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YORWThe York Water CompanyBuy Wait6.8·$33.00+1.41%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

York Water's consistent earnings beats and best-in-class margins are offset by an overbought technical setup, a failed asymmetry gate at an already-reached price target, and a cash-conversion red flag on free cash flow.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak ConsistencyImproving
  • Overbought Late Cycle DistributionImproving
  • Negative Asymmetry Target ReachedImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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The York Water Company (YORW) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water

Wait for pullback to $29.48. BUY gates pass at $33.00, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (3.8% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $29.48 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

The Company has operated continuously since 1816. The primary business of the Company is to impound, purify to meet or exceed safe drinking water standards and distribute water. The Company also owns and operates three wastewater collection systems and twelve wastewater... Read more

$33.00-20.2% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#1 of 9 Utilities - Regulated Water
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-3.96%
IncomeYield2.81%(5y avg 2.18%)Payout56.10%sustainable
Entry $29.48(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $27.95Target $37.95(default +15%)A.R:R -2.5:1
Analyst target$31.00-6.1%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Wait for pullback to $29.48. BUY gates pass at $33.00, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (3.8% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $29.48 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202684d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.2
P/E (Fwd)21.3
Mkt Cap$528M
EV/EBITDA15.8
Profit Mgn28.5%
ROE9.0%
Rev Growth22.5%
Beta0.60
Dividend2.81%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV81%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.0
52w Position
9.6
GatesA.R:R -2.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $30.37Resistance $33.00

Price Targets

$28
$29
$38
A.Upside-20.2%
A.R:R-2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-20.2% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is YORW stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $29.48. BUY gates pass at $33.00, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (3.8% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $29.48 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $37.95 (+15.0%), stop $27.95 (−18.1%), A.R:R -2.5:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the YORW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.95 (-20.2% upside). Target $37.95 (+15.0%), stop $27.95 (−18.1%), A.R:R -2.5:1. Stop-loss: $27.95.

What are the risks of investing in YORW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.8% away).

Is YORW overvalued or undervalued?

The York Water Company trades at a P/E of 20.2 (forward 21.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about YORW?

8 analysts cover YORW with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $31.

What does The York Water Company do?The Company has operated continuously since 1816. The primary business of the Company is to impound, purify to meet or...

The Company has operated continuously since 1816. The primary business of the Company is to impound, purify to meet or exceed safe drinking water standards and distribute water. The Company also owns and operates three wastewater collection systems and twelve wastewater collection and treatment systems. The Company operates within its franchised water and wastewater territory, which covers portions of 58 municipalities within four counties in south-central Pennsylv

Related stocks: CWT (California Water Service Group) · MSEX (Middlesex Water Company) · AWR (American States Water Company) · CWCO (Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.) · HTO (H2O America)
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