Vermilion Energy trades at a forward price-to-earnings of 16.4x with a 16.7% free cash flow yield despite GAAP losses, but a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.0, three of four recent earnings misses with massive negative surprises, and an elevated put-to-call ratio of 4.60 signal severe near-term financial risk that places this below the minimum quality threshold.
Thesis pillars
- Fcf Yield Despite Gaap Loss→Stable
- High Leverage Value Trap Signals↓Deteriorating
- Earnings Miss Severity↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET) Stock Analysis
Inst Constrain edge
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.26: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
Vermilion Energy Inc., engages in petroleum and natural gas, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and optimization of producing properties in North America, Europe, and Australia. Its properties are located in the West Pembina region of West Central Alberta,... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.26: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Vermilion Energy Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Vermilion Energy (VET) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Vermilion Energy (VET) Projected to Post Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Is Vermilion Energy Inc (VET) Overvalued After 3.5% Rally? GF Va - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS Is Vermilion Energy Sending a Fresh TSX Completion Index Signal? - Kalkine Media — Kalkine Media neutral
- NEWS Vermilion Energy Breaks Trend—SmallCap Index Shift Ahead? - Kalkine Media — Kalkine Media neutral
Generated 2026-07-26T08:02:05Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.26: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.47. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $11.35 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $10.47. Stop-loss: $10.47.
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).
Vermilion Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 26.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover VET with a consensus score of 3.6/5.
What does Vermilion Energy Inc. do?Vermilion Energy Inc., engages in petroleum and natural gas, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and...
Vermilion Energy Inc., engages in petroleum and natural gas, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and optimization of producing properties in North America, Europe, and Australia. Its properties are located in the West Pembina region of West Central Alberta, Canada; southwest Bordeaux and Paris Basin in France; the Netherlands; Germany; Ireland; Croatia; Slovakia; Hungary; and Australia. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.