Skip to main content

Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $40.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

$40.12+28.0% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#14 of 32 Gold
Stop $38.22Target $51.42(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$60.50+50.8%4 analysts
$51.42our TP
$40.12price
$60.50mean
$63

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $40.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 24, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.3
P/E (Fwd)12.2
Mkt Cap$17.2B
EV/EBITDA15.6
Profit Mgn49.0%
ROE22.1%
Rev Growth53.1%
Beta1.35
Dividend0.28%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.28bullish
IV58%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
5.5
Rsi
8.4
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 24)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
24 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $39.40Resistance $50.40

Price Targets

$38
$51
A.Upside+28.2%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AGI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $40.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 24, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $38.22. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AGI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.42 (+28.0% upside). Prior stop was $38.22. Stop-loss: $38.22.

What are the risks of investing in AGI?

Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is AGI overvalued or undervalued?

Alamos Gold Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.3 (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AGI?

15 analysts cover AGI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $61.

What does Alamos Gold Inc. do?Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company...

Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · DRD (DRDGOLD Limited) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.)