Skip to main content

Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $13.49: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Vermilion Energy Inc., engages in petroleum and natural gas, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and optimization of producing properties in North America, Europe, and Australia. Its properties are located in the West Pembina region of West Central Alberta,... Read more

$13.49+3.5% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#11 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
Stop $12.55Target $13.96(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $13.49: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA2.8
Profit Mgn-38.4%
ROE-14.5%
Rev Growth9.8%
Beta0.55
Dividend2.88%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV74%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.02Resistance $14.25

Price Targets

$13
$14
A.Upside+3.5%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VET stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $13.49: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $12.55. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VET stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.96 (+3.5% upside). Prior stop was $12.55. Stop-loss: $12.55.

What are the risks of investing in VET?

Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is VET overvalued or undervalued?

Vermilion Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VET?

15 analysts cover VET with a consensus score of 3.5/5.

What does Vermilion Energy Inc. do?Vermilion Energy Inc., engages in petroleum and natural gas, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and...

Vermilion Energy Inc., engages in petroleum and natural gas, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and optimization of producing properties in North America, Europe, and Australia. Its properties are located in the West Pembina region of West Central Alberta, Canada; southwest Bordeaux and Paris Basin in France; the Netherlands; Germany; Ireland; Croatia; Slovakia; Hungary; and Australia. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Related stocks: GPOR (Gulfport Energy Corporation) · RRC (Range Resources Corporation) · CRK (Comstock Resources, Inc.) · MNR (Mach Natural Resources LP) · BKV (BKV Corporation)