Avista Corporation (AVA) Stock Analysis
Utilities · Utilities - Diversified
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.80 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Snettisham hydroelectric project.
Avista Corporation is primarily an electric and natural gas utility serving eastern Washington, northern Idaho, and parts of Oregon and Montana through Avista Utilities, plus electric service in Juneau, Alaska through subsidiary AEL&P. Revenue is regulated and established by... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.80 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Snettisham hydroelectric project. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierSnettisham hydroelectric project10-K Item 1A: 'a single hydroelectric power generation facility, the Snettisham hydroelectric project, provides approximately two-thirds of AEL&P's hydroelectric power generation'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.80 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Snettisham hydroelectric project. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $39.22. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $41.47 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $39.22. Stop-loss: $39.22.
Concentration risk — Supplier: Snettisham hydroelectric project; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.
Avista Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.0 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover AVA with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $43.
What does Avista Corporation do?Avista Corporation is primarily an electric and natural gas utility serving eastern Washington, northern Idaho, and...
Avista Corporation is primarily an electric and natural gas utility serving eastern Washington, northern Idaho, and parts of Oregon and Montana through Avista Utilities, plus electric service in Juneau, Alaska through subsidiary AEL&P. Revenue is regulated and established by state utility commissions in Washington, Idaho, Oregon, Montana, and Alaska.