Vermilion Energy trades at a forward price-to-earnings of 16.4x with a 16.7% free cash flow yield despite GAAP losses, but a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.0, three of four recent earnings misses with massive negative surprises, and an elevated put-to-call ratio of 4.60 signal severe near-term financial risk that places this below the minimum quality threshold.
Thesis pillars
- Fcf Yield Despite Gaap Loss→Stable
- High Leverage Value Trap Signals↓Deteriorating
- Earnings Miss Severity↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days
Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET) Stock Analysis
Inst Constrain edge
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.
Vermilion Energy Inc., engages in petroleum and natural gas, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and optimization of producing properties in North America, Europe, and Australia. Its properties are located in the West Pembina region of West Central Alberta,... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated Nov 4, 2026Recent Developments — Vermilion Energy Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Vermilion Energy Inc. Announces $0.135 CDN Cash Dividend — fiscal.ai Nov 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS Vermilion Energy Inc. Reports Q3 2026 Results and Releases 2027 Budget with Planned 4% Dividend Increase — fiscal.ai Nov 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS Vermilion Energy Increases Quarterly Dividend From C$0.135 To C$0.14 Per Share — benzinga Nov 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS Vermilion Energy Q3 EPS $(0.16) Misses $0.05 Estimate, Sales $424.369M Beat $315.350M Estimate — benzinga Nov 4, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Vermilion Energy (NYSE:VET) Stock Falls 5.7% - What's Next? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat Nov 2, 2026 negative
Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:09Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.28. Score 6.4/10, high confidence.
Resistance target: $14.09 (+31.1% upside). Prior stop was $10.28. Stop-loss: $10.28.
Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.
Vermilion Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts rate VET, with a consensus score of 3.6/5.
What does Vermilion Energy Inc. do?Vermilion Energy Inc., engages in petroleum and natural gas, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and...
Vermilion Energy Inc., engages in petroleum and natural gas, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and optimization of producing properties in North America, Europe, and Australia. Its properties are located in the West Pembina region of West Central Alberta, Canada; southwest Bordeaux and Paris Basin in France; the Netherlands; Germany; Ireland; Croatia; Slovakia; Hungary; and Australia. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.