AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services
Sell if holding. At $136.03, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
AerCap Holdings N.V. engages in the lease, financing, sale, and management of commercial flight equipment in the United States, China, and internationally. The company engages in aircraft and engine asset management services, such as remarketing aircraft and engines for lease or... Read more
Sell if holding. At $136.03, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.2/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — AerCap Holdings N.V.
Latest news
- AerCap (AER) Stock: Is It Near Support | Q4 2025: EPS Beats Forecasts - Sell Rating - Xã Châu Thành — Xã Châu Thành positive
- AerCap Publishes Corporate Responsibility Report for 2025 - PR Newswire — PR Newswire neutral
- Aercap Holdings N.V. (NYSE:AER) Given Average Rating of "Moderate Buy" by Analysts - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- ARGA Investment Management LP Trims Stock Position in Aercap Holdings N.V. $AER - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- AerCap Holdings NV (AER) Stock Down 4.0% but Still Overvalued -- GF Score: 85/100 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $136.03, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $129.87. Score 6.2/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $142.49 (+4.7% upside). Prior stop was $129.87. Stop-loss: $129.87.
Thin upside margin: 4.7%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5.
AerCap Holdings N.V. trades at a P/E of 6.1 (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover AER with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $164.
What does AerCap Holdings N.V. do?AerCap Holdings N.V. engages in the lease, financing, sale, and management of commercial flight equipment in the United...
AerCap Holdings N.V. engages in the lease, financing, sale, and management of commercial flight equipment in the United States, China, and internationally. The company engages in aircraft and engine asset management services, such as remarketing aircraft and engines for lease or sale; collecting rental and supplemental maintenance rent payments, monitoring aircraft maintenance, monitoring and enforcing contract compliance, and accepting delivery and redelivery of aircraft and engines; conducting ongoing lessee financial performance reviews. Its aircraft and engine asset management services also include periodically inspecting the leased aircraft and engines; coordinating technical modifications to aircraft to meet new lessee requirements; conducting restructuring negotiations in connection with lease defaults; repossessing aircraft and engines; arranging and monitoring insurance coverage; registering and de-registering aircraft; arranging for aircraft and engine valuations; and providing market research services. In addition, the company provides corporate administrative services comprising accounting, and corporate secretarial services consisting of the preparation of budgets and financial statements; and cash management services, including treasury services, such as the financing, refinancing, hedging, and ongoing cash management of companies. Further, it offers airframe and engine parts and supply chain solutions to airlines; maintenance, repair, and overhaul service providers; and aircraft parts distributors. The company has a portfolio of owned, managed, or on order aircraft, consisting of 3,500 aircraft, engines, and helicopters. AerCap Holdings N.V. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.