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WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.Sell5.5·$73.63-0.92%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts is a high-quality hotel franchise operator with 38% return on equity, 176% free cash flow conversion, and 23% analyst-projected upside, but 3 consecutive earnings misses, heavy financial leverage, and an asymmetry ratio below the minimum entry threshold make this a hold-not-buy situation.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Franchise Cash MachineStable
  • Three Consecutive Earnings MissesDeteriorating
  • Heavy Leverage RiskImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5GrowthShortHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $73.63: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Weak growth.

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, without limitation, general economic conditions, including inflation, higher interest rates and potential recessionary pressures, which may impact decisions by... Read more

$73.63+19.6% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#3 of 8 Lodging
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.63%
IncomeYield2.26%(5y avg 1.72%)Payout60.87%
Stop $69.55Target $88.09(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$97.88+32.9%17 analysts
$88.09our TP
$73.63price
$97.88mean
$115

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $73.63: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 202667d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5
Weak growth
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.7
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA14.4
Profit Mgn14.6%
ROE39.4%
Rev Growth-5.5%
Beta0.64
Dividend2.26%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.54bullish
IV51%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On July 31, 2026 (the "Effective Date"), Nicola Rossi, Chief Accounting Officer of Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
2.5
Value Rank
5.6

Revenue shrinking — -5.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.1
Earnings Growth
6.1
Declining revenue: -6%
GatesMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $71.25Resistance $77.89

Price Targets

$70
$88
A.Upside+19.6%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts25
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$98

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $73.63: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $69.55. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the WH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $88.09 (+19.6% upside). Prior stop was $69.55. Stop-loss: $69.55.

What are the risks of investing in WH?

Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Weak growth; Below 200-day MA.

Is WH overvalued or undervalued?

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.7 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WH?

25 analysts cover WH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $98.

What does Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. do?Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include,...

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, without limitation, general economic conditions, including inflation, higher interest rates and potential recessionary pressures, which may impact decisions by consumers and businesses to use travel accommodations; global trade disputes, including with China; the performance of the financial and credit markets; the economic environment for the hospitality industry; operating risk...

Related stocks: ATAT (Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite) · HTHT (H World Group Limited) · IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group) · CHH (Choice Hotels International, In) · H (Hyatt Hotels Corporation)
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