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AGIAlamos Gold Inc.Buy Wait6.9·$38.42+2.07%
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Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $36.50. BUY gates pass at $38.42, but leverage penalty (D/E 4.8): -1.5 argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $36.50 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

$38.42+31.0% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#14 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.97%
IncomeYield0.43%(5y avg 0.78%)Payout4.58%sustainable
Entry $36.50(5% below current)Stop $33.95Target $47.81(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.7:1Setup A.R:R 4.4:1
Analyst target$56.25+46.4%4 analysts
$47.81our TP
$38.42price
$56.25mean
$60

Wait for pullback to $36.50. BUY gates pass at $38.42, but leverage penalty (D/E 4.8): -1.5 argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $36.50 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. V9 Gate blocked: SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on sector concentration cap sector=basic materials count=3 cap=3. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17

Recent Developments — Alamos Gold Inc.

Generated 2026-06-17T09:07:22Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.8): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.0
P/E (Fwd)11.0
Mkt Cap$15.8B
EV/EBITDA11.3
Profit Mgn51.2%
ROE25.9%
Rev Growth79.2%
Beta1.27
Dividend0.43%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$75+95.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
3.3
52w Position
3.9
Bollinger
4.2
GatesSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Basic Materials count=3 cap=3Momentum 6.2>=5.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.84Resistance $41.13

Price Targets

$34
$37
$48
A.Upside+24.4%
A.R:R1.7:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)4.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.5%
Max %2.9%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3
! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AGI stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $36.50. BUY gates pass at $38.42, but leverage penalty (D/E 4.8): -1.5 argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $36.50 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. V9 Gate blocked: SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Target $47.81 (+24.4%), stop $33.95 (−13.2%), Setup A.R:R 4.4:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AGI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.81 (+31.0% upside). Target $47.81 (+24.4%), stop $33.95 (−13.2%), Setup A.R:R 4.4:1. Stop-loss: $33.95.

What are the risks of investing in AGI?

Leverage penalty (D/E 4.8): -1.5.

Is AGI overvalued or undervalued?

Alamos Gold Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.0 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AGI?

15 analysts cover AGI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $56.

What does Alamos Gold Inc. do?Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company...

Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation)
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