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USA Compression Partners, LP (USAC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $27.44 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

USA Compression Partners is one of the largest independent providers of natural gas compression services in the U.S., with 3.9 million horsepower fleet focused on unconventional resource plays. Revenue from fixed-fee contracts with oil and gas producers and midstream operators.

$27.44+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#6 of 32 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Stop $26.14Target $27.56(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$29.00+5.7%6 analysts
$27.56our TP
$27.44price
$29.00mean
$26
$33

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $27.44 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.0
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA10.8
Profit Mgn11.2%
ROE
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta0.17
Dividend7.72%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.58bullish
IV67%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerten largest customers46%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our ten largest customers accounted for approximately 46%, 41%, and 39% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-10Item 5.02LOW
    Director Thomas P. Mason resigned from board of USA Compression GP, LLC effective March 31, 2026. No reason cited; not due to any disagreement with the General Partner or Partnership.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.38Resistance $28.12

Price Targets

$26
$28
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USAC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $27.44 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $26.14. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the USAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.56 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $26.14. Stop-loss: $26.14.

What are the risks of investing in USAC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is USAC overvalued or undervalued?

USA Compression Partners, LP trades at a P/E of 32.0 (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about USAC?

13 analysts cover USAC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $29.

What does USA Compression Partners, LP do?USA Compression Partners is one of the largest independent providers of natural gas compression services in the U.S.,...

USA Compression Partners is one of the largest independent providers of natural gas compression services in the U.S., with 3.9 million horsepower fleet focused on unconventional resource plays. Revenue from fixed-fee contracts with oil and gas producers and midstream operators.

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