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UMCUnited Microelectronics CorporaSell6.1·$20.70+4.20%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

United Microelectronics Corporation has beaten or met earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with an average surprise of 28%, carries strong margins of 21% and a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, but trades at essentially zero upside to resistance and negative asymmetry, leaving no room for a favorable entry at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Margins Piotroski QualityStable
  • Earnings Beats With Large SurprisesStable
  • Price At Resistance Zero UpsideDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

United Microelectronics Corpora (UMC) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.70 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

United Microelectronics Corporation operates as a semiconductor wafer foundry in Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It manufactures and sells integrated circuits. The company offers circuit design; mask tooling; wafer... Read more

$20.70-23.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#21 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield74.07%
Stop $19.21Target $23.76(default +15%)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$18.49-10.7%4 analysts
$23.76our TP
$20.70price
$18.49mean
$11
$34

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.70 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Wide economic moat
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.3
P/E (Fwd)22.6
Mkt Cap$49.8B
EV/EBITDA-0.3
Profit Mgn33.3%
ROE21.3%
Rev Growth17.0%
Beta1.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.65bearish
IV72%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.2
Support Resistance
1.2
Gap
4.0
52w Position
4.5
GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.59%=MODERATEMomentum 6.5>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.88Resistance $21.03

Price Targets

$19
$24
A.Upside-23.9%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-23.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UMC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.70 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $19.21. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UMC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.76 (-23.9% upside). Prior stop was $19.21. Stop-loss: $19.21.

What are the risks of investing in UMC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is UMC overvalued or undervalued?

United Microelectronics Corpora trades at a P/E of 19.3 (forward 22.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UMC?

33 analysts cover UMC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $18.

What does United Microelectronics Corpora do?United Microelectronics Corporation operates as a semiconductor wafer foundry in Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Japan,...

United Microelectronics Corporation operates as a semiconductor wafer foundry in Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It manufactures and sells integrated circuits. The company offers circuit design; mask tooling; wafer fabrication; and assembly and testing services for communication devices, consumer electronics, computer, and other applications. It also provides venture capital and marketing support; consulting and planning; energy technical; solar engineering integrated design; research and development services; and insurance services. United Microelectronics Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.

Related stocks: SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.) · CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · ADI (Analog Devices, Inc.) · NXPI (NXP Semiconductors N.V.)
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