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WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.Sell5.3·$82.41-1.42%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts is a high-quality hotel franchise operator with 38% return on equity, 176% free cash flow conversion, and 23% analyst-projected upside, but 3 consecutive earnings misses, heavy financial leverage, and an asymmetry ratio below the minimum entry threshold make this a hold-not-buy situation.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Franchise Cash MachineStable
  • Three Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • Heavy Leverage RiskStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Sell if holding. At $82.41, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.4%.

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, without limitation, general economic conditions, including inflation, higher interest rates and potential recessionary pressures, which may impact decisions by... Read more

$82.41+9.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#4 of 8 Lodging
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.51%
IncomeYield2.04%(5y avg 1.70%)Payout65.87%
Stop $76.64Target $90.16(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$100.18+21.6%17 analysts
$90.16our TP
$82.41price
$100.18mean
$115

Sell if holding. At $82.41, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.4%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.4%
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.7
P/E (Fwd)15.3
Mkt Cap$6.2B
EV/EBITDA16.0
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE37.6%
Rev Growth3.5%
Beta0.64
Dividend2.04%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV55%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On July 31, 2026 (the "Effective Date"), Nicola Rossi, Chief Accounting Officer of Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.5
Revenue Growth
3.4

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.9
Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
5.3
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $74.15Resistance $88.36

Price Targets

$77
$90
A.Upside+9.4%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $82.41, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.4%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $76.64. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the WH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $90.16 (+9.4% upside). Prior stop was $76.64. Stop-loss: $76.64.

What are the risks of investing in WH?

Thin upside margin: 9.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5; Weak growth.

Is WH overvalued or undervalued?

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. trades at a P/E of 32.7 (forward 15.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WH?

25 analysts cover WH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $100.

What does Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. do?Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include,...

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, without limitation, general economic conditions, including inflation, higher interest rates and potential recessionary pressures, which may impact decisions by consumers and businesses to use travel accommodations; global trade disputes, including with China; the performance of the financial and credit markets; the economic environment for the hospitality industry; operating risk...

Related stocks: ATAT (Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite) · HTHT (H World Group Limited) · CHH (Choice Hotels International, In) · IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group) · H (Hyatt Hotels Corporation)
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