AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) Stock Analysis
Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.04 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Agency RMBS.
AGNC Investment is an internally managed mortgage REIT investing primarily in Agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) on a leveraged basis, with principal and interest guaranteed by GSEs or the U.S. government. It generates income from net interest margin between... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.04 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Agency RMBS. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductAgency RMBS10-K Item 1A: 'As a levered investor primarily in fixed-rate Agency RMBS, spread risk is an inherent component of our business.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.04 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Agency RMBS. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $10.62. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $10.84 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $10.62. Stop-loss: $10.62.
Concentration risk — Product: Agency RMBS; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (3).
AGNC Investment Corp. trades at a P/E of 8.6 (forward 7.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover AGNC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $11.
What does AGNC Investment Corp. do?AGNC Investment is an internally managed mortgage REIT investing primarily in Agency residential mortgage-backed...
AGNC Investment is an internally managed mortgage REIT investing primarily in Agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) on a leveraged basis, with principal and interest guaranteed by GSEs or the U.S. government. It generates income from net interest margin between RMBS yields and borrowing/hedging costs, targeting 6-10x leverage.