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USA Compression Partners, LP (USAC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Caterpillar Inc.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

USA Compression Partners is one of the largest US independent providers of natural gas compression services with ~3.9M horsepower across unconventional resource plays, operated as a Delaware LP managed by a General Partner wholly owned by Energy Transfer. Revenue comes from... Read more

$30.30-1.2% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#1 of 31 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield6.96%(5y avg 10.09%)Payout214.29%at-risk
Stop $28.26Target $29.94(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$29.33-3.2%6 analysts
$29.94our TP
$30.30price
$29.33mean
$26
$33

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Caterpillar Inc.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.18, quality 8.5/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val6.4Qual8.5Grw10.0Mom7.3Sent5.3Ins5.0Peer6.1Tech3.5Risk6.56.8OVERALL

Recent Developments — USA Compression Partners, LP

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.5 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Caterpillar Inc.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.8
P/E (Fwd)16.9
Mkt Cap$4.4B
EV/EBITDA10.8
Profit Mgn11.9%
ROE—
Rev Growth35.1%
Beta0.18
Dividend6.96%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV40%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerten largest customers46%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our ten largest customers accounted for approximately 46%, 41%, and 39% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively'
  • HIGHSupplierCaterpillar Inc.
    10-K Item 1A: 'The substantial majority of the components for our natural gas compression equipment are supplied by Caterpillar Inc., Cummins Inc., INNIO Waukesha, and TECO-Westinghouse for engines'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-30Item 5.02LOW
    On April 28, 2026, Energy Transfer LP appointed Jim S. Holotik to serve as a director on the board of the General Partner. As an outside director, he will receive standard director compensation including 2,500 phantom units upon appointment.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-10Item 5.02LOW
    On March 5, 2026, Thomas P. Mason announced his resignation from the board of directors of USA Compression GP, LLC, effective March 31, 2026. No disagreement with the General Partner or Partnership cited. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.1
Support Resistance
0.5
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.95Resistance $30.55

Price Targets

$28
$30
A.Upside-1.2%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.8% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USAC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Caterpillar Inc.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.18, quality 8.5/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $29.94 (-1.2%), stop $28.26 (−7.2%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 6.8/10, high confidence.

What is the USAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.94 (-1.2% upside). Target $29.94 (-1.2%), stop $28.26 (−7.2%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $28.26.

What are the risks of investing in USAC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Caterpillar Inc.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away).

Is USAC overvalued or undervalued?

USA Compression Partners, LP trades at a P/E of 30.8 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about USAC?

13 analysts cover USAC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $29.

What does USA Compression Partners, LP do?USA Compression Partners is one of the largest US independent providers of natural gas compression services with ~3.9M...

USA Compression Partners is one of the largest US independent providers of natural gas compression services with ~3.9M horsepower across unconventional resource plays, operated as a Delaware LP managed by a General Partner wholly owned by Energy Transfer. Revenue comes from fixed monthly service fees under contracts with ~260 oil and gas companies; top 10 customers represent 46% of 2025 revenues.

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