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USACUSA Compression Partners, LPBuy Wait6.6·$25.75-1.11%
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USA Compression Partners, LP (USAC) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Wait for pullback to $22.99. At $25.75 the A.R:R is 0.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $22.99 (R/R-minimum solve) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5.

USA Compression Partners provides natural gas compression services to oil and gas producers, processors, and midstream companies across U.S. unconventional plays including the Permian, Marcellus, and Bakken under fixed-fee contracts. The partnership's fleet stood at 3.9 million... Read more

$25.75+12.3% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#1 of 30 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.77%
IncomeYield8.06%(5y avg 9.99%)Payout214.29%at-risk
Entry $22.99(R/R-minimum solve)Stop $21.38Target $25.81(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.0:1Setup A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$29.67+15.2%6 analysts
$25.81our TP
$25.75price
$29.67mean
$33

Wait for pullback to $22.99. At $25.75 the A.R:R is 0.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $22.99 (R/R-minimum solve) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 29, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.15, quality 8.1/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About USA Compression Partners, LP

About USA Compression Partners, LP

USA Compression Partners operates 3.9 million horsepower of compression fleet across unconventional plays including the Utica, Marcellus, Permian, Denver-Julesburg, Eagle Ford, and — following the $860 million J-W Power Acquisition completed January 12, 2026 — the Bakken, bringing total fleet to roughly 4.9 million horsepower. The partnership's 5,364 compression units as of December 31, 2025 serve approximately 260 customer companies under fixed-fee contracts, making USA Compression Partners one of the largest independent compression service providers in the U.S. by total fleet horsepower.

USA Compression Partners earns revenue exclusively from fixed monthly service fees charged to major integrated oil companies, public and private E&P companies, and midstream gatherers. Contracts typically carry initial terms of six months to five years, with approximately 19% of 2025 compression services revenue generated on month-to-month arrangements at year-end — contracts that customers may terminate with 30 days' written notice. The top 10 customers represented 46% of total revenues in 2025, up from 39% in 2023. Compression units are built to company specifications using primarily Caterpillar 3400, 3500, and 3600 engine classes and Ariel compressor frames; the partnership relies on a limited number of suppliers — including Caterpillar, Cummins, INNIO Waukesha, and Ariel — without long-term purchase contracts, and the 10-K notes lead times for Caterpillar engines have extended beyond two years for certain classes. The company carried $2.5 billion of total debt at December 31, 2025.

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USA Compression Partners' fixed-fee contract structure requires customers to pay monthly service charges even during periods of limited or disrupted throughput, insulating near-term cash flows from volume variability. However, approximately 19% of 2025 revenues were generated on month-to-month contracts subject to 30-day termination notice. Energy Transfer owns 100% of the General Partner and 32% of limited partner units, and the 10-K notes that the General Partner's fiduciary duties to unitholders are limited under the Partnership Agreement, creating governance dynamics where Energy Transfer's interests could diverge from those of other unitholders.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

From USA Compression Partners, LP's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.6
P/E (Fwd)14.6
Mkt Cap$3.8B
EV/EBITDA10.5
Profit Mgn11.9%
ROE84.8%
Rev Growth35.1%
Beta0.17
Dividend8.06%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C14.50bearish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$35+35.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.58Resistance $30.55

Price Targets

$21
$23
$26
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R0.0:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.2% upside)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USAC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $22.99. At $25.75 the A.R:R is 0.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $22.99 (R/R-minimum solve) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 29, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.15, quality 8.1/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $25.81 (+0.2%), stop $21.38 (−20.4%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the USAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.81 (+12.3% upside). Target $25.81 (+0.2%), stop $21.38 (−20.4%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $21.38.

What are the risks of investing in USAC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is USAC overvalued or undervalued?

USA Compression Partners, LP trades at a P/E of 26.6 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about USAC?

13 analysts cover USAC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $30.

What does USA Compression Partners, LP do?USA Compression Partners provides natural gas compression services to oil and gas producers, processors, and midstream...

USA Compression Partners provides natural gas compression services to oil and gas producers, processors, and midstream companies across U.S. unconventional plays including the Permian, Marcellus, and Bakken under fixed-fee contracts. The partnership's fleet stood at 3.9 million horsepower at December 31, 2025, growing to roughly 4.9 million horsepower after the January 2026 J-W Power Acquisition; top 10 customers represented 46% of 2025 revenues.

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