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WHRWhirlpool CorporationSell4.9·$38.27-4.73%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Whirlpool's quality score of 1.7 is well below the investment minimum, with a catastrophic free cash flow deficit of -202% relative to net income, 3 earnings misses in the last 4 quarters including a -470% miss, and a confirmed death cross — despite an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 8.3x and 35% analyst upside, the fundamental deterioration makes this a position to exit.

Thesis pillars

  • Catastrophic Free Cash Flow DeficitStable
  • Analyst Upside Against Single Source Supplier RiskStable
  • Severe Earnings Miss PatternStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Whirlpool Corporation (WHR) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.27: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.17; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Whirlpool manufactures and markets major and small home appliances across MDA North America, MDA Latin America, and SDA Global segments, generating approximately $16 billion in net sales with 41,000 employees across 27 countries in 2025. Products sold under Whirlpool,... Read more

$38.27+28.1% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#9 of 13 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-13.48%
IncomeYield9.90%(5y avg 5.66%)Payout150.85%at-risk
Stop $35.43Target $48.81(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$56.10+46.6%10 analysts
$48.81our TP
$38.27price
$56.10mean
$137

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.27: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.17; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and news soft restructuring. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers for proprietary components
Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.9
P/E (Fwd)8.1
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA9.9
Profit Mgn1.1%
ROE5.5%
Rev Growth-9.6%
Beta1.13
Dividend9.90%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.17bearish
IV67%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source suppliers for proprietary components
    10-K Item 1A: 'certain proprietary component parts used in some of our products are provided by single-source unaffiliated third-party suppliers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Alessandro Perucchetti (formerly EVP and President, Whirlpool North America) employment terminated March 31, 2026 via Waiver and Release Agreement; receives $2,997,560 in two installments. Had stepped down from executive officer role January 1, 2026 per prior 8-K dated November 5, 2025.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-01Item 5.02MEDIUM
    James Peters (formerly EVP and CFO) employment terminated March 30, 2026 via Waiver and Release Agreement; receives $3,046,500 in two installments. Had stepped down as CFO and President, Whirlpool Asia effective December 31, 2025.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02MEDIUM
    James Peters, Executive Vice President, announced resignation effective March 30, 2026. Had previously stepped down as CFO and President, Whirlpool Asia effective December 31, 2025 as part of ongoing talent planning. No successor named for EVP role.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.5
Net Margin
0.5
Roa
1.4
Roe
1.8
Moat
3.1
Current Ratio
3.5
Piotroski F
4.4
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -202% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 990.0%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.5
Rsi
3.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)NEWS SOFT RESTRUCTURINGExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $36.06Resistance $44.95

Price Targets

$35
$49
A.Upside+27.5%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WHR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.27: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.17; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $35.43. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WHR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.81 (+28.1% upside). Prior stop was $35.43. Stop-loss: $35.43.

What are the risks of investing in WHR?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers for proprietary components; Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).

Is WHR overvalued or undervalued?

Whirlpool Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.9 (forward 8.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WHR?

20 analysts cover WHR with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $56.

What does Whirlpool Corporation do?Whirlpool manufactures and markets major and small home appliances across MDA North America, MDA Latin America, and SDA...

Whirlpool manufactures and markets major and small home appliances across MDA North America, MDA Latin America, and SDA Global segments, generating approximately $16 billion in net sales with 41,000 employees across 27 countries in 2025. Products sold under Whirlpool, KitchenAid, Maytag, Brastemp, and other brands reach consumers through retailers, distributors, builders, and direct channels.

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