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Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellHigh Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $124.14 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1).

Arcosa is a Dallas-based infrastructure products company with three segments: Construction Products (aggregates, specialty materials, asphalt, trench shields), Engineered Structures (utility/wind towers, traffic/lighting, telecom structures), and Transportation Products (inland... Read more

$124.14+7.0% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#24 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.91%
IncomeYield0.16%(5y avg 0.28%)Payout4.47%sustainable
Stop $115.45Target $132.87(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$141.00+13.6%4 analysts
$132.87our TP
$124.14price
$141.00mean
$152

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $124.14 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Arcosa, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.8
P/E (Fwd)24.6
Mkt Cap$6.1B
EV/EBITDA13.9
Profit Mgn7.7%
ROE8.6%
Rev Growth4.4%
Beta1.08
Dividend0.16%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.3
Quality Rank
3.5
Value Rank
5.2

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.9
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $112.76Resistance $135.58

Price Targets

$115
$133
A.Upside+7.0%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.5% upside)
! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $124.14 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $115.45. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the ACA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $132.87 (+7.0% upside). Prior stop was $115.45. Stop-loss: $115.45.

What are the risks of investing in ACA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is ACA overvalued or undervalued?

Arcosa, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.8 (forward 24.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ACA?

9 analysts cover ACA with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $141.

What does Arcosa, Inc. do?Arcosa is a Dallas-based infrastructure products company with three segments: Construction Products (aggregates,...

Arcosa is a Dallas-based infrastructure products company with three segments: Construction Products (aggregates, specialty materials, asphalt, trench shields), Engineered Structures (utility/wind towers, traffic/lighting, telecom structures), and Transportation Products (inland barges). GE Vernova represented 12.2% of consolidated revenues in 2025; the company sold its steel components business in 2024 and announced a sale of its barge business in February 2026.

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