Alamos Gold combines high-quality operating characteristics — 51% margins, a wide moat, and 79% revenue growth — with an attractively valued setup at 11x forward earnings and a roughly 4.4-to-1 risk/reward, though free cash flow converting to only 14% of net income and a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.8 remain key risks to watch.
Thesis pillars
- Pullback In Rising Uptrend→Stable
- Elite Margins Wide Moat→Stable
- Attractive Valuation Upside→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) Stock Analysis
Temporary headwind edge
Basic Materials · Gold
Wait for pullback to $30.50. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.57. Engine's entry $30.50 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.8): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
Wait for pullback to $30.50. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.57. Engine's entry $30.50 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.8): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.01, quality 8.0/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-07Recent Developments — Alamos Gold Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Alamos Gold (NYSE:AGI) Announces Earnings Results, Hits Estimates - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Alamos Gold (NYSE:AGI) Releases Earnings Results, Misses Estimates By $0.12 EPS - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS Alamos Gold: Q1 Earnings Snapshot - WKYC — WKYC neutral
- NEWS Alamos Gold: Q1 Earnings Snapshot - KVUE — KVUE neutral
- NEWS Alamos Gold: Q1 Earnings Snapshot - kvue.com — kvue.com neutral
Generated 2026-07-07T11:41:56Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $30.50. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.57. Engine's entry $30.50 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.8): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.01, quality 8.0/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $45.05 (+42.7%), stop $28.61 (−10.3%), A.R:R 3.3:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $45.05 (+47.7% upside). Target $45.05 (+42.7%), stop $28.61 (−10.3%), A.R:R 3.3:1. Stop-loss: $28.61.
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.8): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Alamos Gold Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.6 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
15 analysts cover AGI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $53.
What does Alamos Gold Inc. do?Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company...
Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.