AerCap is a high-margin (34%) aircraft lessor at 8.3x forward earnings with a perfect four-quarter beat streak and strong momentum, but at $158.52 it is within 2.4% of the $162.34 analyst target and near its 52-week high.
Thesis pillars
- Cheap Valuation High Margins↓Deteriorating
- Limited Upside To Analyst Target↓Deteriorating
- Perfect Beat Streak→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026
AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $162.41: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.7% away).
AerCap Holdings N.V. engages in the lease, financing, sale, and management of commercial flight equipment in the United States, China, and internationally. The company engages in aircraft and engine asset management services, such as remarketing aircraft and engines for lease or... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $162.41: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 93d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Oct 28, 2026Recent Developments — AerCap Holdings N.V.
Latest news
- NEWS AerCap Holdings NV (AER) Stock Up 3.6% but GF Value Says Overval - GuruFocus — GuruFocus Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS AerCap shares climb toward record high on raised outlook (AER:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS AerCap Holdings N.V. Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS AerCap: Strong Residual Values Can Lift Shares Higher (Downgrade) (NYSE:AER) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha Oct 28, 2026 negative
- NEWS AerCap Holdings N.V. Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2026 - marketscr — marketscreener.com Oct 28, 2026 positive
Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:49:36Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $162.41: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $154.77. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Analyst target $162.34 reached (0.0% from $162.41); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $154.77. Stop-loss: $154.77.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.7% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
AerCap Holdings N.V. trades at a P/E of 8.3 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
16 analysts rate AER, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 10 analysts publish price targets averaging $187.
What does AerCap Holdings N.V. do?AerCap Holdings N.V. engages in the lease, financing, sale, and management of commercial flight equipment in the United...
AerCap Holdings N.V. engages in the lease, financing, sale, and management of commercial flight equipment in the United States, China, and internationally. The company engages in aircraft and engine asset management services, such as remarketing aircraft and engines for lease or sale; collecting rental and supplemental maintenance rent payments, monitoring aircraft maintenance, monitoring and enforcing contract compliance, and accepting delivery and redelivery of aircraft and engines; conducting ongoing lessee financial performance reviews. Its aircraft and engine asset management services also include periodically inspecting the leased aircraft and engines; coordinating technical modifications to aircraft to meet new lessee requirements; conducting restructuring negotiations in connection with lease defaults; repossessing aircraft and engines; arranging and monitoring insurance coverage; registering and de-registering aircraft; arranging for aircraft and engine valuations; and providing market research services. In addition, the company provides corporate administrative services comprising accounting, and corporate secretarial services consisting of the preparation of budgets and financial statements; and cash management services, including treasury services, such as the financing, refinancing, hedging, and ongoing cash management of companies. Further, it offers airframe and engine parts and supply chain solutions to airlines; maintenance, repair, and overhaul service providers; and aircraft parts distributors. The company has a portfolio of owned, managed, or on order aircraft, consisting of 3,500 aircraft, engines, and helicopters. AerCap Holdings N.V. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.