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AQNAlgonquin Power & Utilities CorSell5.3·$5.64
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Algonquin looks cheap (forward P/E 13.4x) with a consistent earnings-beat record, but negative free cash flow, 7.2 debt-to-equity and only 4.4% upside versus 8.2% downside make the risk/reward unattractive.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Consistency→Stable
  • Cheap Valuation Sector Out Of Favor↓Deteriorating
  • Negative Fcf Earnings Quality→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Algonquin Power & Utilities Cor (AQN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Sector Rotation edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Diversified

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-11-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.64: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 40.00; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. operates in the power and utility industries. It owns and operates a portfolio of regulated electric, water distribution and wastewater collection, and natural gas utility systems and transmission operations. As of December 31, 2025, it operated... Read more

$5.64+1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#5 of 6 Utilities - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-1.87%
IncomeYield4.61%(5y avg 5.80%)Payout108.33%at-risk
Stop $5.42Analyst target $5.70(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst consensus$6.55+16.1%10 analysts with price targets
$5.70Analyst target
$5.64price
$6.55mean
$7

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.64: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 40.00; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 30, 2026

Recent Developments — Algonquin Power & Utilities Cor

Latest item Oct 30, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:54:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (1.0% upside)
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.5
P/E (Fwd)13.9
Mkt Cap$4.3B
EV/EBITDA12.3
Profit Mgn5.9%
ROE2.5%
Rev Growth3.1%
Beta0.94
Dividend4.61%
Analysts with ratings14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C40.00bearish

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
0.5
52w Position
6.4

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
1.7
Value Rank
4.2

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roe
0.8
Roa
1.6
Net Margin
2.9
Gross Margin
3.4
Current Ratio
3.5
Moat
4.5
Operating Margin
6.3
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -54% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.01Resistance $5.67

Price Targets

$5
$6
A.Upside+1.0%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AQN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.64: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 40.00; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Prior stop was $5.42. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AQN stock price target?

Analyst target: $5.70 (+1.0% upside). Prior stop was $5.42. Stop-loss: $5.42.

What are the risks of investing in AQN?

Target reached (1.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is AQN overvalued or undervalued?

Algonquin Power & Utilities Cor trades at a P/E of 23.5 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AQN?

14 analysts rate AQN, with a consensus score of 3.6/5. 10 analysts publish price targets averaging $7.

What does Algonquin Power & Utilities Cor do?Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. operates in the power and utility industries. It owns and operates a portfolio of...

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. operates in the power and utility industries. It owns and operates a portfolio of regulated electric, water distribution and wastewater collection, and natural gas utility systems and transmission operations. As of December 31, 2025, it operated a portfolio of regulated utility systems in the United States, Canada, Bermuda, and Chile, serving approximately 1,272,000 customer connections. Its regulated electrical distribution utility systems and related transmission and generation assets are located in the states of Arkansas, California, Kansas, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, and Oklahoma, as well as in Bermuda with approximately 311,000 electric customer connections. Its regulated water distribution and wastewater utility systems are located in the states of Arizona, Arkansas, California, Illinois, Missouri, New York, and Texas, as well as in Chile with approximately 583,000 customer connections. It's regulated natural gas distribution utility systems are located in the states of Georgia, Illinois, Iowa, Massachusetts, Missouri, New Hampshire, and New York; and in the Canadian province of New Brunswick with approximately 378,000 natural gas customer connections. It also owns and operates generating assets with a gross capacity of approximately 2.0 gigawatt (GW) and has investments in generating assets with approximately 0.3 GW of net generation capacity. It generates and sells hydroelectric energy in Canada, and capacity and renewable attributes are produced by its portfolio of 14 hydroelectric power generation facilities located in the provinces of Alberta, Ontario, New Brunswick, and Quebec. As of December 31, 2025, it had a combined gross generating capacity of approximately 112 megawatts (MW) and a combined net generating capacity of approximately 105 MW. The company was formerly known as Traduction Militech Translation Inc. in October 2009. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Oakville, Canada.

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