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ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.52: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality.

ProFrac Holding Corp. operates as a technology-focused energy services holding company in the United States. It operates through four segments: Stimulation Services, Proppant Production, Manufacturing, and and Flotek Industries, Inc. The company offers hydraulic fracturing,... Read more

$7.52+2.3% A.UpsideScore 3.5/10#32 of 32 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Stop $6.98Target $7.68(resistance)A.R:R -3.3:1
Analyst target$4.40-41.5%5 analysts
$7.68our TP
$7.52price
$4.40mean
$2

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.52: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 3.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-49.0% upside)
Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-9.9
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA9.9
Profit Mgn-19.0%
ROE-35.2%
Rev Growth-4.0%
Beta1.45
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.04bullish
IV110%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

6 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
1.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Current Ratio
3.2
Moat
5.0
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Revenue shrinking — -4.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.5
Declining revenue: -4%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.9
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 10 days

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
1.6
Value Rank
9.7

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.2
Support Resistance
1.4
52w Position
4.0
Gap
7.0

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Price Target
0.8
Analyst Rating
5.0
Erm Sentiment
5.0
Below analyst target
GatesA.R:R -3.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $5.50Resistance $7.84

Price Targets

$7
$8
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R-3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-49.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-11 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACDC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.52: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $6.98. Score 3.5/10, high confidence.

What is the ACDC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.68 (+2.3% upside). Prior stop was $6.98. Stop-loss: $6.98.

What are the risks of investing in ACDC?

Target reached (-49.0% upside); Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0).

Is ACDC overvalued or undervalued?

ProFrac Holding Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ACDC?

10 analysts cover ACDC with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $4.

What does ProFrac Holding Corp. do?ProFrac Holding Corp. operates as a technology-focused energy services holding company in the United States. It...

ProFrac Holding Corp. operates as a technology-focused energy services holding company in the United States. It operates through four segments: Stimulation Services, Proppant Production, Manufacturing, and and Flotek Industries, Inc. The company offers hydraulic fracturing, proppant production, well stimulation, in-basin frac sand, and other completion services and complementary products and services to upstream oil and natural gas companies engaged in the exploration and production of unconventional oil and natural gas resources. It also manufactures and sells high horsepower pumps, valves, piping, swivels, large-bore manifold systems, and fluid ends, as well as other auxiliary equipment. ProFrac Holding Corp. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Willow Park, Texas.

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