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WNCWabash National CorporationSell5.9·$11.73
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Wabash National's quality has broken down — a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, a 20% YoY revenue decline, and a death-cross hard block — while falling analyst estimates (-41.3%) and a 7.25 put/call ratio point to continued near-term pressure despite a statistically cheap valuation.

Thesis pillars

  • Weak Piotroski Quality Floor Breach↑Improving
  • Death Cross Technical Hard Block↑Improving
  • Declining Revenue Growth Deterioration↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Wabash National Corporation (WNC) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.73: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 4.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 11.40; Below-average business quality.

Wabash National Corporation manufactures engineered solutions and services for transportation, logistics and infrastructure industry in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Transportation Solutions and Parts & Services. It offers dry van trailers, platform... Read more

$11.73+55.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#8 of 18 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-11.89%
IncomeYield2.73%(5y avg 1.85%)Payout7.89%sustainable
Stop $11.30Analyst target $18.27(−15% haircut)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst consensus$21.50+83.3%2 analysts with price targets
$18.27Analyst target
$11.73price
$21.50mean
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.73: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 4.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 11.40; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 31, 2026

Recent Developments — Wabash National Corporation

Latest item Oct 31, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-03T11:44:04Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 3, 202791d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.0%), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.21% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)14.4
Mkt Cap$478M
EV/EBITDA-10.3
Profit Mgn-9.1%
ROE-39.9%
Rev Growth24.8%
Beta1.52
Dividend2.73%
Analysts with ratings6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C11.40bearish
IV89%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerfive largest customers35%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we are subject to a concentration of risk as our five largest customers together accounted for approximately 35% of our aggregate net sales in 2025.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierchassis suppliers (GM, Freightliner, International, Ford)
    10-K Item 1A: 'Historically, General Motors Company (“GM”), Freightliner Custom Chassis (“Freightliner”), International Truck (“International”), and Ford Motor Company (“Ford”) have been the primary chassis suppliers.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Wabash announced Michael N. Pettit's transition from SVP, Chief Growth Officer to a non-executive Senior Advisor role effective April 8, 2026, remaining through Q3 2026 when his termination without cause under the Executive Severance Plan takes effect.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·3 ceiling hits

Unprofitable operations — net margin -9.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
5.1
Cash-burning: FCF -4% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 7.0% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
2.9
Short Interest
3.8
Beta
4.9
Days To Cover
5.0
News Risk
6.0
Elevated put/call: 11.40High IV: 89%Concentration risks: 2 MED (10-K Item 1A)
GatesMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.0>=4.5A.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.65Resistance $14.32

Price Targets

$11
$18
A.Upside+55.8%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.0%), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.21% of cap)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-03 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WNC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.73: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 4.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 11.40; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $11.30. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WNC stock price target?

Analyst target: $18.27 (+55.8% upside). Prior stop was $11.30. Stop-loss: $11.30.

What are the risks of investing in WNC?

Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.0%), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.21% of cap).

Is WNC overvalued or undervalued?

Wabash National Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WNC?

6 analysts rate WNC, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $22.

What does Wabash National Corporation do?Wabash National Corporation manufactures engineered solutions and services for transportation, logistics and...

Wabash National Corporation manufactures engineered solutions and services for transportation, logistics and infrastructure industry in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Transportation Solutions and Parts & Services. It offers dry van trailers, platform trailers, refrigerated trailers, stainless steel and aluminum tank trailers, and used trailors; dry freight truck bodies, cargo bodies, insulated and light-duty acutherm refrigerated truck bodies, and platform truck bodies; and laminated hardwood oak flooring. The company also provides aftermarket parts and services; steel flatbed bodies, truck body mounting, shelving for package delivery, partitions, roof racks, hitches, thermal solutions, liftgates, and other; door repair and replacement, collision repair, and basic maintenance; stainless steel storage tanks and silos, mixers, and processors for the dairy, food and beverage, pharmaceutical, chemical, craft brewing, and biotech end markets; and truck bodies, overhead doors, and other industrial applications. In addition, it offers maintenance and repair services for tank trailers and other related equipment; direct-line access to truck body repair parts; and trailers as a service, as well as develops and scales a digital marketplace for the transportation and logistics distribution industry. The company offers its products under the Wabash, MaxClearance, Trust Lock Plus, EZ-7, Lock-Rite, EZ-Adjust, DuraPlate, DuraPlateHD, DuraPlate AeroSkirt, and AeroSkirt CX brands, and EcoNex brand. Wabash National Corporation was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Lafayette, Indiana.

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