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WTTRSelect Water Solutions, Inc.Sell4.8·$17.99-5.37%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Select Water Solutions serves the oil and gas industry primarily in the Permian Basin, generating 51% of revenue from a single geography, with quality scores below the acceptable minimum floor, deeply negative free cash flow, and earnings that have been inconsistent — making this a speculative energy services position with limited margin of safety.

Thesis pillars

  • Permian Basin ConcentrationStable
  • Yield Trap Dividend RiskStable
  • Quality Below Minimum FloorStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Select Water Solutions, Inc. (WTTR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.99: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Select Water Solutions provides water management infrastructure, services, and completion chemicals to oil and gas operators across U.S. basins through three segments: Water Infrastructure, Water Services, and Chemical Technologies. The Permian Basin accounts for 51% of revenue;... Read more

$17.99+8.8% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#29 of 37 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-4.87%
IncomeYield1.56%Payout133.33%at-risk
Stop $16.80Target $19.57(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$22.50+25.1%6 analysts
$19.57our TP
$17.99price
$22.50mean
$24

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.99: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Select Water Solutions, Inc.

About Select Water Solutions, Inc.

Select Water Solutions generated 51% of its 2025 revenue from Permian Basin operations across Texas and New Mexico, where the company operates large-diameter pipeline networks, fixed recycling facilities, and saltwater disposal wells. The company's water infrastructure network included 2.4 million barrels per day of fixed recycling capacity, 2.3 million barrels per day of permitted disposal capacity, and 35 million barrels of produced water storage as of December 31, 2025, supplemented by positions in the Haynesville, Northeast, Rockies, and Bakken regions.

Select Water Solutions earns revenue across three segments. Water Infrastructure develops and operates permanent infrastructure—including fixed and mobile recycling facilities, pipeline systems, and saltwater disposal wells—under long-term contractual agreements often exceeding a decade, encompassing acreage dedications, wellbore dedications, and minimum volume commitments. Water Services provides completion-phase water transfer, sourcing, containment, and automation, plus mobile power and accommodations through the Peak Rentals subsidiary, which has been under strategic review since August 2025. Chemical Technologies manufactures hydraulic fracturing additives, cementing chemicals, and water treatment solutions sold to E&P companies and pressure-pumping service providers; approximately 8% of chemical raw material feedstock originated in China in 2025, creating tariff exposure following a 2025 escalation in U.S.-China trade tensions. Demand for all three segments depends directly on E&P customer capital spending, which was influenced by an average WTI crude price of $65.39 per barrel in 2025, down from $76.63 in 2024.

Show full overview

The Permian Basin concentration exposes Select Water Solutions to basin-specific supply-demand shifts, including recent operator consolidation that may reduce capital spending. The 10-K also flags Texas v. New Mexico and Colorado, a stayed water-rights case in which an adverse ruling against New Mexico could restrict access to water for operations in that state. The states reached a water-sharing agreement in 2022 that determines annual delivery amounts, but the federal government opposed that agreement, and the parties were required to return to mediation in December 2024, leaving the resolution still pending.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

From Select Water Solutions, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin (51.0%)
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.26% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)85.7
P/E (Fwd)27.5
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA11.2
Profit Mgn1.5%
ROE2.1%
Rev Growth-2.3%
Beta0.96
Dividend1.56%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV83%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicPermian Basin51%
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Permian Basin of Texas and New Mexico is presently our largest operating region, accounting for approximately 51% and 48% of our revenue in 2025 and 2024, respectively.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-01Item 5.02LOW
    Michael C. Skarke transitioned from EVP and Chief Operating Officer to EVP and Chief Commercial Officer effective June 1, 2026. Company does not plan to appoint a replacement COO; segment leaders will report directly to the CEO. No compensation adjustment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
2.7
Value Rank
3.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roe
0.7
Net Margin
0.8
Roa
1.1
Gross Margin
1.6
Operating Margin
2.6
Moat
4.6
Current Ratio
6.8
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -571% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9Quality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Macd
3.5
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 6.29%=EXTREMEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.32Resistance $20.06

Price Targets

$17
$20
A.Upside+8.8%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.26% of cap), Negative free cash flow
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WTTR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.99: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $16.80. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WTTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.57 (+8.8% upside). Prior stop was $16.80. Stop-loss: $16.80.

What are the risks of investing in WTTR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin (51.0%); Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.26% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is WTTR overvalued or undervalued?

Select Water Solutions, Inc. trades at a P/E of 85.7 (forward 27.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WTTR?

13 analysts cover WTTR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Select Water Solutions, Inc. do?Select Water Solutions provides water management infrastructure, services, and completion chemicals to oil and gas...

Select Water Solutions provides water management infrastructure, services, and completion chemicals to oil and gas operators across U.S. basins through three segments: Water Infrastructure, Water Services, and Chemical Technologies. The Permian Basin accounts for 51% of revenue; infrastructure assets include 2.4 million barrels per day of fixed recycling capacity backed by long-term acreage dedications and volume commitments.

Related stocks: USAC (USA Compression Partners, LP) · NGS (Natural Gas Services Group, Inc) · FLOC (Flowco Holdings Inc.) · WHD (Cactus, Inc. Class A Common Sto) · NESR (National Energy Services Reunit)
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