Avista Corporation (AVA) Stock Analysis
Utilities · Utilities - Diversified
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $41.19 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).
Avista Corporation is a regulated electric and natural gas utility primarily serving eastern Washington, northern Idaho, parts of Oregon and Montana through Avista Utilities, plus Juneau, Alaska through subsidiary AEL&P. At end of 2025, Avista Utilities served approximately... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $41.19 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Avista Corporation
Latest news
- Wine Wednesday: 20th anniversary of the Eola-Amity Hills AVA - KOIN.com — KOIN.com neutral
- Moody Aldrich Partners LLC Buys 50,133 Shares of Avista Corporation $AVA - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- Lam Research CLO Ava Harter sells $1.55m in stock - Investing.com — Investing.com neutral
- Avista (AVA) Expected to Announce Quarterly Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- Ava Risk Group Secures Growth Funding as Q3 Orders Lag but Pipeline Remains Strong - TipRanks — TipRanks positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -7.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $41.19 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $39.24. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $40.28 (-1.0% upside). Prior stop was $39.24. Stop-loss: $39.24.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.
Avista Corporation trades at a P/E of 16.4 (forward 14.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover AVA with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $42.
What does Avista Corporation do?Avista Corporation is a regulated electric and natural gas utility primarily serving eastern Washington, northern...
Avista Corporation is a regulated electric and natural gas utility primarily serving eastern Washington, northern Idaho, parts of Oregon and Montana through Avista Utilities, plus Juneau, Alaska through subsidiary AEL&P. At end of 2025, Avista Utilities served approximately 429,000 electric and 386,000 natural gas retail customers across a 34,000-square-mile territory. Generation mix was approximately 48% hydroelectric, 37% thermal, and 15% other renewables.