Value
9.1/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 9.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.8 |
| Fwd P/E | 7.2 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 17.3x
- ▸PEG: 0.14
- ▸Attractively valued
VET · Why this verdict
Why Vermilion Energy (VET) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
3.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.9 |
| Gross margin | 8.3 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 2.5 |
| FCF quality | 7.1 |
| Moat | 5.9 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 15%, FCF yield 15.8%)
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
7.5/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 5.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
3.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 8.1 |
| MACD | 2.4 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 1.9 |
- ▸Uptrend pullback (RSI 34) - buy opportunity
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
5.6/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 3.5 |
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
3.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 9.7 |
| quality rank | 0.5 |
| growth rank | 4.9 |
Technical
7.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 9.5 |
| support resistance | 9.3 |
| 52w position | 4.2 |
| gap | 7.5 |
- ▸Extreme gap down (-5.4%) - potential reversal
Risk (lower is worse)
3.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| days to cover | 2.3 |
| volatility | 1.0 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 7.2 |
| news risk | 3.0 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 5.40
- ▸High IV: 115%
- ▸Above max pain $2
Catalyst
3.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| dividend safety | 4.2 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:51d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:3.5<4.5
Warning (1)
- ASYMMETRY:UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)
Reward-to-Risk
0.00
Upside
+0.0%
Downside
9.2%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $1.7B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 9.1 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:3.5<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.1, Technical at 7.6, and Growth at 7.5; the weakest are Risk (lower is worse) at 3.3, Momentum at 3.5, and Catalyst at 3.7. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.00 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.