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UTLUNITIL CorporationSell5.4·$53.48+1.96%
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UNITIL Corporation (UTL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $53.48 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.9% away).

Unitil Corporation, a public utility holding company, engages in the distribution of electricity and natural gas. It operates through two segments, Utility Electric Operations and Utility Gas Operations. The company distributes electricity in the southeastern seacoast and state... Read more

$53.48-1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#3 of 6 Utilities - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-8.42%
IncomeYield3.46%(5y avg 3.18%)Payout58.31%sustainable
Stop $51.06Target $52.94(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$55.67+4.1%3 analysts
$52.94our TP
$53.48price
$55.67mean
$53
$57

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $53.48 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.9% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.1
P/E (Fwd)15.2
Mkt Cap$962M
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn9.6%
ROE9.6%
Rev Growth27.0%
Beta0.30
Dividend3.46%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV55%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Erm Sentiment
0.0
Analyst Rating
5.0
Price Target
5.6
Estimates falling as sentiment proxy (-37.4%)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.9
Support Resistance
1.0
52w Position
9.6
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $48.62Resistance $54.02

Price Targets

$51
$53
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UTL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $53.48 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $51.06. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UTL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.94 (-1.0% upside). Prior stop was $51.06. Stop-loss: $51.06.

What are the risks of investing in UTL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.9% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5.

Is UTL overvalued or undervalued?

UNITIL Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.1 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UTL?

10 analysts cover UTL with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $56.

What does UNITIL Corporation do?Unitil Corporation, a public utility holding company, engages in the distribution of electricity and natural gas. It...

Unitil Corporation, a public utility holding company, engages in the distribution of electricity and natural gas. It operates through two segments, Utility Electric Operations and Utility Gas Operations. The company distributes electricity in the southeastern seacoast and state capital regions of New Hampshire, and the greater Fitchburg area of north central Massachusetts; and distributes natural gas in southeastern New Hampshire and portions of southern and central Maine, including the city of Portland and the Lewiston-Auburn area; greater Bangor area of central Maine; and capital city of Augusta, as well as electricity and natural gas in the greater Fitchburg area of north central Massachusetts. It also operates 85 miles of interstate underground natural gas transmission pipeline that provides interstate natural gas pipeline access and transportation services primarily in Maine and New Hampshire. In addition, the company provides real estate management services. It serves approximately 110,100 electric customers and 105,000 natural gas customers. Unitil Corporation was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Hampton, New Hampshire.

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