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Algonquin Power & Utilities Cor (AQN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Diversified

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-08). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.26: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. operates in the power and utility industries. It owns and operates a portfolio of regulated electric, water distribution and wastewater collection, and natural gas utility systems and transmission operations. As of December 31, 2025, it operated... Read more

$6.26+1.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#3 of 7 Utilities - Diversified
Stop $6.02Target $6.35(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$6.78+8.3%9 analysts
$6.35our TP
$6.26price
$6.78mean
$6
$7

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.26: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-5.8% upside)
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.8
P/E (Fwd)15.2
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn7.4%
ROE2.6%
Rev Growth
Beta0.89
Dividend4.22%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV69%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
4.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.4
Value Rank
2.1
Growth Rank
5.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roe
0.9
Roa
1.4
Gross Margin
3.6
Net Margin
3.7
Current Ratio
4.0
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Operating Margin
7.1
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -250% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $6.13Resistance $6.48

Price Targets

$6
$6
A.Upside+1.4%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-08 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AQN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.26: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $6.02. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AQN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.35 (+1.4% upside). Prior stop was $6.02. Stop-loss: $6.02.

What are the risks of investing in AQN?

Target reached (-5.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is AQN overvalued or undervalued?

Algonquin Power & Utilities Cor trades at a P/E of 22.8 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AQN?

12 analysts cover AQN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $7.

What does Algonquin Power & Utilities Cor do?Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. operates in the power and utility industries. It owns and operates a portfolio of...

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. operates in the power and utility industries. It owns and operates a portfolio of regulated electric, water distribution and wastewater collection, and natural gas utility systems and transmission operations. As of December 31, 2025, it operated a portfolio of regulated utility systems in the United States, Canada, Bermuda, and Chile, serving approximately 1,272,000 customer connections. Its regulated electrical distribution utility systems and related transmission and generation assets are located in the states of Arkansas, California, Kansas, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, and Oklahoma, as well as in Bermuda with approximately 311,000 electric customer connections. Its regulated water distribution and wastewater utility systems are located in the states of Arizona, Arkansas, California, Illinois, Missouri, New York, and Texas, as well as in Chile with approximately 583,000 customer connections. It's regulated natural gas distribution utility systems are located in the states of Georgia, Illinois, Iowa, Massachusetts, Missouri, New Hampshire, and New York; and in the Canadian province of New Brunswick with approximately 378,000 natural gas customer connections. It also owns and operates generating assets with a gross capacity of approximately 2.0 gigawatt (GW) and has investments in generating assets with approximately 0.3 GW of net generation capacity. It generates and sells hydroelectric energy in Canada, and capacity and renewable attributes are produced by its portfolio of 14 hydroelectric power generation facilities located in the provinces of Alberta, Ontario, New Brunswick, and Quebec. As of December 31, 2025, it had a combined gross generating capacity of approximately 112 megawatts (MW) and a combined net generating capacity of approximately 105 MW. The company was formerly known as Traduction Militech Translation Inc. in October 2009. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Oakville, Canada.

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