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WNCWabash National CorporationSell5.2·$12.39-1.12%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Wabash National's quality has broken down — a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, a 20% YoY revenue decline, and a death-cross hard block — while falling analyst estimates (-41.3%) and a 7.25 put/call ratio point to continued near-term pressure despite a statistically cheap valuation.

Thesis pillars

  • Weak Piotroski Quality Floor BreachStable
  • Death Cross Technical Hard BlockStable
  • Declining Revenue Growth DeteriorationStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Wabash National Corporation (WNC) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.39: Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 4.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. (Note: Risk dimension 4.5/10 and A.R:R 4.6:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.)

Wabash National Corporation manufactures engineered solutions and services for transportation, logistics and infrastructure industry in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Transportation Solutions and Parts & Services. It offers dry van trailers, platform... Read more

$12.39+54.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#13 of 18 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score1 / 9FCF yield28.94%
IncomeYield2.47%(5y avg 2.13%)Payout6.31%sustainable
Stop $11.52Target $19.12(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.6:1
Analyst target$22.50+81.6%2 analysts
$19.12our TP
$12.39price
$22.50mean
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.39: Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 4.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. (Note: Risk dimension 4.5/10 and A.R:R 4.6:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-12

Recent Developments — Wabash National Corporation

Generated 2026-08-14T11:47:21Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202685d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)10.2
Mkt Cap$510M
EV/EBITDA-109.0
Profit Mgn-5.5%
ROE-22.9%
Rev Growth-9.1%
Beta1.43
Dividend2.47%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F1/9

Options Flow

P/C0.05bullish
IV96%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerfive largest customers35%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we are subject to a concentration of risk as our five largest customers together accounted for approximately 35% of our aggregate net sales in 2025.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierchassis suppliers (GM, Freightliner, International, Ford)
    10-K Item 1A: 'Historically, General Motors Company (“GM”), Freightliner Custom Chassis (“Freightliner”), International Truck (“International”), and Ford Motor Company (“Ford”) have been the primary chassis suppliers.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Wabash announced Michael N. Pettit's transition from SVP, Chief Growth Officer to a non-executive Senior Advisor role effective April 8, 2026, remaining through Q3 2026 when his termination without cause under the Executive Severance Plan takes effect.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -5.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
1.1
Moat
2.5
Current Ratio
4.9
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 1/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
1.1
Value Rank
7.8

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.9
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
8.2
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 27)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
8.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend aristocrat: 2.5% yield
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 4.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 85d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.50Resistance $13.99

Price Targets

$12
$19
A.Upside+54.4%
A.R:R4.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (85d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WNC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.39: Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 4.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. (Note: Risk dimension 4.5/10 and A.R:R 4.6:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $11.52. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WNC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.12 (+54.4% upside). Prior stop was $11.52. Stop-loss: $11.52.

What are the risks of investing in WNC?

Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0).

Is WNC overvalued or undervalued?

Wabash National Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WNC?

6 analysts cover WNC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Wabash National Corporation do?Wabash National Corporation manufactures engineered solutions and services for transportation, logistics and...

Wabash National Corporation manufactures engineered solutions and services for transportation, logistics and infrastructure industry in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Transportation Solutions and Parts & Services. It offers dry van trailers, platform trailers, refrigerated trailers, stainless steel and aluminum tank trailers, and used trailors; dry freight truck bodies, cargo bodies, insulated and light-duty acutherm refrigerated truck bodies, and platform truck bodies; and laminated hardwood oak flooring. The company also provides aftermarket parts and services; steel flatbed bodies, truck body mounting, shelving for package delivery, partitions, roof racks, hitches, thermal solutions, liftgates, and other; door repair and replacement, collision repair, and basic maintenance; stainless steel storage tanks and silos, mixers, and processors for the dairy, food and beverage, pharmaceutical, chemical, craft brewing, and biotech end markets; and truck bodies, overhead doors, and other industrial applications. In addition, it offers maintenance and repair services for tank trailers and other related equipment; direct-line access to truck body repair parts; and trailers as a service, as well as develops and scales a digital marketplace for the transportation and logistics distribution industry. The company offers its products under the Wabash, MaxClearance, Trust Lock Plus, EZ-7, Lock-Rite, EZ-Adjust, DuraPlate, DuraPlateHD, DuraPlate AeroSkirt, and AeroSkirt CX brands, and EcoNex brand. Wabash National Corporation was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Lafayette, Indiana.

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