Vermilion Energy trades at a forward price-to-earnings of 16.4x with a 16.7% free cash flow yield despite GAAP losses, but a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.0, three of four recent earnings misses with massive negative surprises, and an elevated put-to-call ratio of 4.60 signal severe near-term financial risk that places this below the minimum quality threshold.
Thesis pillars
- Fcf Yield Despite Gaap Loss→Stable
- High Leverage Value Trap Signals↓Deteriorating
- Earnings Miss Severity→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.38 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Elevated risk factors.
Vermilion Energy Inc., engages in petroleum and natural gas, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and optimization of producing properties in North America, Europe, and Australia. Its properties are located in the West Pembina region of West Central Alberta,... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.38 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-16Recent Developments — Vermilion Energy Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Vermilion Energy (VET) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Vermilion Energy (VET) Projected to Post Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Is Vermilion Energy Inc (VET) Overvalued After 3.5% Rally? GF Va - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS Is Vermilion Energy Sending a Fresh TSX Completion Index Signal? - Kalkine Media — Kalkine Media neutral
- NEWS Vermilion Energy Breaks Trend—SmallCap Index Shift Ahead? - Kalkine Media — Kalkine Media neutral
Generated 2026-08-16T17:12:04Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
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Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.38 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $10.55. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $11.68 (+3.0% upside). Prior stop was $10.55. Stop-loss: $10.55.
Consecutive earnings misses (3); Elevated risk factors.
Vermilion Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover VET with a consensus score of 3.6/5.
What does Vermilion Energy Inc. do?Vermilion Energy Inc., engages in petroleum and natural gas, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and...
Vermilion Energy Inc., engages in petroleum and natural gas, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and optimization of producing properties in North America, Europe, and Australia. Its properties are located in the West Pembina region of West Central Alberta, Canada; southwest Bordeaux and Paris Basin in France; the Netherlands; Germany; Ireland; Croatia; Slovakia; Hungary; and Australia. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.