Skip to main content
WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.Sell5.2·$71.83+1.18%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts is a high-quality hotel franchise operator with 38% return on equity, 176% free cash flow conversion, and 23% analyst-projected upside, but 3 consecutive earnings misses, heavy financial leverage, and an asymmetry ratio below the minimum entry threshold make this a hold-not-buy situation.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Franchise Cash MachineStable
  • Three Consecutive Earnings MissesImproving
  • Heavy Leverage RiskDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5GrowthShortHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $71.83 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, without limitation, general economic conditions, including inflation, higher interest rates and potential recessionary pressures, which may impact decisions by... Read more

$71.83+22.5% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#4 of 8 Lodging
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.88%
IncomeYield2.41%(5y avg 1.75%)Payout60.87%
Stop $67.92Target $87.99(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.9:1
Analyst target$97.76+36.1%17 analysts
$87.99our TP
$71.83price
$97.76mean
$115

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $71.83 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 47d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 202647d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.5 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.8
P/E (Fwd)13.3
Mkt Cap$5.3B
EV/EBITDA14.0
Profit Mgn14.6%
ROE39.4%
Rev Growth-5.5%
Beta0.64
Dividend2.41%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.65bullish
IV60%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
3.8
Value Rank
6.3

Revenue shrinking — -5.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.1
Earnings Growth
6.1
Declining revenue: -6%
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5A.R:R 3.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 47d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $70.02Resistance $78.46

Price Targets

$68
$88
A.Upside+22.5%
A.R:R3.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (47d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $71.83 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $67.92. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the WH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $87.99 (+22.5% upside). Prior stop was $67.92. Stop-loss: $67.92.

What are the risks of investing in WH?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Weak growth.

Is WH overvalued or undervalued?

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.8 (forward 13.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WH?

25 analysts cover WH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $98.

What does Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. do?Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include,...

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, without limitation, general economic conditions, including inflation, higher interest rates and potential recessionary pressures, which may impact decisions by consumers and businesses to use travel accommodations; global trade disputes, including with China; the performance of the financial and credit markets; the economic environment for the hospitality industry; operating risk...

Related stocks: ATAT (Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite) · HTHT (H World Group Limited) · CHH (Choice Hotels International, In) · IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group) · H (Hyatt Hotels Corporation)
Home Stocks WH

Latest news

Latest News

TipRanks128d agoEarnings
MarketBeat128d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com128d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail128d ago
Yahoo Finance135d agoEarnings
MarketBeat135d agoEarnings
MarketBeat52d agoEarnings
GuruFocus136d agoAnalyst
TradeKaizen136d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat136d agoAnalyst
PR Newswire136d agoProduct
Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Tây Ninh137d ago
MarketBeat128d ago
MarketBeat134d agoAnalyst
Investing.com134d agoEarnings
GuruFocus50d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat133d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance48d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance48d ago
Yahoo Finance49d ago
Loading more...