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VIAVViavi Solutions Inc.Buy Wait6.5·$43.75+1.77%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Viavi Solutions has delivered 43% revenue growth and three consecutive earnings beats while showing a golden cross technical pattern with all moving averages in bullish alignment, but only 3.7% upside remains to the analyst target and the current reward-to-risk ratio of 0.53x is unfavorable for new positions.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Surge Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Leverage Quality Floor ConcernStable
  • Golden Cross Technical BreakoutStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Viavi Solutions Inc. (VIAV) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Wait for pullback to $41.15. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $43.75. Engine's entry $41.15 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Viavi Solutions provides network test, monitoring, and assurance equipment through its NSE segment, and optical security and performance products through its OSP segment, serving telecom carriers, defense agencies, and banknote issuers across 31 countries with approximately... Read more

$43.75+22.7% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#2 of 25 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.48%
Entry $41.15(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $34.57Target $53.44(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$61.43+40.4%7 analysts
$53.44our TP
$43.75price
$61.43mean
$70

Wait for pullback to $41.15. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $43.75. Engine's entry $41.15 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Viavi Solutions Inc.

About Viavi Solutions Inc.

Viavi Solutions serves telecom, defense, cloud, and banknote markets through two segments: NSE (network test instruments and monitoring software) and OSP (optical security pigments and thin-film coatings). The company employs approximately 3,600 people across 31 countries as of June 28, 2025, holds approximately 1,085 U.S. patents and 2,075 foreign patents with an average patent age of 9.0 years, and deploys millions of NSE test units globally. OSP pigments protect banknotes in more than 100 countries.

NSE earns revenue from portable test instruments sold to communications service providers and network equipment manufacturers, software used in network operations centers, and AIOps platforms for enterprise IT. NSE's customer base includes América Móvil, AT&T, Lumen Technologies, Ciena, Cisco, Ericsson, Nokia, British Telecom Openreach, Deutsche Telekom, and Verizon. The segment competes with Anritsu, EXFO, Keysight Technologies, Rohde & Schwarz, Spirent, and NetScout. OSP sells anti-counterfeiting pigments — OVP and OVMP — through a strategic marketing alliance with SICPA Holding SA for banknote applications, and directly to customers including Lockheed Martin and Seiko Epson for 3D sensing, aerospace, and automotive applications. OSP revenue is expected to be seasonally stronger in the first two fiscal quarters due to consumer electronics 3D sensing demand.

Show full overview

The OSP segment's commercial reach for its banknote pigment lines rests almost entirely on SICPA Holding SA, the company's exclusive marketing and sales alliance partner for OVP and OVMP products worldwide. The 10-K notes that a material reduction in sales or loss of this relationship could harm business and operating results, since VIAVI may be unable to find a substitute partner or build the capability internally in a timely manner. Separately, the 10-K identifies a highly concentrated NSE customer base for many product lines, noting pricing pressure from Asia-based competitors and communication industry consolidation could weigh on contract terms over time.

See also: Technology · Communication Equipment

From Viavi Solutions Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202673d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)22.3
Mkt Cap$10.7B
EV/EBITDA38.7
Profit Mgn-2.0%
ROE-2.7%
Rev Growth52.5%
Beta1.23
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.48bullish
IV92%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerSICPA
    10-K Item 1A: 'strategic alliance with SICPA ... A material reduction in sales, or loss of the relationship with SICPA, may harm our business and operating results'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-18Item 5.02LOW
    Audit Committee Chair rotation effective May 12, 2026: Donald Colvin stepped down as Chair; independent director Joanne Solomon appointed as Audit Committee Chair. Change made in connection with board refreshment and succession planning; no disagreement with company cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.6
Bollinger
1.5
52w Position
4.4
Gap
5.0
GatesExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.1>=5.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 73d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.41Resistance $44.38

Price Targets

$35
$41
$53
A.Upside+22.7%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (73d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VIAV stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $41.15. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $43.75. Engine's entry $41.15 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $53.44 (+22.1%), stop $34.57 (−26.6%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VIAV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $53.44 (+22.7% upside). Target $53.44 (+22.1%), stop $34.57 (−26.6%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $34.57.

Is VIAV overvalued or undervalued?

Viavi Solutions Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 22.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about VIAV?

15 analysts cover VIAV with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $61.

What does Viavi Solutions Inc. do?Viavi Solutions provides network test, monitoring, and assurance equipment through its NSE segment, and optical...

Viavi Solutions provides network test, monitoring, and assurance equipment through its NSE segment, and optical security and performance products through its OSP segment, serving telecom carriers, defense agencies, and banknote issuers across 31 countries with approximately 3,600 employees as of June 2025. NSE generates hardware and software revenue from telecom service providers and network equipment manufacturers; OSP sells anti-counterfeiting pigments used on banknotes in over 100 countries, primarily through an alliance with SICPA Holding SA.

Related stocks: CIEN (Ciena Corporation) · HPE (Hewlett Packard Enterprise Comp) · UI (Ubiquiti Inc.) · LITE (Lumentum Holdings Inc.) · ZBRA (Zebra Technologies Corporation)
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