Alamos Gold combines high-quality operating characteristics — 51% margins, a wide moat, and 79% revenue growth — with an attractively valued setup at 11x forward earnings and a roughly 4.4-to-1 risk/reward, though free cash flow converting to only 14% of net income and a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.8 remain key risks to watch.
Thesis pillars
- Pullback In Rising Uptrend↑Improving
- Elite Margins Wide Moat→Stable
- Attractive Valuation Upside→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Basic Materials · Gold
Wait for pullback to $30.42. At $37.46 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $30.42 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.
Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
Wait for pullback to $30.42. At $37.46 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $30.42 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.01, quality 8.2/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-05Recent Developments — Alamos Gold Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Alamos Gold: Q2 Earnings Snapshot - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Alamos Gold: Q2 Earnings Snapshot - finance.yahoo.com — finance.yahoo.com positive
- NEWS Alamos Gold: Q2 Earnings Snapshot - kare11.com — kare11.com neutral
- NEWS Alamos Gold: Q2 Earnings Snapshot - WKYC — WKYC positive
- NEWS The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company Acquires 1,216,977 Shares of Alamos Gold Inc. $AGI - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-09-06T00:41:53Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $30.42. At $37.46 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $30.42 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.01, quality 8.2/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $39.31 (+4.9%), stop $27.22 (−37.6%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $39.31 (+6.3% upside). Target $39.31 (+4.9%), stop $27.22 (−37.6%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $27.22.
Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.
Alamos Gold Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.3 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
15 analysts cover AGI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $46.
What does Alamos Gold Inc. do?Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company...
Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.