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UMCUnited Microelectronics CorporaBuy Wait6.2·$19.20-0.91%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

United Microelectronics Corporation has beaten or met earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with an average surprise of 28%, carries strong margins of 21% and a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, but trades at essentially zero upside to resistance and negative asymmetry, leaving no room for a favorable entry at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Margins Piotroski QualityStable
  • Earnings Beats With Large SurprisesDeteriorating
  • Price At Resistance Zero UpsideStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

United Microelectronics Corpora (UMC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Wait for pullback to $18.03. Insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $19.20. Engine's entry $18.03 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

United Microelectronics Corporation operates as a semiconductor wafer foundry in Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It manufactures and sells integrated circuits. The company offers circuit design; mask tooling; wafer... Read more

$19.20-17.9% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#18 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield76.81%
IncomeYield2.07%(5y avg 5.84%)Payout0.00%sustainable
Entry $18.03(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $15.60Target $21.16(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$18.49-3.7%4 analysts
$21.16our TP
$19.20price
$18.49mean
$11
$34

Wait for pullback to $18.03. Insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $19.20. Engine's entry $18.03 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202674d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Wide economic moat
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.0
P/E (Fwd)21.8
Mkt Cap$48.0B
EV/EBITDA-0.3
Profit Mgn33.3%
ROE21.3%
Rev Growth17.0%
Beta1.70
Dividend2.07%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C5.04bearish
IV77%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.61%=MODERATEMomentum 5.5>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.54Resistance $21.59

Price Targets

$16
$18
$21
A.Upside-17.9%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UMC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $18.03. Insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $19.20. Engine's entry $18.03 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $21.16 (+10.2%), stop $15.60 (−23.1%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UMC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.16 (-17.9% upside). Target $21.16 (+10.2%), stop $15.60 (−23.1%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Stop-loss: $15.60.

What are the risks of investing in UMC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is UMC overvalued or undervalued?

United Microelectronics Corpora trades at a P/E of 19.0 (forward 21.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about UMC?

33 analysts cover UMC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $18.

What does United Microelectronics Corpora do?United Microelectronics Corporation operates as a semiconductor wafer foundry in Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Japan,...

United Microelectronics Corporation operates as a semiconductor wafer foundry in Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It manufactures and sells integrated circuits. The company offers circuit design; mask tooling; wafer fabrication; and assembly and testing services for communication devices, consumer electronics, computer, and other applications. It also provides venture capital and marketing support; consulting and planning; energy technical; solar engineering integrated design; research and development services; and insurance services. United Microelectronics Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.

Related stocks: SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.) · TXN (Texas Instruments Incorporated) · ALAB (Astera Labs, Inc.)
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