AerCap presents a compelling combination of deep value — forward price-to-earnings of 8.3x and a PEG ratio of 0.20 — with an exceptional earnings track record of four consecutive beats averaging 32% above consensus, yet the stock trades within 1.8% of the analyst take-profit target with a 0.37-to-1 reward-to-risk ratio; the underlying business quality is high but the entry geometry is unfavorable at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Earnings Beat Consistency→Stable
- Deep Value Attractive Multiple↓Deteriorating
- Breakout Technical Momentum→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services
Wait for pullback to $143.74. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $151.30. Engine's entry $143.74 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away).
AerCap Holdings N.V. engages in the lease, financing, sale, and management of commercial flight equipment in the United States, China, and internationally. The company engages in aircraft and engine asset management services, such as remarketing aircraft and engines for lease or... Read more
Wait for pullback to $143.74. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $151.30. Engine's entry $143.74 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — AerCap Holdings N.V.
Latest news
- NEWS AerCap (AER) Stock: Is It Near Support | Q4 2025: EPS Beats Forecasts - Sell Rating - Xã Châu Thành — Xã Châu Thành positive
- NEWS AerCap Publishes Corporate Responsibility Report for 2025 - PR Newswire — PR Newswire neutral
- NEWS Aercap Holdings N.V. (NYSE:AER) Given Average Rating of "Moderate Buy" by Analysts - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS ARGA Investment Management LP Trims Stock Position in Aercap Holdings N.V. $AER - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS AerCap (AER) Looks Like a High-Quality Compounder, but the Case Still Depends on Funding Discipline - AlphaStreet — AlphaStreet positive
Generated 2026-07-27T11:13:00Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $143.74. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $151.30. Engine's entry $143.74 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $152.87 (+1.0%), stop $137.66 (−9.9%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $152.87 (-1.7% upside). Target $152.87 (+1.0%), stop $137.66 (−9.9%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $137.66.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5.
AerCap Holdings N.V. trades at a P/E of 6.6 (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
14 analysts cover AER with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $171.
What does AerCap Holdings N.V. do?AerCap Holdings N.V. engages in the lease, financing, sale, and management of commercial flight equipment in the United...
AerCap Holdings N.V. engages in the lease, financing, sale, and management of commercial flight equipment in the United States, China, and internationally. The company engages in aircraft and engine asset management services, such as remarketing aircraft and engines for lease or sale; collecting rental and supplemental maintenance rent payments, monitoring aircraft maintenance, monitoring and enforcing contract compliance, and accepting delivery and redelivery of aircraft and engines; conducting ongoing lessee financial performance reviews. Its aircraft and engine asset management services also include periodically inspecting the leased aircraft and engines; coordinating technical modifications to aircraft to meet new lessee requirements; conducting restructuring negotiations in connection with lease defaults; repossessing aircraft and engines; arranging and monitoring insurance coverage; registering and de-registering aircraft; arranging for aircraft and engine valuations; and providing market research services. In addition, the company provides corporate administrative services comprising accounting, and corporate secretarial services consisting of the preparation of budgets and financial statements; and cash management services, including treasury services, such as the financing, refinancing, hedging, and ongoing cash management of companies. Further, it offers airframe and engine parts and supply chain solutions to airlines; maintenance, repair, and overhaul service providers; and aircraft parts distributors. The company has a portfolio of owned, managed, or on order aircraft, consisting of 3,500 aircraft, engines, and helicopters. AerCap Holdings N.V. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.