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Intercontinental Hotels Group (IHG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $144.63 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.3% away).

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC owns, manages, franchises, and leases hotels in the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. It operates hotels under the Six Senses, Regent, InterContinental Hotels & Resorts, Vignette Collection, Kimpton Hotel, Hotel Indigo,... Read more

$144.63+0.7% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#4 of 8 Lodging
Stop $137.65Target $145.41(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1
Analyst target$137.50-4.9%8 analysts
$145.41our TP
$144.63price
$137.50mean
$108
$160

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $144.63 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.3% away). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 103d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.3% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.2
P/E (Fwd)21.4
Mkt Cap$21.2B
EV/EBITDA20.0
Profit Mgn14.6%
ROE
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta1.02
Dividend1.30%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Earnings Growth
3.5

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.7
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.5
Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 103d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $129.65Resistance $148.38

Price Targets

$138
$145
A.Upside+0.5%
A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.2% upside)
! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (103d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IHG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $144.63 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.3% away). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $137.65. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IHG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $145.41 (+0.7% upside). Prior stop was $137.65. Stop-loss: $137.65.

What are the risks of investing in IHG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.3% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is IHG overvalued or undervalued?

Intercontinental Hotels Group trades at a P/E of 29.2 (forward 21.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IHG?

27 analysts cover IHG with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $138.

What does Intercontinental Hotels Group do?InterContinental Hotels Group PLC owns, manages, franchises, and leases hotels in the United Kingdom, the United...

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC owns, manages, franchises, and leases hotels in the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. It operates hotels under the Six Senses, Regent, InterContinental Hotels & Resorts, Vignette Collection, Kimpton Hotel, Hotel Indigo, voco, Ruby, HUALUXE, Crowne Plaza, Iberostar Beachfront Resorts, EVEN Hotels, Holiday Inn Express, Holiday Inn, Garner, avid hotels, Atwell Suites, Staybridge Suites, IHG, Holiday Inn Club Vacations, and Candlewood Suites brand names. The company also provides IHG Rewards loyalty program. InterContinental Hotels Group PLC was formerly known as Six Continents PLC and changed its name to InterContinental Hotels Group PLC in June 2003. The company was founded in 1777 and is headquartered in Windsor, United Kingdom.

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