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Intercontinental Hotels Group (IHG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $150.87 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.5% away).

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC owns, manages, franchises, and leases hotels in the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. It operates hotels under the Six Senses, Regent, InterContinental Hotels & Resorts, Vignette Collection, Kimpton Hotel, Hotel Indigo,... Read more

$150.87-1.5% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#6 of 8 Lodging
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.09%
IncomeYield1.24%(5y avg 1.87%)Payout35.56%sustainable
Stop $144.97Target $148.64(resistance)A.R:R -2.5:1
Analyst target$138.88-8.0%8 analysts
$148.64our TP
$150.87price
$138.88mean
$108
$166

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $150.87 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Intercontinental Hotels Group

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.5 in RISK_OFF)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.5% away)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.6
P/E (Fwd)21.5
Mkt Cap$22.1B
EV/EBITDA20.8
Profit Mgn14.6%
ROE
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta1.03
Dividend1.24%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
2.5
Value Rank
4.6

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Earnings Growth
3.5

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.3
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 124.0%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.6
Bollinger
1.3
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -2.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 85d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $138.76Resistance $151.67

Price Targets

$145
$149
A.Upside-1.5%
A.R:R-2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (85d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IHG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $150.87 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $144.97. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the IHG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $148.64 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $144.97. Stop-loss: $144.97.

What are the risks of investing in IHG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.5% away); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is IHG overvalued or undervalued?

Intercontinental Hotels Group trades at a P/E of 30.6 (forward 21.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IHG?

27 analysts cover IHG with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $139.

What does Intercontinental Hotels Group do?InterContinental Hotels Group PLC owns, manages, franchises, and leases hotels in the United Kingdom, the United...

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC owns, manages, franchises, and leases hotels in the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. It operates hotels under the Six Senses, Regent, InterContinental Hotels & Resorts, Vignette Collection, Kimpton Hotel, Hotel Indigo, voco, Ruby, HUALUXE, Crowne Plaza, Iberostar Beachfront Resorts, EVEN Hotels, Holiday Inn Express, Holiday Inn, Garner, avid hotels, Atwell Suites, Staybridge Suites, IHG, Holiday Inn Club Vacations, and Candlewood Suites brand names. The company also provides IHG Rewards loyalty program. InterContinental Hotels Group PLC was formerly known as Six Continents PLC and changed its name to InterContinental Hotels Group PLC in June 2003. The company was founded in 1777 and is headquartered in Windsor, United Kingdom.

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