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WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.Sell5.4·$73.53+0.07%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts is a high-quality hotel franchise operator with 38% return on equity, 176% free cash flow conversion, and 23% analyst-projected upside, but 3 consecutive earnings misses, heavy financial leverage, and an asymmetry ratio below the minimum entry threshold make this a hold-not-buy situation.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Franchise Cash MachineStable
  • Three Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • Heavy Leverage RiskImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup · Temporary headwind edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5GrowthShortHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $73.53 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Weak growth.

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, without limitation, general economic conditions, including inflation, higher interest rates and potential recessionary pressures, which may impact decisions by... Read more

$73.53+21.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#5 of 8 Lodging
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.68%
IncomeYield2.29%(5y avg 1.70%)Payout60.87%
Stop $70.15Target $89.10(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$99.00+34.6%17 analysts
$89.10our TP
$73.53price
$99.00mean
$115

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $73.53 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 27, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 202688d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.6
P/E (Fwd)13.7
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA14.2
Profit Mgn14.6%
ROE39.4%
Rev Growth-5.5%
Beta
Dividend2.29%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV48%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On July 31, 2026 (the "Effective Date"), Nicola Rossi, Chief Accounting Officer of Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.9
Value Rank
5.3

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.0
Volume
5.7
Capitulation risk (RSI 27, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Revenue shrinking — -5.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.1
Earnings Growth
6.1
Declining revenue: -6%
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Moderate
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $72.32Resistance $88.36

Price Targets

$70
$89
A.Upside+21.2%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $73.53 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 27, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $70.15. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the WH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $89.10 (+21.2% upside). Prior stop was $70.15. Stop-loss: $70.15.

What are the risks of investing in WH?

Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is WH overvalued or undervalued?

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.6 (forward 13.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WH?

25 analysts cover WH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $99.

What does Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. do?Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include,...

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, without limitation, general economic conditions, including inflation, higher interest rates and potential recessionary pressures, which may impact decisions by consumers and businesses to use travel accommodations; global trade disputes, including with China; the performance of the financial and credit markets; the economic environment for the hospitality industry; operating risk...

Related stocks: ATAT (Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite) · HTHT (H World Group Limited) · IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group) · CHH (Choice Hotels International, In) · H (Hyatt Hotels Corporation)
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