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YORWThe York Water CompanyHold6.6·$31.59
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

York Water's consistent earnings beats and best-in-class margins are offset by an overbought technical setup, a failed asymmetry gate at an already-reached price target, and a cash-conversion red flag on free cash flow.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak ConsistencyStable
  • Overbought Late Cycle DistributionDeteriorating
  • Negative Asymmetry Target ReachedStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

The York Water Company (YORW) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthHigh Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.59, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

The Company has operated continuously since 1816. The primary business of the Company is to impound, purify to meet or exceed safe drinking water standards and distribute water. The Company also owns and operates three wastewater collection systems and twelve wastewater... Read more

$31.59-16.6% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#1 of 9 Utilities - Regulated Water
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-4.00%
IncomeYield2.83%(5y avg 2.18%)Payout56.10%sustainable
Stop $30.60Target $33.78(resistance)A.R:R -3.3:1
Analyst target$31.00-1.9%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.59, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-23
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.0
P/E (Fwd)21.0
Mkt Cap$522M
EV/EBITDA15.6
Profit Mgn28.5%
ROE9.0%
Rev Growth22.5%
Beta0.61
Dividend2.83%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV82%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    At its regularly scheduled meeting on August 17, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of The York Water Company (the "Company") appointed Mr. David M. Velazquez as a new independent director to the Board, effective September 1, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.8
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
9.0
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 15)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R -3.3=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
15 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.55Resistance $34.47

Price Targets

$31
$34
A.Upside-16.6%
A.R:R-3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.6% upside)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is YORW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.59, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $33.78 (+6.9%), stop $30.60 (−3.2%), A.R:R -3.3:1. Score 6.6/10, high confidence.

What is the YORW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.78 (-16.6% upside). Target $33.78 (+6.9%), stop $30.60 (−3.2%), A.R:R -3.3:1. Stop-loss: $30.60.

What are the risks of investing in YORW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is YORW overvalued or undervalued?

The York Water Company trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 21.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about YORW?

8 analysts cover YORW with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $31.

What does The York Water Company do?The Company has operated continuously since 1816. The primary business of the Company is to impound, purify to meet or...

The Company has operated continuously since 1816. The primary business of the Company is to impound, purify to meet or exceed safe drinking water standards and distribute water. The Company also owns and operates three wastewater collection systems and twelve wastewater collection and treatment systems. The Company operates within its franchised water and wastewater territory, which covers portions of 58 municipalities within four counties in south-central Pennsylv

Related stocks: MSEX (Middlesex Water Company) · CWT (California Water Service Group) · AWR (American States Water Company) · CWCO (Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.) · HTO (H2O America)
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