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Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $103.98. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $119.86. Engine's entry $103.98 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Arcosa provides infrastructure-related products and solutions through three segments: Construction Products (natural/recycled aggregates, specialty materials, asphalt in Texas and NJ primarily), Engineered Structures (utility/wind/traffic/telecom structures), and Transportation... Read more

$119.86+12.8% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#21 of 30 Engineering & Construction
Entry $103.98(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $97.47Target $119.53(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1Setup A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$128.40+7.1%5 analysts
$119.53our TP
$119.86price
$128.40mean
$115
$135

Wait for pullback to $103.98. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $119.86. Engine's entry $103.98 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.5
P/E (Fwd)22.7
Mkt Cap$5.7B
EV/EBITDA13.3
Profit Mgn7.2%
ROE8.2%
Rev Growth7.6%
Beta0.96
Dividend0.17%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.31bullish
IV61%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerGE Vernova12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'GE Vernova accounted for approximately 12.2% of our consolidated revenues in 2025 up from 10.8% of consolidated revenues in 2024'
  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas35%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest markets are Texas and New Jersey, which represent approximately 35% and 20% of 2025 segment revenues'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-26Item 5.02LOW
    Jesse E. Collins, Jr., Group President overseeing Wind Towers and Construction Site Support, retiring effective April 3, 2026. No disagreement cited. No successor named in visible filing text.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.7
Quality Rank
3.3
Value Rank
6.2

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.5
Bollinger
2.0
52w Position
8.2
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $104.33Resistance $121.97

Price Targets

$97
$104
$120
A.Upside-0.3%
A.R:R-0.5:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.3% upside)
! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACA stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $103.98. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $119.86. Engine's entry $103.98 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $119.53 (-0.3%), stop $97.47 (−23.0%), Setup A.R:R 2.8:1. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $119.53 (+12.8% upside). Target $119.53 (-0.3%), stop $97.47 (−23.0%), Setup A.R:R 2.8:1. Stop-loss: $97.47.

What are the risks of investing in ACA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is ACA overvalued or undervalued?

Arcosa, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.5 (forward 22.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ACA?

10 analysts cover ACA with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $128.

What does Arcosa, Inc. do?Arcosa provides infrastructure-related products and solutions through three segments: Construction Products...

Arcosa provides infrastructure-related products and solutions through three segments: Construction Products (natural/recycled aggregates, specialty materials, asphalt in Texas and NJ primarily), Engineered Structures (utility/wind/traffic/telecom structures), and Transportation Products (inland barges, being divested in 2026). Largest markets are Texas and New Jersey for aggregates; GE Vernova is the largest single customer.

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