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AIPArteris, Inc.Buy Wait5.6·$18.80
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Arteris is a fast-growing, free-cash-flow-positive semiconductor software name with large analyst upside, but heavy insider selling and weak momentum keep it a speculative position to avoid for now.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Fcf Positive Despite Loss→Stable
  • Heavy Insider Selling→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Arteris, Inc. (AIP) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Earnings in 3 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $17.86. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern, recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $18.80. Engine's entry $17.86 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Arteris develops semiconductor system IP — network-on-chip interconnect technology and SoC Integration Automation software — that manages on-chip data movement for aerospace/defense, automotive, communications, consumer electronics, and industrial customers. The company licenses... Read more

$18.80+72.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#34 of 52 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.36%
Entry $17.86(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $16.61Target $32.44(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.8:1
Analyst consensus$37.29+98.3%7 analysts
$32.44our TP
$18.80price
$37.29mean
$50

Wait for pullback to $17.86. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern, recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $18.80. Engine's entry $17.86 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Arteris, Inc.

About Arteris, Inc.

Arteris, Inc. generated $70.6 million in revenue in 2025, up from $57.7 million in 2024, licensing network-on-chip interconnect and SoC Integration Automation software that has been incorporated into more than four billion production semiconductors since the company's 2003 founding. The company maintains roughly 90% average customer retention and employed 170 development engineers as of December 31, 2025, serving aerospace and defense, automotive, communications, consumer electronics, enterprise computing, and industrial markets.

Arteris earns revenue primarily through technology license fees plus ongoing royalties, layered with support and maintenance fees, and licenses its interconnect IP directly to semiconductor and system companies rather than end-users — a model where Annual Contract Value reached $77.0 million and ACV plus royalties reached $83.6 million as of December 31, 2025. Design wins typically take six to nine months to close and carry a long tail before royalty revenue materializes, since customers must first embed the IP at the design stage and then reach volume production. The company competes against in-house development teams at larger semiconductor firms as well as third-party IP providers such as Arm and Cadence, and names automotive customers including Mobileye, Renesas, Socionext, NXP, BMW, and Bosch. Growth has also come through acquisition: Magillem (2020), Semifore (2022), and Cycuity (2026) added SoC integration automation and hardware chip-level security verification to the core interconnect business.

Show full overview

Arteris's Item 1A risk factors disclose that a significant portion of revenue in any given period may depend on a single product design win with a large customer, meaning the loss of one design win or a delay in a customer's volume-production ramp could materially affect results — a customer-concentration risk distinct from the platform-scale story in the filing's business overview. The company also flags competitive pressure from Arm and Cadence, both of which possess substantially greater financial and engineering resources, and cites the Israel-Gaza conflict as a source of continuing uncertainty for customers operating in the affected region.

See also: Technology · Semiconductors

From Arteris, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 73%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)151.3
Mkt Cap$924M
EV/EBITDA-24.5
Profit Mgn-46.7%
ROE-131.4%
Rev Growth46.2%
Beta1.90
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV101%elevated
Max Pain$13-33.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomersingle design win with a large customer
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our revenue in any period may depend on a single product design win with a large customer'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-12Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Nick Hawkins notified the company on May 8, 2026 that he will retire effective August 31, 2026, due to a family illness. He will continue as an advisor post-retirement to facilitate an orderly transition. No disagreement with the company or its independent auditors cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings in 3 days

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
4.8
Macd
7.2
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5INSIDER 1.35%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 4.8 ≥ 1.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
39 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $18.11Resistance $24.70

Price Targets

$17
$18
$32
A.Upside+72.5%
A.R:R4.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 1.35%=extreme

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AIP stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $17.86. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern, recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $18.80. Engine's entry $17.86 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $32.44 (+72.6%), stop $16.61 (−13.2%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AIP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.44 (+72.5% upside). Target $32.44 (+72.6%), stop $16.61 (−13.2%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Stop-loss: $16.61.

What are the risks of investing in AIP?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Is AIP overvalued or undervalued?

Arteris, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 151.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AIP?

11 analysts cover AIP with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $37.

What does Arteris, Inc. do?Arteris develops semiconductor system IP — network-on-chip interconnect technology and SoC Integration Automation...

Arteris develops semiconductor system IP — network-on-chip interconnect technology and SoC Integration Automation software — that manages on-chip data movement for aerospace/defense, automotive, communications, consumer electronics, and industrial customers. The company licenses this technology under a license-fee-plus-royalty model, generating $70.6 million in revenue in 2025 versus $57.7 million in 2024, while posting a $34.7 million net loss. Acquisitions of Magillem, Semifore, and Cycuity added integration-automation and hardware-security capabilities to its interconnect IP core.

Related stocks: SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · RMBS (Rambus, Inc.) · CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.) · MRAM (Everspin Technologies, Inc.) · ALGM (Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.)
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