit Mgn-44.9%
ROE
Rev Growth38.7%
Beta1.92
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.25bearish
IV108%elevated
Max Pain$23-32.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomersingle design win with a large customer
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our revenue in any period may depend on a single product design win with a large customer'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-12Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Nick Hawkins notified the company on May 8, 2026 that he will retire effective August 31, 2026, due to a family illness. He will continue as an advisor post-retirement to facilitate an orderly transition. No disagreement with the company or its independent auditors cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.4
Value Rank
2.6
Growth Rank
7.0

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
4.7
PEG: 1.77Expensive valuation

Volatile — 8.0% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
2.4
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Beta
3.6
Short Interest
6.0
Days To Cover
8.3
Elevated put/call: 2.25High IV: 108%Above max pain $22
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEINSIDER 4.70%=EXTREMEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.75Resistance $50.26

Price Targets

$31
$49
A.Upside-0.3%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.3% upside)
! Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)
! momentum at 2.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AIP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.33: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.25; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $31.00. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AIP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.25 (-0.3% upside). Prior stop was $31.00. Stop-loss: $31.00.

What are the risks of investing in AIP?

Target reached (-0.3% upside); Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0).

Is AIP overvalued or undervalued?

Arteris, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 212.9). TrendMatrix value score: 2.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AIP?

8 analysts cover AIP with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $38.

What does Arteris, Inc. do?Arteris develops semiconductor system IP — network-on-chip interconnect technology and SoC Integration Automation...

Arteris develops semiconductor system IP — network-on-chip interconnect technology and SoC Integration Automation software — that manages on-chip data movement for aerospace/defense, automotive, communications, consumer electronics, and industrial customers. The company licenses this technology under a license-fee-plus-royalty model, generating $70.6 million in revenue in 2025 versus $57.7 million in 2024, while posting a $34.7 million net loss. Acquisitions of Magillem, Semifore, and Cycuity added integration-automation and hardware-security capabilities to its interconnect IP core.

Related stocks: CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.) · SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · DIOD (Diodes Incorporated) · NVEC (NVE Corporation) · RMBS (Rambus, Inc.)
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