Skip to main content
WTTRSelect Water Solutions, Inc.Sell5.6·$19.53
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Select Water Solutions serves the oil and gas industry primarily in the Permian Basin, generating 51% of revenue from a single geography, with quality scores below the acceptable minimum floor, deeply negative free cash flow, and earnings that have been inconsistent — making this a speculative energy services position with limited margin of safety.

Thesis pillars

  • Permian Basin Concentration↓Deteriorating
  • Yield Trap Dividend Risk→Stable
  • Quality Below Minimum Floor→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Select Water Solutions, Inc. (WTTR) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.53: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.23; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Select Water Solutions provides water management infrastructure, services, and completion chemicals to oil and gas operators across U.S. basins through three segments: Water Infrastructure, Water Services, and Chemical Technologies. The Permian Basin accounts for 51% of revenue;... Read more

$19.53+6.9% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#18 of 36 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-3.18%
IncomeYield1.45%Payout100.00%at-risk
Stop $18.39Target $20.88(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$24.00+22.9%7 analysts
$20.88our TP
$19.53price
$24.00mean
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.53: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.23; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Select Water Solutions, Inc.

About Select Water Solutions, Inc.

Select Water Solutions generated 51% of its 2025 revenue from Permian Basin operations across Texas and New Mexico, where the company operates large-diameter pipeline networks, fixed recycling facilities, and saltwater disposal wells. The company's water infrastructure network included 2.4 million barrels per day of fixed recycling capacity, 2.3 million barrels per day of permitted disposal capacity, and 35 million barrels of produced water storage as of December 31, 2025, supplemented by positions in the Haynesville, Northeast, Rockies, and Bakken regions.

Select Water Solutions earns revenue across three segments. Water Infrastructure develops and operates permanent infrastructure—including fixed and mobile recycling facilities, pipeline systems, and saltwater disposal wells—under long-term contractual agreements often exceeding a decade, encompassing acreage dedications, wellbore dedications, and minimum volume commitments. Water Services provides completion-phase water transfer, sourcing, containment, and automation, plus mobile power and accommodations through the Peak Rentals subsidiary, which has been under strategic review since August 2025. Chemical Technologies manufactures hydraulic fracturing additives, cementing chemicals, and water treatment solutions sold to E&P companies and pressure-pumping service providers; approximately 8% of chemical raw material feedstock originated in China in 2025, creating tariff exposure following a 2025 escalation in U.S.-China trade tensions. Demand for all three segments depends directly on E&P customer capital spending, which was influenced by an average WTI crude price of $65.39 per barrel in 2025, down from $76.63 in 2024.

Show full overview

The Permian Basin concentration exposes Select Water Solutions to basin-specific supply-demand shifts, including recent operator consolidation that may reduce capital spending. The 10-K also flags Texas v. New Mexico and Colorado, a stayed water-rights case in which an adverse ruling against New Mexico could restrict access to water for operations in that state. The states reached a water-sharing agreement in 2022 that determines annual delivery amounts, but the federal government opposed that agreement, and the parties were required to return to mediation in December 2024, leaving the resolution still pending.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

From Select Water Solutions, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202640d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin (51.0%)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)68.9
P/E (Fwd)28.7
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA11.2
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE3.1%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta1.00
Dividend1.45%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.23bearish
IV137%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicPermian Basin51%
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Permian Basin of Texas and New Mexico is presently our largest operating region, accounting for approximately 51% and 48% of our revenue in 2025 and 2024, respectively.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-01Item 5.02LOW
    Michael C. Skarke transitioned from EVP and Chief Operating Officer to EVP and Chief Commercial Officer effective June 1, 2026. Company does not plan to appoint a replacement COO; segment leaders will report directly to the CEO. No compensation adjustment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roe
1.0
Net Margin
1.1
Roa
1.5
Gross Margin
1.9
Operating Margin
3.5
Current Ratio
5.7
Moat
5.8
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -274% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.9
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
5.4
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 40d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.96Resistance $21.18

Price Targets

$18
$21
A.Upside+6.9%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (40d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WTTR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.53: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.23; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $18.39. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WTTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.88 (+6.9% upside). Prior stop was $18.39. Stop-loss: $18.39.

What are the risks of investing in WTTR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin (51.0%); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is WTTR overvalued or undervalued?

Select Water Solutions, Inc. trades at a P/E of 68.9 (forward 28.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WTTR?

14 analysts cover WTTR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Select Water Solutions, Inc. do?Select Water Solutions provides water management infrastructure, services, and completion chemicals to oil and gas...

Select Water Solutions provides water management infrastructure, services, and completion chemicals to oil and gas operators across U.S. basins through three segments: Water Infrastructure, Water Services, and Chemical Technologies. The Permian Basin accounts for 51% of revenue; infrastructure assets include 2.4 million barrels per day of fixed recycling capacity backed by long-term acreage dedications and volume commitments.

Related stocks: HLX (Helix Energy Solutions Group, I) · FLOC (Flowco Holdings Inc.) · NESR (National Energy Services Reunit) · EROK (EagleRock Land, LLC) · FTK (Flotek Industries, Inc.)
Home › Stocks › WTTR

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga18h agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga35d ago
Benzinga38d agoProduct
Benzinga50d ago
Benzinga50d ago
Benzinga50d agoAnalyst
Benzinga52d ago
Benzinga52d agoProduct
Benzinga52d agoEarnings
Benzinga92d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga119d agoAnalyst
Benzinga119d ago
Benzinga130d agoAnalyst
Benzinga136d agoAnalyst
Benzinga143d ago
Benzinga143d agoEarnings